PACE 2 0 Update March 13 2018 PACE

PACE 2. 0 Update March 13, 2018

PACE 2. 0 Activities • Focus groups: PACE organizations • Key informant interviews: State Medicaid Directors • Growth Prototype Development: • “Bright Spot” identification: • In operation 3+ years • 10+ net enrollment/mo and/or • 20% market penetration • Draft growth strategies for prototype • Prototype Testing: PACE of the Triad • Upcoming site visits: On Lok, Center. Light, PORI • Using model variations • High quality PACE 2. 0 data • To assess essential elements and model variations

PACE 2. 0 Growth Streams Stream 1: Current POs, Current Population Year: 8/2018 Stream 2: New POs, Current Population 8/2019 Stream 3: Current and New POs, New Populations 8/2020

PACE 2. 0 Growth Streams 1 and 2, Current and New POs, Current Population 120000 100000 PACE Participants 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Current Trajectory 1. Operating P. O. s, Current Population 2. New P. O. s, Current Population Baseline 45000 3 Qtr, 2018 46000 4 Qtr, 2018 47000 75 1 Qtr, 2019 48000 115 2 Qtr, 2019 48800 52000 150 3 Qtr, 2019 49600 56000 190 4 Qtr, 2019 50400 60000 225 1 Qtr, 2020 51000 64000 350 2 Qtr, 2020 51500 65500 490 3 Qtr, 2020 52750 67000 620 4 Qtr, 2020 53500 68500 750 1 Qtr, 2021 54000 70000 1000 2 Qtr, 2021 55000 83600 1300 3 Qtr, 2021 56000 97200 2000

Growth Stream 1: Current POs, Current Target Population Category Number Current National Census Estimate 45, 000 Participants Current Number of PACE Organizations 123 Across 31 States Interim Growth Goal 100, 000 Participants by 2021 (3 years away) Difference Between Interim Goal and Current National Census 55, 000 Participants Annual Net Enrollment Needed to Meet Interim Goal 18, 334 Participants/year Annual Net Enrollment Needed per PACE Organization to Meet Interim Goal 149 Participants/year Monthly Net Enrollment Needed per PACE Organization to Meet Interim Goal 13 Participants/month

Growth Streams 1 and 2: State Heat Map