Peak Oil and Climate Change the 2 great

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Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights…. A History Lesson… Adapted

Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights…. A History Lesson… Adapted from a presentation by Jeremy Leggett.

1930 Peak of discovery in US 48

1930 Peak of discovery in US 48

USA 48 1956 - Hubbert predicts US production peak in 1971 production

USA 48 1956 - Hubbert predicts US production peak in 1971 production

World 1965 - World peak of discovery

World 1965 - World peak of discovery

1973 The first oil crisis

1973 The first oil crisis

USA 48 1973 – US Oil Production Peaks. production

USA 48 1973 – US Oil Production Peaks. production

1978 – The Second Oil Crisis.

1978 – The Second Oil Crisis.

1981 – Crisis over…

1981 – Crisis over…

1985 – the doubts begin…

1985 – the doubts begin…

1989 Jim Hansen of NASA: “It is time to say global warming is here.

1989 Jim Hansen of NASA: “It is time to say global warming is here. ”

1989 Authoritative early warning

1989 Authoritative early warning

1990 “Race to save our world”

1990 “Race to save our world”

1992

1992

1997 - BP quits the carbon club

1997 - BP quits the carbon club

1997 Kyoto

1997 Kyoto

1998 – Campbell and Lahererre publish ‘The End of Cheap Oil’.

1998 – Campbell and Lahererre publish ‘The End of Cheap Oil’.

2001

2001

2003 - Summer in the city AUGUST 2003 EUROPEAN HEATWAVE anomaly relative to late

2003 - Summer in the city AUGUST 2003 EUROPEAN HEATWAVE anomaly relative to late 19 th century Hadley Centre

2004

2004

2005 G 8 in UK

2005 G 8 in UK

2005 - Katrina

2005 - Katrina

2 Second energy crisis 1979 to 1981 $60 6 2003 prices 1 $40 3

2 Second energy crisis 1979 to 1981 $60 6 2003 prices 1 $40 3 4 ? Peak oil $80 5 $20 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 prices of the day

Departures o. C from the 1961 – 1990 avge. Average temperatures from a range

Departures o. C from the 1961 – 1990 avge. Average temperatures from a range of IPCC energy scenarios short of deep cuts in fossil fuel use Threshold of severe danger: 2 o. C above pre-industrial average temperature (EU target not to exceed)

The Impact of Kyoto

The Impact of Kyoto

How will it affect the UK?

How will it affect the UK?

An Increasing Problem.

An Increasing Problem.

Climate change and Peak Oil.

Climate change and Peak Oil.

Some Useful Websites www. energybulletin. net www. theoildrum. com www. livingonthecusp. org www. powerswitch.

Some Useful Websites www. energybulletin. net www. theoildrum. com www. livingonthecusp. org www. powerswitch. org. uk www. transitionculture. org