OECD Working Party on International Trade in Goods

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OECD Working Party on International Trade in Goods and Trade in Services Statistics November

OECD Working Party on International Trade in Goods and Trade in Services Statistics November 2011 Australian Bureau of Statistics Foreign Affiliate Trade in Services

Overview • Bo. P covers resident to non-resident activity • From this perspective, trade

Overview • Bo. P covers resident to non-resident activity • From this perspective, trade by foreign affiliates is considered nonresident • Trade by foreign affiliates important for trade negotiations and understanding reach of an economy

Overview (continued) • Service providers can and do establish overseas presence • The WTO’s

Overview (continued) • Service providers can and do establish overseas presence • The WTO’s General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) identifies four “modes of supply” • Wider definition than Bo. P

Modes of Supply

Modes of Supply

Modes of Supply

Modes of Supply

ABS Studies • Australian Outward Finance and Insurance Foreign Affiliate Trade, 200910 (5485. 0)

ABS Studies • Australian Outward Finance and Insurance Foreign Affiliate Trade, 200910 (5485. 0) • Australian Outward Foreign Affiliate Trade, 2002 -03 (5495. 0) • Economic Activity of Foreign Owned Businesses in Australia, 2000 -01 (5494. 0)

SOFI FATS • Survey of Outward Finance and Insurance Foreign Affiliate Trade in Services

SOFI FATS • Survey of Outward Finance and Insurance Foreign Affiliate Trade in Services (SOFI FATS) • Survey funded by the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) • Limited Resources • No funding for inwards equivalent

SOFI FATS (continued) • Run in respect of the 2009 -10 reference period –

SOFI FATS (continued) • Run in respect of the 2009 -10 reference period – only for OUTWARD trade – only for the finance and insurance industry • Survey in 2002 -03 identified finance and insurance industry as the largest services industry • Sent to ALL Australian enterprises who may have affiliates overseas that primarily trade in finance and/or insurance

SOFI FATS (continued) • Only affiliates that were controlled by Australian resident enterprises were

SOFI FATS (continued) • Only affiliates that were controlled by Australian resident enterprises were included (i. e. greater than 50% ownership) • Frame created from a question about direct investment in the International Investment survey. • Direct investment includes all investment where the investor owns 10% or more of total equity capital.

SOFI FATS (continued) • Survey collected data on: – Number of affiliates – Employment,

SOFI FATS (continued) • Survey collected data on: – Number of affiliates – Employment, wages and salaries – Sales and purchases of services – Equity and profit • FISIM and GVA data were derived from the data collected

SOFI FATS (continued) • Processing was done using IPS and Microsoft EXCEL • Confidentiality

SOFI FATS (continued) • Processing was done using IPS and Microsoft EXCEL • Confidentiality – ABS confidentiality rules – Perturbation – Collapsing cells

The Form • Very detailed • Large provider burden • Asked for Balance sheet

The Form • Very detailed • Large provider burden • Asked for Balance sheet information, and detailed profit/loss statements • Electronic and utilised macros • Split between resident/non-resident was key

The Form (continued) • Original plan to send to affiliates, but feedback indicated that

The Form (continued) • Original plan to send to affiliates, but feedback indicated that parents wished to complete themselves

Results • 30 Australian enterprises with 1, 245 finance and insurance affiliates • 70

Results • 30 Australian enterprises with 1, 245 finance and insurance affiliates • 70 Countries Other Europe (incl Africa) 13, 3% United States 22, 7% United Kingdom 17, 0% Other Amercias 12, 6% Other Asia-Pacific 15, 3% Singapore 4, 6% New Zealand 14, 1%

Results (continued) • 75, 919 staff employed – $6. 7 billion in wages and

Results (continued) • 75, 919 staff employed – $6. 7 billion in wages and salaries paid. • $71. 1 billion in Australian equity • $6. 5 billion in profit • New Zealand, United Kingdom and the United States dominated data.

Results (continued) • • $39 b in finance & insurance sales FISIM high proportion

Results (continued) • • $39 b in finance & insurance sales FISIM high proportion of total sales 96% of sales (mode of supply 3) Shows most activity in host country

Global Financial Crisis Impacts • • GFC likely to have impacted profits. Return on

Global Financial Crisis Impacts • • GFC likely to have impacted profits. Return on equity 6. 8% Difficult to measure impact Ratio of income earned to stock down. % 7, 0 6, 0 5, 0 4, 0 3, 0 2, 0 1, 0 00 -01 01 -02 02 -03 03 -04 Ratio 04 -05 05 -06 06 -07 07 -08 Ratio - 10 year average 08 -09 09 -10

Global Financial Crisis Impacts (continued) • Americas only $99 million profit. • Rates of

Global Financial Crisis Impacts (continued) • Americas only $99 million profit. • Rates of return on equity for each region: – Americas -0. 1% – Europe 2. 7% – Asia-Pacific 13. 2%

2002 -03 2009 -10 Comparison • Number of affiliates rose from 463 to 1245

2002 -03 2009 -10 Comparison • Number of affiliates rose from 463 to 1245 (169%) • Sales (excl. FISIM) rose 11% • Purchases (excl. FISIM) rose 150%

Conclusion • Unlikely for a survey like this to be run in near future

Conclusion • Unlikely for a survey like this to be run in near future • Prefer to cover all industries • Prefer to collect both inward and outward • OECD provided useful comments which will be used in future studies

Discussion points • Experience of other countries • Managing expectations from a client -funded

Discussion points • Experience of other countries • Managing expectations from a client -funded survey • Impact of confidentiality • Testing data collection from nonresidents • The challenge of presenting asymmetrical views of data