Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights…. A History Lesson… Adapted from a presentation by Jeremy Leggett.
1930 Peak of discovery in US 48
USA 48 1956 - Hubbert predicts US production peak in 1971 production
World 1965 - World peak of discovery
1973 The first oil crisis
USA 48 1973 – US Oil Production Peaks. production
1978 – The Second Oil Crisis.
1981 – Crisis over…
1985 – the doubts begin…
1989 Jim Hansen of NASA: “It is time to say global warming is here. ”
1989 Authoritative early warning
1990 “Race to save our world”
1992
1997 - BP quits the carbon club
1997 Kyoto
1998 – Campbell and Lahererre publish ‘The End of Cheap Oil’.
2001
2003 - Summer in the city AUGUST 2003 EUROPEAN HEATWAVE anomaly relative to late 19 th century Hadley Centre
2004
2005 G 8 in UK
2005 - Katrina
2 Second energy crisis 1979 to 1981 $60 6 2003 prices 1 $40 3 4 ? Peak oil $80 5 $20 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 prices of the day
Departures o. C from the 1961 – 1990 avge. Average temperatures from a range of IPCC energy scenarios short of deep cuts in fossil fuel use Threshold of severe danger: 2 o. C above pre-industrial average temperature (EU target not to exceed)
The Impact of Kyoto
How will it affect the UK?
An Increasing Problem.
Climate change and Peak Oil.
Some Useful Websites www. energybulletin. net www. theoildrum. com www. livingonthecusp. org www. powerswitch. org. uk www. transitionculture. org