Overview of the NSSL Experimental Warning Program EWP

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Overview of the NSSL Experimental Warning Program (EWP) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf CIMMS /

Overview of the NSSL Experimental Warning Program (EWP) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf CIMMS / University of Oklahoma NWS MDL Location: National Weather Center, Norman, OK EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

NSSL Mission To enhance NOAA’s capabilities to provide accurate and timely forecasts and warnings

NSSL Mission To enhance NOAA’s capabilities to provide accurate and timely forecasts and warnings of hazardous weather events. NSSL accomplishes this mission, in partnership with the National Weather Service (NWS), through: a balanced program of research to advance the knowledge of weather processes research to improve forecasting and warning methodologies development of operational technology and transfer of knowledge, methodologies, and technology to NWS operations EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Transfer to Operations: NOAA Testbeds Testing experimental applications, products, systems, models of operations, and

Transfer to Operations: NOAA Testbeds Testing experimental applications, products, systems, models of operations, and public services. Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) u u NSSL/NWS Experimental Warning Program NSSL/SPC Experimental Forecast Program National Weather Radar Testbed (NWRT) u Multi-purpose Phased Array Radar Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) u Western US, Central US, and Eastern US Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) u EWP 2010 National Hurricane Center Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

What is the HWT? Both a facility and an organization… The facility is located

What is the HWT? Both a facility and an organization… The facility is located on the second floor of the new NWC, between the SPC and WFO OUN operational forecasting areas. An organization that supports and promotes collaborative research activities between NSSL, SPC, OUN, and the broader meteorological community of researcher scientists, academia, and forecasters. EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

HWT Experimental Warning Program Mission: to improve the nation's hazardous weather warning services by

HWT Experimental Warning Program Mission: to improve the nation's hazardous weather warning services by bringing together forecasters, researchers, trainers, developers, and user groups to develop, test and evaluate new observing platforms, applications/algorithms, and products/services. Feedback from experiments used for improvements Immerse forecasters in a research environment Provide researchers information about operational requirements Goal: Improve decision support for the prediction of high impact severe weather hazards at the “warning scale” (0 -2 hours) for all WFOs. . EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Norman is Unique Sensor-rich. A few unique ones: Phased Array Radar Polarimetric radar Gap-filling

Norman is Unique Sensor-rich. A few unique ones: Phased Array Radar Polarimetric radar Gap-filling radars 3 D Lightning Mapping Array Mesonet National-scale applications run locally (models, WDSSII) Large community of researchers, operational meteorologists, students, industry Lots of visiting meteorologists Meteorology also intersects with other disciplines EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

EWP Partners NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFO) National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) NWS Meteorological

EWP Partners NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFO) National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL) NWS Warning Decision Training Branch (WDTB) Social Science Woven Into Meteorology (SSWIM) GOES-R Proving Ground HWT Experimental Forecast Program (EFP) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

What we can test New sensors: Phased-Array Radar Gap-filling radars (CASA) Polarimetric radar 3

What we can test New sensors: Phased-Array Radar Gap-filling radars (CASA) Polarimetric radar 3 D Lightning Mapping Array Mobile Radar GOES-R Satellite proxy applications EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

What we can test New applications/algorithms: Multiple-radar / Multiple-Sensor (MRMS) 2 D/3 D Extrapolation

What we can test New applications/algorithms: Multiple-radar / Multiple-Sensor (MRMS) 2 D/3 D Extrapolation for “future” radar Experimental NWP for very short term prediction Blending extrapolation and NWP Probabilistic hazard guidance Automated storm typing Improved verification techniques (SHAVE) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

What we can test New operational concepts, products and services: Next-Generation Warning Tool (NGWT)

What we can test New operational concepts, products and services: Next-Generation Warning Tool (NGWT) Probabilistic Hazard grids New dissemination products Advanced display technology Decision support tools Human-machine mix EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

History of Collaboration: NOAA Research and NWS mid ’ 70 s early ’ 80

History of Collaboration: NOAA Research and NWS mid ’ 70 s early ’ 80 s 85 mid-late ’ 80 s 1989 late ’ 80 s early ’ 90 s 1994 -95 mid ’ 90 s 1997 thru 2009 + JDOP Early algorithms MAPS Pre-STORM COPS DOPLIGHT NEXRAD IOT&E II QED Stormtipe Pre-AWIPS Risk Reduction EWP 2010 VORTEX WDSS ORPG AWIPS Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL NSSL/SPC WDSS II JPOL COMET IHOP ORDA PAR CASA LMA PHI Overview

Testing Leads to Warning Operations JDOP Operational Doppler weather radar IOT&E II WSR-88 D

Testing Leads to Warning Operations JDOP Operational Doppler weather radar IOT&E II WSR-88 D Deployment WDSS Next generation algorithms / SCAN deployment ORPG NEXRAD products generator JPOLE Dual pol deployment WDSSII Display Four-Dimensional Stormcell Investigator MRMS Algorithms On-Demand Verification Support System; Google Earth KML; OSIP process underway for AWIPS 2 EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Recent EWP Experiments 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Recent EWP Experiments 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Phased Array Radar Innovative Sensing Experiment (PARISE) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Phased Array Radar Innovative Sensing Experiment (PARISE) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) • • 0 -3 km $ Network

Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) • • 0 -3 km $ Network of small radars Low to the ground Adaptive Low cost $ $ $$$$$$$ © 1998 Prentice-Hall, Inc. -- From: Lutgens and Tarbuck, The Atmosphere, 7 th Ed. EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

WDSSII Multiple-Radar Multiple -Sensor Applications EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

WDSSII Multiple-Radar Multiple -Sensor Applications EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

GOES-R / Total Lightning (GLM, LMA) LMA visualization and attribute extraction (Courtesy: Scott Rudolsky,

GOES-R / Total Lightning (GLM, LMA) LMA visualization and attribute extraction (Courtesy: Scott Rudolsky, Florida State University ) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

EWP Personnel EWP Officers Greg Stumpf (Operations Coordinator) Kevin Manross (IT Coordinator) Travis Smith

EWP Personnel EWP Officers Greg Stumpf (Operations Coordinator) Kevin Manross (IT Coordinator) Travis Smith (co-Team Leader) David Andra (co-Team Leader) Weekly Coordinator (WC) Project Scientists You! (Forecaster/Evaluators) EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

HWT: EWP Operations Area EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

HWT: EWP Operations Area EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

HWT Technology Situational Awareness Display (SAD) AWIPS Available at every workstation Can be “localized”

HWT Technology Situational Awareness Display (SAD) AWIPS Available at every workstation Can be “localized” to any WFO Will ingest WDSSII MRMS, CASA, GOES-R, lightning, WOF grids Can use Warn. Gen and issue experimental warnings WDSSII and Google Earth available at all workstations NSSL Development Laboratory and radar labs also equipped. EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Daily Schedule (Mon) 1245 -100 pm Visitor Welcome and Brief HWT facilities tour 100

Daily Schedule (Mon) 1245 -100 pm Visitor Welcome and Brief HWT facilities tour 100 -130 pm New Participant Orientation Seminar (Dev Lab) 130 -200 pm Daily coordination discussion for today (Dev Lab) 200 -215 pm Break 215 -530 pm Project Introduction Seminars and Demos (Dev Lab) 530 -630 pm Dinner Break (weather permitting) 630 -900 pm Intensive Operations Period (IOP) or Archive case playback / Training EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Daily Schedule (Tue-Thu) 1 -2 pm Dev Lab (NWC 2820) Debriefing of previous day’s

Daily Schedule (Tue-Thu) 1 -2 pm Dev Lab (NWC 2820) Debriefing of previous day’s activities Daily coordination discussion for today 2 -9 pm HWT Ops Area or Dev Lab Complete Intro seminars and Training Archive Playback 3 -4 hour Intensive Operations Period (IOP) 2 -4 pm: GOES-R “selectees” to work with SPC GOES-R participants in EFP EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Intensive Operations Periods (IOP) Mon-Thu only Maximum of one IOP per day 3 -hour

Intensive Operations Periods (IOP) Mon-Thu only Maximum of one IOP per day 3 -hour block, plus a 30 minute situational awareness briefing and a 30 -minute pos-event discussion Weekly Coordinator to determine operational period and location Weekly Coordinator will manage the placement of the forecaster/ evaluators at the various experiment stations, and may rotate folks in and out of position at certain times EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Fridays 10 a-12 p End-of-week debriefing for all experiments 12 -1 p Optional brown-bag

Fridays 10 a-12 p End-of-week debriefing for all experiments 12 -1 p Optional brown-bag lunch seminars from visiting participants -or. Adjourn for the week EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

EWP Web Presence External (public) http: //ewp. nssl. noaa. gov Content: u u General

EWP Web Presence External (public) http: //ewp. nssl. noaa. gov Content: u u General Information about the EWP Past experiment information Internal (private) https: //secure. nssl. noaa. gov/projects/ewp 2010 u NOAA LDAP user and password Content: u u u EWP 2010 The EWP Blog Schedules (Google Calendar) Operations Manuals Experiment Power. Point Briefings Other useful links Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

Future EWP Possibilities New AWIPS 2 servers More emphasis on extended/overlapping shifts with EFP

Future EWP Possibilities New AWIPS 2 servers More emphasis on extended/overlapping shifts with EFP Activities outside of Spring season Flood, winter weather, fire weather Social Science studies of new products and services EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

“Warn On Forecast” Radar Assimilation 60 -minute Tornado Threat Grid EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf

“Warn On Forecast” Radar Assimilation 60 -minute Tornado Threat Grid EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

EWP Final Thoughts This is a research experiment… …therefore, expect to be glitches, bugs,

EWP Final Thoughts This is a research experiment… …therefore, expect to be glitches, bugs, and wrinkles! Try to focus beyond these glitches toward the bigger picture: To the future of NWS warning operations and services EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview

EWP Final Thoughts Learn about exciting new technology Share your knowledge with your peers

EWP Final Thoughts Learn about exciting new technology Share your knowledge with your peers Have fun! EWP 2010 Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/MDL Overview