Prediction is possible Hans Mackaaij ALO Drs Jolanda
Prediction is possible Hans Mackaaij (ALO) Drs. Jolanda Mol
Requirement of the ALO Improve study succes: • Improve the quality of the starters • Decrease the dropout of students Support of Talent. Sense: 1. Start 2. Move up 3. Exit www. LD-Support. com 1
Is prediction possible? - Is it possible to predict study succes? - Is it possible to figure out the reasons of dropout? - Is it possible to prevent dropout? www. LD-Support. com 2
Talent. Sense Methode Study attitude / succes expectation Competences / Affinities Attitude Match Balance Personal strength www. LD-Support. com 3
Questionnaire • Psychological instrument • 202 stellingen & 42 vragen – Intake rapport, Study development rapport, Quickscan www. LD-Support. com 4
Balance as a predictor G 1 -G 7 S B F Optimaal - Stability = Requirements = Frustrates = www. LD-Support. com I CAN I WANT I CAN NOT 5
Attitude as a predictor Succes expectation: IS A Succesfull IS B Probably succesfull IS C Not succesfull www. LD-Support. com 6
Match as a predictor www. LD-Support. com 7
Research Total N Number of sampels Predictors Criterion variable 650 2 S-score Dropout Bron: Prediction is Possible (Witte, de Jong en Schoonman, 2014) www. LD-Support. com 8
Result www. LD-Support. com 9
Result Risico groep N=650 A (laag) Drop-out % Accuracy 66% 26% Drop-out % Accuracy 73% 28% B (midden) 37% 43% C (hoog) 56% 88% www. LD-Support. com 10
IS predictor Dropout Succes • Low emotional stability • Feelings of being overloaded • Helpness, powerless • Highly dynamic • Conscientiousness • Fous on tenacity • Structured / Stable • Enterprising www. LD-Support. com 11
Target group attention with I-score Indicator expected studysucces ↑ Match with the study ↓ A Above average Variable succes Below average C Below average Barely succes www. LD-Support. com 12
Use of insights Balans Keep Disbalans Keep Balans Keep Disbalans Critical Balans Critical Disbalans Exit A TS meting B C www. LD-Support. com 13
Prediction is possible Increase of Study succes - Is it possible to predict study succes? → yes: the lower the indicator of succes, the higher the change of dropout - Is it possible to figure out the reasons of dropout? → yes: the reason is caused by attitude, balance and match - Is it possible to prevent dropout? → yes: students with a lower balance and vulnerable attitude need counseling on a frequent base www. LD-Support. com 14
Contact L&D Support Sector Onderwijs Drs. Jolanda Mol J. Mol@LDsupport. nl 0031 6 121 75 649 Hans Mackaaij H. Mackaaij@hva. nl 0 www. LD-Support. com 15
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