PAF 101 Module 5 Lecture 3 Suos Cultores

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PAF 101 Module 5, Lecture 3 “Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat” - Syracuse University motto

PAF 101 Module 5, Lecture 3 “Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat” - Syracuse University motto

Class Agenda • Announcements • More on the Prince System

Class Agenda • Announcements • More on the Prince System

Photo Office of Financial Literacy Sam Kessler smkessle@syr. edu

Photo Office of Financial Literacy Sam Kessler smkessle@syr. edu

COACHING SESSION COUNTS AS 3 EXTRA CREDIT POINTS How to sign up: -Email the

COACHING SESSION COUNTS AS 3 EXTRA CREDIT POINTS How to sign up: -Email the word “Coach” to finlit@syr. edu -CC smkessle@syr. edu - if you do not do this you will not receive extra credit -Do NOT forget to print out and bring the form that the coach will sign or else you will not receive extra credit -The form is located under the Extra Credit tab on the PAF 101 website

Community Service Reminder • The due date for the community service form is Monday

Community Service Reminder • The due date for the community service form is Monday 12/5 in class. • Use the online form on 101 website. • If you don’t turn in a community service form ever, you will lose 35 points. If you turn it in late, the late paper policy will be in effect.

Dale Carnegie Fireside Chat • Featuring

Dale Carnegie Fireside Chat • Featuring

Competition Points Winners Losers Group # A B C D G J H Points

Competition Points Winners Losers Group # A B C D G J H Points 8 8 6 3 2 2 1 E I F 1 1 0 As of 11/11/16

Prince Analysis Steps 1. Identify Necessary Actions 2. Identify Key Players 3. Estimate Position

Prince Analysis Steps 1. Identify Necessary Actions 2. Identify Key Players 3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5) 4. Estimate Power (1 to 5) 5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5) 6. Calculate Probabilities 7. Formulate Prince Strategies Ex. 9. 1 Ex. 9. 2 Ex. 9. 3 Ex. 9. 4 Chapter 10

Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented • Be sure it is a

Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented • Be sure it is a policy and not a goal • Is it a federal, state or local policy? • Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or financial policy • Cannot be a judicial decision

Step 2: Identify Players • Government Units in the United States: 3, 000 Counties

Step 2: Identify Players • Government Units in the United States: 3, 000 Counties 19, 000 municipalities + 43, 000 special districts 65, 000 total government units

How To Select Players • Ask players, experts, and stakeholders. • Legislatures: They affect

How To Select Players • Ask players, experts, and stakeholders. • Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area • Aggregation problems with legislative bodies • If not legislative, must be administrative • Interest groups can be important especially for new policies • Watch out for dogs

New York State • Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial • Governor Cuomo

New York State • Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial • Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch. • State Agencies, like the Department of Education and Board of Regents are under the Executive Branch

Onondaga County • County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by

Onondaga County • County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government • Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county • Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital

Legislative Branch • New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature. • Which

Legislative Branch • New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature. • Which state is not bi-cameral? • Assembly is a 150 member body • Senate is a 62 member body

Executive Branch • Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies •

Executive Branch • Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies • State agencies help put legislation into effect

Helpful Websites • http: //www. assembly. state. ny. us/ • http: //www. senate. state.

Helpful Websites • http: //www. assembly. state. ny. us/ • http: //www. senate. state. ny. us/senateh omepage. nsf/home? openform • http: //www. ny. gov/ • http: //www. ongov. net/legislature/

Step 3: Estimating Issue Position • Empirical - quotes • Deductive Principles • Special

Step 3: Estimating Issue Position • Empirical - quotes • Deductive Principles • Special Interest Players (3 -5) • Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials (0 -2) • Budget cost predispose toward opposition

Step 4: Estimating Power • Specific to Issues • Players with Veto Power: 4

Step 4: Estimating Power • Specific to Issues • Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5 • Legislatures • President, Governors, • Non-veto-players: • Sources of Power • Official Position • Money • Numbers (voters) • Expertise Mayors, etc. 3, 2, or 1

Step 5: Estimating Priority • Single issue player: high on relevant issue • Multiple

Step 5: Estimating Priority • Single issue player: high on relevant issue • Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues • Changes quickly in either direction • Frequency of statements are key

Step 6: Calculating Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X Priority=Prince Score 1. •

Step 6: Calculating Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X Priority=Prince Score 1. • • When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score) Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores 3. Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis 4. Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support 2.

Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve • No matter how much you love your policy proposal,

Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve • No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50% • WHY?

Homework for Wednesday • Type and print exercise 9. 2 for the policy hold

Homework for Wednesday • Type and print exercise 9. 2 for the policy hold Syracuse University tuition to the rate of inflation

For Next Class • Work on Module Five • Get your community service hours

For Next Class • Work on Module Five • Get your community service hours completed • Competition Workshop for Wednesday. • A- MAX 105 • E- TA Bay • B, C, D, G, F, H- Auditorium • I, J- Foyer