PEN workshop 2009 PEN status and next steps

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PEN workshop 2009 PEN: status and next steps Arild Angelsen PEN coordinator

PEN workshop 2009 PEN: status and next steps Arild Angelsen PEN coordinator

PEN is a n n n large tropics-wide collection of detailed and high-quality data

PEN is a n n n large tropics-wide collection of detailed and high-quality data by (mainly) Ph. D students on the poverty-forest (environment) nexus, coordinated by CIFOR Aim: most comprehensive (breath and depth) analysis of poverty-forest ever

What’s really unique? Modus operandi n High quality data n Size n n Social

What’s really unique? Modus operandi n High quality data n Size n n Social capital

The PEN project (2004 -2011) 0. Planning and preparations: 2004 -2006 n n Prototype

The PEN project (2004 -2011) 0. Planning and preparations: 2004 -2006 n n Prototype questionnaire, guidelines, Access database Three methods workshops (Bogor 04, Brisbane 05, Copenhagen 06) 1. Data collection: 2005 -2008 n n Fieldwork & data collection Funding applications secured the financial base (DFID, Danida, USAID, IFS + CIFOR core) 2. Analysis and dissemination: 2008 -2011 n n n Three workshops/conferences (Barcelona 08, Bogor 09, UK 10) Creation of PEN global data set Methods book Data analysis and writing: cases, thematic & global Synthesis publications (book or special issue of journal) Dissemination and policy work

What have achieved scince Bogor 2004? n n Did most what we planned Did

What have achieved scince Bogor 2004? n n Did most what we planned Did much more than planned • • Questionnaire # studies (38 vs. 20) Guidlines and assistance provided Adaprive co-management n Several Ph. Ds completed Some results produced and dissiminated n Half of the job is still ahead n

Some lessons n PEN is a maraton (7+ years) • Keep focus and motivation

Some lessons n PEN is a maraton (7+ years) • Keep focus and motivation • People come and go n Good research takes time (TTT) • ”No shortcuts to progress” • Attention to details • Time needed for data cleaning and management is commonly underestimated

… a chain is only as strong as its weakest link … n. Reality

… a chain is only as strong as its weakest link … n. Reality n. Responden t n. Writing n. Enumerat n. Interpretation or There are plenty of opportunities to mess up things n. Questionnaire n. Results n. Raw n. Data Anslysis n. Clearn data set

We have done the data collection …. We are cleaning the 294 150 questionnaire

We have done the data collection …. We are cleaning the 294 150 questionnaire pages to manage them in a data set of 17 348 734 data cells …. We then have to extract the good stories and tell them load and clearly

The stories should be about: People (poor) n n Forest (env) n Policies

The stories should be about: People (poor) n n Forest (env) n Policies

Themes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Livelihoods: forests role as supporting current consumption,

Themes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Livelihoods: forests role as supporting current consumption, safety net, and pathway out of poverty What is the Forest tenure, joint/communal/local forest management, decentralization Markets: local integration and functioning of markets Poverty impacts of deforestation and land use changes Payment forest environmental services, including tourism Climate ? ?

Some preliminary results

Some preliminary results

Poverty profile

Poverty profile

There a lot of exciting stories and good research to be done (some which

There a lot of exciting stories and good research to be done (some which goes well beyond the forest-poverty debate)

Publications and dissemination n n Some central management of key outputs, then AA Science

Publications and dissemination n n Some central management of key outputs, then AA Science article Special issue journal and book(s)? Regional synthesis Thematic work

This workshop 1. 2. 3. PEN business Field stories –> global analysis Writing (

This workshop 1. 2. 3. PEN business Field stories –> global analysis Writing ( = research)

Programme Session Monday 23. March Morning I Opening, Pen biz. Tuesday 24. March Wednesday

Programme Session Monday 23. March Morning I Opening, Pen biz. Tuesday 24. March Wednesday 25. March Thursday 26. March Friday 27. March Saturday 28. March DG address + Global/themat PEN partner PEN biz. ic analysis: presentations Introduction – informing the global Methods book PEN partner analysis & fieldwork presentations experiences – informing the global analysis Global analysis: synthesis Writing Workshop Phase II Wrap up; Next steps Wrap-up of writing workshop Afternoon I Data management Afternoon II Income and data analysis Writing Workshop Phase II Morning II Evening Writing Workshop Phase I Cocktail Half day trip to Kebun Raya Dinner Pool-side BBQ Departure

PEN songs n n 2005: “You’ll never walk alone” 2006: YMCA Young man, are

PEN songs n n 2005: “You’ll never walk alone” 2006: YMCA Young man, are you listening to me? I said, young man, what do you want to be? I said, young man, you can make real your dreams. But you got to know this one thing! No man does it all by himself n 2008: The PEN song: This is the survey that never ends

”Fix You” (Coldplay) When you try your best but you don't succeed When you

”Fix You” (Coldplay) When you try your best but you don't succeed When you get what you want but not what you need When you feel so tired but you can't sleep Stuck in reverse. And the tears come streaming down your face When you lose something you can't replace When you love someone but it goes to waste Could it be worse? Lights will guide you home And ignite your bones And I will try to fix you