Proposed Revisions to Councils Fuel Price Forecasts Natural
- Slides: 20
Proposed Revisions to Council’s Fuel Price Forecasts Natural Gas Advisory Committee June 27, 2007 Northwest Power and Conservation Council
5 th Plan Natural Gas Price Compared to More Recent Northwest Power and Conservation Council
5 th Plan Natural Gas and Proposed Revision Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Revised Natural Gas Price Forecast Compared to Others Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Natural Gas Price (2006$/MMBtu) Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Western Natural Gas Prices Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Natural Gas Prices to PNW Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Basis Differentials Northwest Power and Conservation Council
West-Side Delivery Cost Sumas Price 6. 72 Firm Capacity . 64 Commodity . 05 In-Kind Fuel 1. 74%. 12 Firm Supply Premium 0 Delivered Price 7. 53 Northwest Power and Conservation Council
East-Side Delivery Cost AECO Price 6. 62 Firm Capacity . 52 Commodity . 01 In-Kind Fuel 2. 8%. 19 Firm Supply Premium 0 Delivered Price 7. 34 Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Other Assumptions • LCD delivery cost for large customer? • Capacity release rates? • What share of firm pipeline capacity cost might be recovered from release market? • Incremental long-term capacity cost? • Any firm gas supply premium? Share of firm supply for electricity generator? Northwest Power and Conservation Council
5 th Plan Oil Price Range Compared to Recent Forecasts Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Proposed Revision of Oil Price Forecast Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Revised Oil Price Forecast Compared to Other Recent Forecasts Northwest Power and Conservation Council
World Oil Price (2006$/Barrel) Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Revised Coal Price Forecast Compared to AEO 2007 Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Coal Price Forecast Range and Assumed Growth Rates Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Comparative Fuel Prices Industrial Sector Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Historical Comparative Prices Northwest Power and Conservation Council
Ratio of Real Crude Price Per Barrel to Wellhead NG Price Per MMBtu Northwest Power and Conservation Council