PRESENTATION AVAILABLE ON WWW COX COMINVESTOR Goldman Sachs
PRESENTATION AVAILABLE ON WWW. COX. COM/INVESTOR Goldman Sachs Communacopia X Conference October 2 nd, 2001 Cox Communications, Inc. Jim Robbins, President and Chief Executive Officer Chris Bowick, Chief Technical Officer
Outline n Continued execution in the midst of economic volatility l l n The pros and cons of seasonality Continued growth in RGU rollout Possible impact caused by current environment Cox experienced management team Cox telephony offering l l Current status of rollout Integrating circuit-switched and IP telephony 2
Continued Execution in the Midst of Economic Volatility 3
2001 RGU Rollout Well on Track First Half n 910 K net gains in new services RGUs in 2000 n Target 1 million to 1. 1 million net gains in 2001 n Added 515 K in 1 H 01 versus 390 K in 1 H 00 Quarterly Net Gains (In thousands) Second Half Factors n 2 H 00 RGU net gains were 57% of total 2000 RGU net gains n 2 H 01 seasonality turns in our favor Seasonality Impact 43% 32% increase in 1 H net gains 57% 2000 RGU Net Gains 4
3 Q 01 Seeing Increasing Run Rates As Expected, Seasonality Turns in Our Favor Weekly Run Rates by Quarter 34% increase 20, 883 25, 110 18, 768 4, 337 4, 023 8, 569 3, 660 8, 094 6, 221 9, 129 8, 524 1 Q 01 2 Q 01 Digital HSI 12, 204 July+August Phone 5
% of Connects Tied to New Customers % of total connects that are new customers (sold with basic) % of total connects that are upgraded existing customers Bundling drives basic and new services growth! 6
Quarterly Basic Net Gains Record 3 Q 01 Gains Nearly Offset 2 Q 01 Losses n 2 Q 01 impacted by seasonality and bad debt disconnects resulting in year over year growth of 0. 5% n 89 K net adds needed in 2 H to reach full year 1. 0% basic growth l 3 Q 01 basic net gains narrowing the gap by more than 40% Seasonality Impact n 4 Q seasonality works in our favor l 4 Q 00 basic net gains represented 55% of 2 H 00 basic net gains 45% 55% 2 H 00 Basic Net Gains 7
Seasonal Trends * Based on Average Basic Net Gains from 1998 -2001 8
Current Environment What is the Potential Impact to Our Business? - Unfavorab Possibilitiele s n Gloomy advertising outlook n Less event PPV scheduled n Decrease in Las Vegas visitors n Favorable Possibilitie s + n More in-home entertainment reduces video and HSI churn n Acceleration of telecommuting trend favors HSI Decrease in consumer confidence & spending n Urgency of communication and information needs n Short term pull back in telemarketing and direct mail n Increase in PPV movie sales n Decline in telecom spending and businesses expansion in commercial arena n Savings on phone offering appreciated in tough economic times n Consumers take comfort in wellknown brands 9
Cox Corporate and Field Management Expertise and Loyalty Cox Corporate Management Team Cox Field Management Team 12 senior officers 23 general managers Total Cox Experience 178 years 345 years Average Cox Experience 15 years Cox seasoned management = experience, loyalty and stability amidst uncertainty! 10
Continuing to Leverage the Broadband Pipe: Cox Telephony Offering 11
Cox Telephony Offering n First launched telephony in 1997 to 1, 500 homes in Orange County, California n Today Cox has grown to the nation’s 12 th largest phone company and third largest in California l l Residential service is available to 2. 8 M homes in 7 markets over 13 circuit switches The company has more than 344, 000 residential customers • Subscribing to 465, 000 individual lines • Making 12. 3 million calls a day over the expansive network n Leveraging existing strengths to small and medium business customers 12
Telephone Markets Today % Phone Ready 2000 2001 Market Phone Launch Orange County Sept. ‘ 97 81% 97% Omaha Dec. ‘ 97 100% New England Mar. ‘ 98 (CT), Feb. ’ 00 (RI) 86% 98% San Diego May 98 71% 77% Phoenix Dec. ‘ 98 32% 47% Hampton Roads Sept. ‘ 99 58% 80% Oklahoma City Jul. ‘ 99 53% 79% 57% 82% Total phone markets To launch 8 th telephony market in 4 Q 01 - New Orleans 13
Impact of Bundling on Churn Average Monthly Customer Churn (Telephony markets; single family homes) 1. 40% 1. 20% 1. 0% 0. 9% 0. 80% 0. 7% 0. 60% 0. 40% 0. 20% 0. 00% Cable + Data Cable + Phone Data + Phone Cable + Data + Phone Tremendous churn reduction through bundled services! 14
Telephony Halo Effect Bundled customers have stronger perceptions of Cox than cable-only subs. 15
Telephony Survey Results n Customers rate Cox Digital Phone a 7+ on 10 point scale l l l n 88% satisfied with Cox Digital Phone service 95% likely to continue Cox Digital Phone subscription 91% likely to recommend Cox Digital Phone to a friend Cox customers favorably compare Cox Digital Phone service to previous phone provider l l 82% - better value for the money; 97% - same or better 62% - better quality of customer service; 92% - same or better reliability 94% - same or better call clarity, sound quality and accuracy of billing Telephone customers love us as evidenced by our outstanding customer survey results! 16
Telephony A Complex Business Choice of technology is easy, getting ready operationally to offer phone service is challenging Foundation of “lessons learned” prepares Cox for next step! Local number portability Interconnect agreements Universal service fund maximization Carrier access Trunk capacity management Directory listing and assistance E 911 Third party verification for LD Network powering Busy line verification Switch management & configuration Cox Local Switch Charges and Billing Number resource optimization When IP technology arrives, WE ARE READY! 17
Integrating Circuit-switched and IP Telephony Without Stranding Capital Chris Bowick, Chief Technical Officer 18
Key Take-Aways for Today n Our network infrastructure provides the foundation to support all new services and is prepared for the future. n Telephony is a very complex business with a steep learning curve, and Cox is well along that curve. n Vo. IP is not yet “ready for prime-time; ” but when it is, then we’ll be “more than ready”. n Vo. IP can be introduced in circuit-switched markets without stranding capital -- as a compliment or overlay to circuitswitched. n Cable. Labs’ DOCSIS 1. 1 and Packet. Cable standards will enable Vo. IP in non-switched markets. 19
Internet Telephony vs Vo. IP n Definitions l IP Telephony or Vo. IP • Private network(s), managed IP Backbone l Internet Telephony • Public internet (Net 2 Phone) Managed IP Network or NIU 20
The Network Infrastructure 21
From a Network Perspective Our Strategy Has Not Changed Fiber Transport Ring (Large Contiguous Systems) Headend Fiber Node Rx Switch CMTS Ring in Ring HIT Tx Coax Redundant Path Upstream 5 MHz I m p u l s e Downstream 30 MHz 42 MHz 54 MHz Voice & Data Reserve Two-Way Spare 750/860 MHz 1000 HP MAX 750 HP Average 550 MHz Analog TV Services 650 MHz Digital TV Services Voice & Data Reserve Svcs Two-Way "Broadcast" The “Ideal” Spectrum 750/860 MHz HDTV, VOD 22
Fiber Rings In Residential/Business Park Areas Fiber Transport Ring Headend Node Sonet Voice ATM Data DLC ONU Fiber Rings Video Rx Switch CMTS Ring in Ring Apartment Complexes Node HIT Tx DLC Node ONU Sonet Voice ATM Data Large Business Customers Cox Business Services 23
Fiber Rings In Downtown Business Areas Fiber Transport Ring Large Business Customers Headend ONU 12 CMTS Switch Fiber Sonet Voice ATM Data 60 DLC Node Fiber Rings Rx Ring in Ring HIT Node Tx Fiber 48 24 60 12 Node 24 60 Cox Business Services Video, Voice, Data 24
Putting It All Together Programmers RBOC’s IEX’s @ Home Large Business Customers ONU 12 Fibers Shared 1, 000/750 Homes Sonet Voice ATM Data Node DLC 4 Fibers Dedicated 12 Fiber ONU Apartment Complexes Rx Fiber Sonet Voice ATM Data Switch 60 DLC CMTS Ring in Ring HIT Fiber Node Fiber Tx Fiber 48 Headend Coax 24 60 12 DLC Node 24 60 Cox Business Services Video, Voice, Data ONU Drop Residential Video, Voice, Data Drop Large Business Customers Small & Medium Business Customers The Winning Network for today and the future!!! 25
The Telephony Infrastructure 26
Cox Digital Telephone Service (Capital requirements for “telephone ready homes passed”) NEBS Compliant Headend Internet Trunk 1, 000 Homes 750 Average Rx Switch LEC’s IEC’s CMTS Fiber (route diversity) 90 V Node HIT Power Passing Tap $40/Customer Feeder Tx $70/Line (Headend Interface Terminal) $60/Line $/Customer NIU Drop Tap HIT Switch Power* Total $/Line (1. 5 lines/Cust. ) $240 $75 $40 $60 $70 $125 $610 $240 $75 $40 $90 $105 $125 $675 90 V 115 vac Express Power Cable Uninterruptible Power & Status Monitoring $25/HP Copper Wires (power) Coax Siamese Drop $75/Customer (blend-aerial/UG) NIU $240/Customer (2 -line) *Assumes 20% penetration of homes passed But this is the easy part … 27
Cox Digital Telephone Service Complex Network and Systems Infrastructure NOC PIC/CARE LIDB Directory Assistance This is a VERY complex business with a very steep learning curve! IP Backbone E 911 Rx Operator Services Switch CMTS Node HIT LNP Tx Headend/MTC LEC IXC SS 7 Billing CALEA But we’re there – with the knowledge, experience, and infrastructure! 28
Cox Digital Telephone Service Complex Network and Systems Infrastructure NOC PIC/CARE LIDB Directory Assistance Not only that … IP Backbone E 911 Rx Operator Services Switch CMTS Node HIT LNP Tx Headend/MTC LEC IXC SS 7 Billing CALEA …but the infrastructure will support either circuit-switched or Vo. IP!!! 29
What changes when Vo. IP is “ready for prime time? ” Why don’t you strand any capital? 30
Cox Digital Telephone Service Complex Network and Systems Infrastructure Nor does all of the LIDB NOC back-office Directory infrastructure… Assistance PIC/CARE The network certainly does NOT change!!! Directory necessary to run a IP Backbone telephone business! E 911 Rx Operator Services Switch CMTS Node HIT LNP Nor do any of our circuit. Tx switched customers!! Unless they want to purchase new features…. LEC IXC SS 7 Billing CALEA OK, so what does change? 31
Cox Digital Telephone Service Changes necessary to add Vo. IP in circuit-switched markets NOC Directory Assistance IP Backbone E 911 Operator Services • Upgrade the switch for <$10/line (XAcore, Succession) PIC/CARE switch capacity from 100 K to 150 K Lines LIDB • Expands Directory • Additional benefit, and eliminates stranded capital • Becomes a hybrid switch -- Vo. IP and circuit-switched • Expands geographic reach of the switch • Utilizes existing interfaces to the back-office “clouds” Rxexisting switch reliability and class • Preserves CMTS features Switch Node Vo. IP And TDM LNP HIT Tx LEC IXC SS 7 Billing CALEA 32
Cox Digital Telephone Service Complex Network and Systems Infrastructure NOC • Upgrade the CMTS to DOCSIS 1. 1 PIC/CARE LIDB Directory • Qo. S and Additional Security Directory Assistance • Natural course of evolution • Required for Vo. IP in non-switched markets too! IP Backbone E 911 CMTS Operator Services 1. 1 Rx Switch Vo. IP And TDM LNP Node HIT Tx LEC IXC SS 7 Billing CALEA 33
Cox Digital Telephone Service Complex Network and Systems Infrastructure NOC PIC/CARE LIDB Directory Assistance Directory • New Customers are either switched or Vo. IP • MSO choice based on cost/performance/other? • Customer choice based on value-added CMTS 1. 1 features Rx IP Backbone E 911 Operator Services Switch Vo. IP And TDM LNP LEC Node HIT Existing switched customers. Txremain switched unless they want any value-added functionality that Vo. IP will offer. Circuit-switched NIU Customer IXC SS 7 Billing Vo. IP NIU Customer CALEA 34
So, what about non-switched markets…. When will Vo. IP be ready for prime time? 35
Packet. Cable and DOCSIS 1. 1 LIDB NOC Directory Assistance PIC/CARE Directory Call Management Server Announcement Controller (ANC) IP Backbone (CMS) Announcement Player (ANP) E 911 • DOCSIS 1. 1 • Qo. S on HFC plant • Additional Security • Packetcable • End-to-End Qo. S • Interface to the back-office clouds Headend Operator Services Media Gateway Controller (MGC) LNP Media Gateway (MG) Managed IP Network Switch CMTS HIT Tx Signaling Gateway (SG) LEC Rx Vo. IP IXC SS 7 Billing CALEA Remember: If it looks like a phone, it should probably act like a phone 36
Key Points To Remember n Vo. IP is not yet “ready for prime time” l l n No stranded capital in circuit-switched markets l n But when it’s ready, we’ll be well up the complex telephony learning curve And we’ll have the back-office infrastructure to support it Minimal switch-upgrade with additional benefit of increasing line capacity by 50% New telephone customers are Vo. IP (at our option) l l Existing circuit-switched customers only migrate if they want valueadded IP services Both Vo. IP and circuit-switched customers coexist happily in the same market We know the telephone business, and have the infrastructure to support it! 37
Future-Proof Network For All Market Segments Fiber & Switch Solutions HFC Network Solutions Programmers @ Home LEC/IXC Large Business & Government DWDM Fiber Rings SONET, ATM, Gig. E Residential Rx Node Switch CMTS HIT Tx Headend/MTC Small & Medium Business Leveraging the Existing Infrastructure 38
PRESENTATION AVAILABLE ON WWW. COX. COM/INVESTOR Thank you !!! Goldman Sachs Communacopia X Conference October 2 nd, 2001 Cox Communications, Inc. Questions & Answers
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