POPULATION TRENDS AND DEMOGRAPHICS FOR TEXANS WITH DISABILITIES
POPULATION TRENDS AND DEMOGRAPHICS FOR TEXANS WITH DISABILITIES Texas Transportation Works Summit Lubbock, Texas August 17, 2015 LINDA CHERRINGTON SUZIE EDRINGTON TRANSIT MOBILITY PROGRAM
% of National Population 2000 7. 3% Source: U. S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 2
% of National Population 2010 8% Source: U. S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 3
Population Growth: Texas vs US 21 Texas percent Growth 10 National percent Growth Texas outpaced national population growth to between 2000 and 2010. 2 1 Source: U. S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and 2010 4
Statewide Population Growth 1950 -2010 30 Millions 25 20 15 10 5 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 Source: Texas State Demographer and U. S. Census Bureau Decennial Censuses 2000 2010 5
26 0. 45 . 5 26 0. 39 . 1 26 20 . 9 25. 00 0. 92 . 2 Population (Millions) 25 30. 00 Numeric Change (Millions) . 9 Texas Population 1950 -2014 17 4. 29 3. 87 2. 76 3. 03 11 1. 62 9. 6 1. 87 5. 00 7. 7 10. 00 . 2 15. 00 14 . 2 . 0 20. 00 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2012 2013 2014 All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012 -2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U. S. Census Bureau. Source: Texas State Demographer, U. S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates 6
Percent Population Change by Texas County, 2010 to 2014 Source: U. S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 7
Texas Leads U. S. Job Growth 2004 -2014 Washington 320, 000 New York 550, 000 California 810, 000 North Carolina 340, 000 Texas 2, 180, 000 29% of U. S. Job Growth 2004 -2014 8
Population by County 86 10, 000 10, 001 50, 000 50, 001 - 100, 000 100, 001 - 500, 000 500, 001 - 4, 441, 370 2014 Source: Texas State Demographer, U. S. Census Bureau, 2014 Population Estimates 9
Population Change ‘ 10 to ‘ 14 102 counties lost population over the four year period. Source: Texas State Demographer, U. S. Census Bureau 2014 Population Estimates 10
% of County Population Change ‘ 00 to ‘ 13 11
Components of Change in Texas 1950 -2010 Migration Natural Increase 10. 5% 13. 3% 34. 1% 58. 5% 89. 5% 50. 3% 46. 3% 49. 7% 53. 7% 1990 s 2000 s 86. 7% 65. 9% 41. 5% 1950 s 1960 s 1970 s 1980 s Source: Texas State Demographer, U. S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates 12
Millions Projected Race/Ethnicity 2010 -2050 35 White (Non-Hispanic) 30 Black (Non-Hispanic) 25 Other (Non-Hispanic 20 15 10 5 0 2 0 1 0 2 5 1 0 2 0 5 2 20 0 3 20 5 3 20 0 4 20 Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , 2000 -2010 Migration Scenario 2 5 4 0 0 5 0 2 13
TEXANS WITH DISABILITIES? 14
Texans, Census 2010 Texas with Disabilities 2, 902, 056 11. 5% Source: Census 2010, 2009 -2013 ACS S 1810 Total 25, 145, 56 15
Disability Characteristics Percent of All Disabilities Reported 11% 27% 11% Ambulatory difficulty Cognitive difficulty Independent living difficulty 15% Hearing difficulty 19% 17% Vision difficulty Self-care difficulty Civilian noninstitutionalized population 2, 902, 056 Source: 2009 -2013 ACS S 1810 16
Percent of Population with a Disability by Age Group % PWD of Total 11. 5% Total 55. 1% >= 75 years 29. 6% 65 to 74 years 12. 9% 35 to 64 years 18 to 34 years 5. 4% 5 to 17 years 5. 4% <5 0. 9% Civilian noninstitutionalized population 2, 902, 056 Source: 2009 -2013 ACS B 18101 17
Labor Force 18 TO 64 Years Texans w/Disability 1. 6 million In labor force and employed 54% worked full-time 38% 55% Not in labor force Texans No Disability 14. 0 million Not in labor force 20% 6% 7% In labor force but unemployed 74% In labor force and employed 68% worked full-time Civilian noninstitutionalized population 18 to 64 years 693, 924 Source: 2009 -2013 ACS C 18120 18
Educational Attainment Texans w/Disability Bachelor or higher College or associate High school Less than high school 14% 27% 30% Texans No Disability Bachelor or higher 30% College or associate 30% High school Less than high school 24% 17% Civilian noninstitutionalized population – Age 25 and Over 2, 477, 593 Source: 2009 -2013 ACS S 1811 19
Earning Power 39. 6% Texans w/Disability earn <$15, 000 Texas Median $30, 100 Tx. WD Median $21, 000 No Disability With a Disability Tx. WD Median Earning = Texas median - $9100 2013 Inflation adjusted dollars, Earnings in past 12 -months Population Age 16 and over with earnings 835, 182 Source: 2009 -2013 ACS S 1811 20
Commuting to Workers Age 16+ w/Disability (648, 253) 74% Drive alone 13. 4% Carpool Vanpool 5. 2% 2. 5% Work at home Transit Walk Workers Age 16 and Over Source: 2009 -2013 ACS C 18120 2. 5% Taxi, Bike, etc. 21
Commuting to Workers Age 16+ w/Disability (648, 253) 74% Drive alone 80. 4% 13. 4% Carpool Vanpool 11% 5. 2% 2. 5% Work at home Transit Walk 1. 5% 3. 9% 2. 5% Taxi, Bike, etc. 1. 7% Workers Age 16+ No Disability (10. 7 million) Workers Age 16 and Over Source: 2009 -2013 ACS C 18120 22
People with Disabilities 2010 Urbanized Area In 2010: • 71% of people with disabilities concentrates in urbanized areas. • 11% of people with disabilities lives in rural areas of counties that are partially urbanized. • The remaining 18% of people with disabilities is living in completely rural counties. 23
% with Disability by Census Tract Source: ACS 2009 -2013 24
% Age 65 or Over by Census Tract Source: ACS 2009 -2013 25
Population Change ‘ 00 to ‘ 13 2010 Urbanized Areas Over the 13 -year period: • 8 counties near San Antonio, Austin, Dallas, Houston areas grew over 50% • 73 rural counties lost population, up to 26% 26
People You Resources from “Interesting” to “Action” 27
https: //c 1. staticflickr. com/7/6127/6036989993_71 e 02 b 95 b 4. jpg Linda Cherrington, TTI Email L-Cherrington@tamu. edu Phone 713. 613. 9240 28
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