Oil Sands Modeling An Introduction to the Current

Oil Sands Modeling: An Introduction to the Current Capabilities in GHGenius Presented by: Jesse Fleming Natural Resources Canada Life Cycle Assessment of Oil Sands Technologies Kickoff Meeting Calgary, Alberta November 3, 2006

Relevance Ø GHGenius is a Canadian life cycle modeling tool for transportation fuels which has some oil sands capabilities Ø Outline ØIntroduction to GHGenius ØExisting oil sands capabilities GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Life Cycle Assessment: Limitations ØCan be time- and resource-intensive ØResults depend on the availability and quality of data ØDoes not provide the answer ØOne component of good decisionmaking Reference: Svoboda, 1995 GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

GHGenius: Background Ø Initially adapted for NRCan in 1999 Ø Has been added to and improved in numerous ways since that time Ø Focuses on life cycle energy use and emissions for conventional and alternative fuels and propulsion systems Reference: (S&T)2, 2005 GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

GHGenius: Scope Vehicle Cycle Tank-to-Wheel Fuel Cycle Well-to-Tank Reference: Wang, 2004 GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

GHGenius: Scope Ø Current version of the model Ø 45 worksheets Ø>150, 000 cells containing data or results ØAround 8 MB large Ø Contains a multitude of pathways ØOver 140 vehicle, fuel, and feedstock combinations available Reference: GHGenius, 2006 GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

GHGenius: Capabilities Ø Detailed breakdown of: ØGreenhouse gas (GHG) emissions ØCriteria air contaminant (CAC) emissions ØEnergy balance ØCost effectiveness Ø Various years, countries/regions, and vehicle categories can be considered GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Continuous Improvements Ø GHGenius (version 3. 5) is now an Excel©based model that uses metric units Ø Incorporates updated data Ø New “Users Manual” and reports Ø Is more accessible and user-friendly ØAvailable free at www. ghgenius. ca GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Existing Oil Sands Capabilities Ø 5 crude oil production classifications in GHGenius Ø Conventional light Ø Conventional offshore Ø Conventional Heavy ØBitumen (in situ) ØSynthetic crude oil (mined + upgrading) Ø Refinery characteristics different by region ØBUT not different by crude slate due to LIMITED DATA AVAILABILITY GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Main Oil Sands Data Sources Ø Bitumen: Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. 2003. Calculating Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Ø Synthetic: Canadian Industrial End-Use Data and Analysis Centre. 2003. A review of Energy Consumption in Canadian Oil Sands Operations, Heavy Oil Upgrading. Ø Complete crude oil references available in GHGenius supporting documentation ØVery open to more recent and/or higher quality data GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Relevant Additional Capabilities Ø Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) Ø Power production Ø Fuel production Ø Refineries Ø Bitumen / Synthetic production Ø Requires input on amount captured and corresponding energy requirements Ø GHGenius provides a framework Ø knowledgeable users can use specific data to analyze scenarios GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Sample Results – Upstream Energy Use (GJ/GJ) GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Sample Results – Upstream GHG Emissions (g CO 2 E/GJ) GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Take-home Messages Ø #1 GHGenius is an established Canadian life cycle model for transportation Ø #2 Some oil sands data and modeling capabilities currently exist in the model Ø #3 This project and GHGenius have the potential to mutually benefit each other GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Thank you for your attention. Questions? Comments?

For More Information ØContact Jesse Fleming ØOffice of Energy Efficiency ØJesse. Fleming@NRCan. gc. ca ØTel. : 613 -996 -5112 Ø Visit www. ghgenius. ca GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

References (S&T)2 Consultants Inc. 2006. Expansion of GHGenius to Include Sequestration of Carbon from Energy Production Pathways. Prepared for Natural Resources Canada. March 31. (S&T)2 Consultants Inc. 2005. Documentation for Natural Resources Canada’s GHGenius Model 3. 0. Prepared for Natural Resources Canada. September 15. Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. 2003. Calculating Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Prepared by CAPP and Tom Michelussi of Atlas Environmental Engineering Ltd. Canadian Industry Energy End-Use Data Analysis Centre. 2003. A Review if Energy Consumption in Canadian Oil Sands Operations, Heavy Oil Upgrading 1990, 1994 -2001. March. GHGenius version 3. 5. 2006. Model maintained by Natural Resources Canada, Transportation Energy Use Division. www. ghgenius. ca. Svoboda, S. 1995. Note on life cycle analysis. National Pollution Prevention Center for Higher Education. University of Michigan. LCA Note. Ann Arbor, Michigan. Wang, M. Q. 2004. Well-to-wheels energy and emission effects of hybrid electric vehicles and fuel-cell vehicles in the U. S. Center for Transportation Research, Argonne National Laboratory (U. S. ). Presented at MIT/Industry Consortium on Advanced Automotive Electric/Electronic Components and Systems Workshop, October 5 and 6. Barcelona, Spain. GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels

Important input areas in GHGenius for oil sands modeling Ø Country weight factor Ø “Input” sheet, row 5 Ø Selection of Canadian crude slate Ø “Input” sheet, rows 62 to 66 Ø Energy use / type for Canadian crude production Ø “S” sheet, cells N 7: S 16 Ø Fraction of crude from Canada Ø “S” sheet, cell O 18 GHGENIUS A Model for Life Cycle Assessment of Transportation Fuels