OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE RELEVANT INFORMATION EXECUTIVE BRIEFING CINC
® OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE & RELEVANT INFORMATION: EXECUTIVE BRIEFING (CINC BRIEF) Robert D. Steele, OSS CEO <bear@oss. net>
® What’s on the other side of the hill? All the business of war, and indeed all the business of life, is to endeavor to find out what you don’t know by what you do; that’s what I called “guessing what was at the other side of the hill”. Duke of Wellington quoted in John Wilson Croker, The Croker Papers (1884)
® FOUR CORE IDEAS: A-C Teams need OSINT in real-time. IC is not in the OSINT business. CINCs have to program for OSINT can make a difference in tactical effectiveness, operational planning, and acquisition management.
® OSINT DEFINITIONS Open Source Data Open Source Information Only the in-house analyst can do this. Open Source Intelligence Validated Open Source Intelligence
® BURUNDI EXERCISE: 6 Phone Calls Top Ten Journalists/Top Ten Academics Tribal Orders of Battle and AOs Pol-Mil Overviews Soviet 1: 100, 000 Combat Charts 100% Commercial Imagery <3 Years Old
® COMPETING OSINT MODELS Validated OSINT SI/TK Selective Importation Just Enough, Just in Time System High/Firewall Default to Validated OSINT
® NEW INTELLIGENCE GAP I N F O R M A T I O N Available Information Actionable Intelligence The New Intelligence Gap: the difference between what you can know and what you can use! TIME OSINT is as complex as the other disciplines…
® FOUR THREAT/IO TYPES SOLIC/LEA UNCONVENTIONAL LOW INTENSITY CONFLICT AND GANG WARFARE HIC/MRC STRATEGIC NUCLEAR AND CONVENTIONAL MILITARY WAR INFOWAR/ ECONOMIC ESPIONAGE IW/ECON INFORMATION WAR/ CRIME & ECONOMIC ESPIONAGE PROLIFERATION/ MIGRATION JIHAD/ GREENPEACE TERRORISM/ GLOBAL CRIME MINDWAR RELIGIOUS, POLITICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL REFUGEES
® THOUGHTFUL OPINIONS “The Intelligence Community has to get used to the fact that it no longer controls most of the information. ” The Honorable Richard Kerr, former Deputy Director of Central Intelligence “…(IC) should not satisfy requests for analysis when such analysis could be readily accomplished using publicly available sources… Aspin-Brown Comission on Intelligence, page 17 You’re on your own!
® OSINT SUPPORT TO THE A TEAM Strategic Planning • History • Context Operational Coordination • Current Awareness • Key Personalities/Motivators Tactical Employment • Imagery & Image Maps • Translation Support Acquisition Design • Strategic Generalizations • Critical Technologies
® OSINT AND THE CINC TODAY IC limited in global coverage capability. Fewer closed societies and denied areas. IT revolution empowering operators. OSINT can address 80% of mission area information requirements.
® PACOM’S Virtual Information Center Remote Sensing NGOs IOs UN Business Community F I L T E R S F U S I O N Predictive Modeling A N A L Y S I S Embassy Host & Adjacent Govts JTF Internet J-8’s Idea!
® LONG-TERM BUILDING BLOCKS Policy Intelligence Law Enforcement Intelligence Coalition Intelligence Military Intelligence Business Intelligence/OSINT Mass & Niche Media Intelligence Citizen Intelligence--Intelligence “Minuteman” Basic, Advanced, & Corporate Education
® Peacekeeping Intelligence • “… the concept of UN intelligence promises to turn traditional principles on their heads. Intelligence will have to be based on information that is collected primarily by overt means, that is by methods that do not threaten the target state or group and do not compromise the integrity or impartiality of the UN. ” Hugh Smith as cited by Sir David Ramsbotham Political. Legal Natural. Geographic Socio. Economic Ideo-Cultural Techno. Demographic
® Decision-Maker Integration, Reflection & Decision Information Management Staff Collection Management, Fusion, Analysis & Presentation R A N D O M EXISTING INPUT normal staff process, counterparts, family/friends OPEN SOURCE INPUT Internet & private sector fee-for-service INFORMATION UNIVERSE Relevant and Irrelevant -- Open and Secret S E C R E T
® REQUIREMENTS OFFICER/ COLLECTION MANAGER INTERNET SPECIALIST PRIMARY RESEARCH SPECIALIST COMMERCIAL ONLINE SPECIALIST EXTERNAL SERVICES SPECIALIST Leverage!!! EDITOR/ANALYST PRESENTATION MANAGER
® GENERIC OSINT BUDGET
® OSINT: THE CINC’S WILD CARD Earmarked funding not available yet. OSINT Con. Ops still lacking. Robust private sector options are there. CINC can leverage C 4 ISR JBC, JROC.
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