Parliament 21 November 2012 Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo Executive

Parliament 21 November 2012 Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo Executive Manager: Stakeholder Relations: Pretoria 1

Cruise Texture 2

High Schools in Cape Town 3

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Hot Spot Analysis 5

Anselin Outlier Analysis 6

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Bomfenbrenner (1979): defined four contributing groups to school performance • Macro Level – Education Department, OBE, CAPS • Meso Level – School funding, Teachers qualification, • Micro Level – Individual Students, attendance, homework • Exo Level – Socio- Economic Factors in the Community/ School feeder areas Levels of Poverty Level of Employment Access to Basic Services Household goods A useful definition of Socio economic status (SES) is: “Relative position of a family or individual on a hierarchal social structure based on their access to, or control over wealth, prestige and power” Willms 2004. 8

Coleman Report The Coleman Report on equality of education opportunities was commissioned by the United States Congress 1966 to investigate the poor school performance of African American students. The study comprised a sample of 4000 schools across the United States of America (Coleman et al. 1966). The report found that the learner’s personal and family characteristics were major contributing influences on the students’ performance rather than the characteristics of the schools they attended. 9

Regression Model Pass =58. 92 +0. 13 Employment +0. 12 Telephone +0. 09 Computer Variable Estimate t-statistic p-value VIF Intercept 58. 92 20. 48 <0. 0001 *** Computer 0. 09 2. 07 0. 041 *** 4. 96 Employed 0. 13 2. 31 0. 020 *** 1. 82 Telephone 0. 12 2. 88 0. 004 *** 4. 89 10

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Simpsons Paradox 12

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Geographically Weighted Regression 14

Studies using Socio – Economic Factors Massachusetts, Jaggia and Kelly-Hawke (1994) Madagascar , Ramandriafamatanantsosa (1995) Townsend index of deprivation locations of individual schools , Conduit (1996) Florida, Tschinkel (1998) Kentucky school districts, Pitts and Reeves (1999) San Diego, Betts 2003 New South Wales department of education and training , Holmes-Smith 2006 15

Studies using Spatial Statistics Gordon and Monastiriotis (2003) Gibson and Asthana (1998) Conduit (1996) Fotheringham et al (2001) 16

Thank you Arulsivanathan Naidoo aruln@statssa. gov. za Special Request info@statssa. gov. za 17