Precursor Gas Quality Assurance Implementation Dennis K Mikel

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Precursor Gas Quality Assurance Implementation Dennis K. Mikel EPA Office of Air Quality Planning

Precursor Gas Quality Assurance Implementation Dennis K. Mikel EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Outline • QA System Development • QA Requirements for the NCore Program – Changes

Outline • QA System Development • QA Requirements for the NCore Program – Changes to the 40 CFR Appendix A – Overview of the New Calculations • Data Assessment Statistical Calculator (DASC) • Comparing the DQO/MQOs to the Burden’s Creek data • National Performance Audit Program 2 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

EPA Your Program What is a Quality System ? A structured and documented management

EPA Your Program What is a Quality System ? A structured and documented management system that describes how and by whom an organization assures quality in its work. Quality System Goals – – Make correct decisions Optimize resource use The Project! 3 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Where are we? Reporting 4 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Where are we? Reporting 4 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Changes in the QA Regulations (40 CFR Part 58 Appendix A) • Ensured regs

Changes in the QA Regulations (40 CFR Part 58 Appendix A) • Ensured regs reflected current EPA QA policies and requirements • Combined Appendix A and B (PSD) • Institute the Primary Quality Assurance Organization (PQAO) to help lower the QA burden on SLT agencies and provide adequate level of independence • Measurement quality objectives (MQOs) changing for gaseous pollutants 5 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Gas Instrument QA Requirements* * Table A-2 is from 40 CFR 58, Appendix A

Gas Instrument QA Requirements* * Table A-2 is from 40 CFR 58, Appendix A EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop 6

MQOs for Gas Pollutants Has Changed • Ozone: – Coefficient of Variation (CV): 7%

MQOs for Gas Pollutants Has Changed • Ozone: – Coefficient of Variation (CV): 7% – Bias: +/- 7% • SO 2, NO 2, CO: – CV: 10% – Bias: +/-10% Nationally, 97% of all ozone monitors report Coefficient Variance of less than 7%. • For PM: – No Changes EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop 7

“Reporting Organization” vs. “Primary Quality Assurance Organization” • What’s the Difference? – RO: “an

“Reporting Organization” vs. “Primary Quality Assurance Organization” • What’s the Difference? – RO: “an entity, such as State, local or Tribal monitoring organization that collects and reports air quality data to EPA. ” – PQAO: Monitoring Organization or “other” organization that is responsible for a set of stations that monitor the same pollutant and which data quality assessments can be pooled. ” • PQAOs are responsible for implementing QA EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop 8

“Reporting Organization” vs. “Primary Quality Assurance Organization” (cont. ) • PQAO: – Measurement uncertainty

“Reporting Organization” vs. “Primary Quality Assurance Organization” (cont. ) • PQAO: – Measurement uncertainty “reasonably homogeneous” – Common team of field operators – Use of a common QAPP and SOPs – Oversight of QA functions – In some cases, RO will equal PQAO • Must demonstrate both Adequacy and Independence 9 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Adequacy • Performing audits at 20% of monitoring sites/instruments • Audit data submission to

Adequacy • Performing audits at 20% of monitoring sites/instruments • Audit data submission to AQS • TTP Delivery system • Follow NPAP field/lab SOP critical performance criteria • Audit gases that are NIST certified and validated at least once a year • Validation/certification with the EPA NPAP program • Incorporated in QAPP 10 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Independence • No part of the organization is directly performing and accountable for the

Independence • No part of the organization is directly performing and accountable for the work being assessed (i. e. , PQAO) • Management structure that allow for the separation of its routine sampling personnel from its auditing personnel by two levels of management • Submission of a plan demonstrating independence to the EPA Regional Office. 11 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

New Statistics in 40 CFR 58 Appendix A • Focus Workgroup of the QA

New Statistics in 40 CFR 58 Appendix A • Focus Workgroup of the QA Strategy team formed to review and revise the old statistics in Appendix A • Proposed that the stats be based on confidence intervals to meet the MQOs • This approach allows flexibility for analyst and agencies to tighten or loosen their test if they meet criteria • Allows analysts to look at “pooled” results rather than individual or small sets of data for which the old stats were designed • For gases, both the precision and bias calculations use the bi-weekly QC 1 -point check (i. e. , Precision checks) 12 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Precision and Bias Estimates start the same way & both use the 1 -point

Precision and Bias Estimates start the same way & both use the 1 -point QC check : Monitor value : Target concentration (standard) : Percent Difference (individual bias) 13 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Precision “A measure of mutual agreement among individual measurements of the same property, usually

Precision “A measure of mutual agreement among individual measurements of the same property, usually under prescribed similar conditions” * Where is the 10 th percentile of a Chi-Squared Distribution This represents a 90% upper confidence limit on the CV estimate EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop 14

Bias “A systematic or persistent distortion of a measurement process which causes errors in

Bias “A systematic or persistent distortion of a measurement process which causes errors in one direction” Absolute Bias Point Estimate: Absolute Bias Upper Bound: Where t 0. 95, (n-1) is the 95 th quantile of a Student’s t distribution with n-1 df and sd_abs is the standard deviation of the absolute value of the relative percent differences This represents a 95% upper confidence limit on the Bias estimate 15 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

P&B Guidance and Data Assessment Statistical Calculator (DASC) Software 16 EPA Precursor Gas Training

P&B Guidance and Data Assessment Statistical Calculator (DASC) Software 16 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

AMP 255 Report – Monitoring Orgs. Can run this as often as they wish

AMP 255 Report – Monitoring Orgs. Can run this as often as they wish – OAQPS will run annually – Box–and-whisker plots included in annual summary http: //www. epa. gov/ttn/amtic/parslist. html EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop 17

Data Quality Objectives for the Precursor Gases • DQOs are used to create quality

Data Quality Objectives for the Precursor Gases • DQOs are used to create quality parameters so that the data collected is of sufficient quality for its use • OAQPS staff began the DQO Process 1. 5 years ago • OAQPS staff employed Battelle Inc. to run simulation models to examine how the different QA indicators would affect data quality • From these the Measurement Quality Objectives are defined 18 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

DQO Table for Precursor Gas Parameters Carbon Monoxide Urban Site Power to Detect Annual

DQO Table for Precursor Gas Parameters Carbon Monoxide Urban Site Power to Detect Annual Trend at a Single Site Estimated Fraction of Data Falling in Prediction Interval Power to Detect Annual Trend Across 50 Sites Annual Completeness Hourly Measurement Precision (CV) Site. Specific Bias 5% Reduction 10% Reduction Multiplicative 1/2 Width for 95% Prediction Interval at an Individual Site 90% 7%-20% 5%-20% 75% 100% 9. 6 27% 70% 75% 7%-20% 5%-20% 71% 100% 16. 1 40% 75% Lower Bound Upper Bound 19 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Burden’s Creek Station • AAMG staff have been operating PG/trace gas instruments at BC

Burden’s Creek Station • AAMG staff have been operating PG/trace gas instruments at BC for 2 years • We have been operating like an NCore Station • Since we perform 1 -point QC tests, as described in 40 CFR 58, we can assess the data • How do our results compare to the Battelle model? 20 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Burden’s Creek MQOs (May 06 – April 07) Coefficient of Variance Bias Data Completenes

Burden’s Creek MQOs (May 06 – April 07) Coefficient of Variance Bias Data Completenes s O 3 API 2. 1 +2. 1 91. 1% CO–API 6. 9 +9. 4 76. 7% CO-TEI 5. 8 +/-5. 4 90. 1% NO-API 2. 8 -4. 7 84. 1% NOy-API 3. 3 -5. 7 84. 1% SO 2 -TEI 3. 6 +/-3. 0 92. 5% 21 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

NPAP for Precursor Gas Sites • Precursor monitoring will be part of NPAP •

NPAP for Precursor Gas Sites • Precursor monitoring will be part of NPAP • Monitoring organization are responsible for implementing adequate and independent audits – Allows for continued Federal implementation with STAG funds • NPAP program testing TTP capabilities for precursor gasses at Burdens Creek – Some equipment still being purchased – Expected testing in 1 st quarter 2007 22 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Expansion of Audit Levels • Low levels added to accommodate Trace Level Instruments •

Expansion of Audit Levels • Low levels added to accommodate Trace Level Instruments • At Least three consecutive audit levels • The audit levels selected should represent or bracket 80 percent of ambient concentrations 23 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop

Summary • 40 CFR 58 Appendix A regulations have changed • PQAOs vs. ROs

Summary • 40 CFR 58 Appendix A regulations have changed • PQAOs vs. ROs • There are new statistical calculations – New Tools to assist EPA and stakeholders • EPA has performed a DQO modeling exercise • The BC data illustrates that we can collect data with the MQOs • NPAP TTP audit vehicles are now gearing up 24 EPA Precursor Gas Training Workshop