NUNAVUT ECONOMIC FORUM Presentation to the Nunavut Conference

NUNAVUT ECONOMIC FORUM Presentation to the Nunavut Conference and Trade Show 2014 Nunavut Economic Forum

NEF Origins – prior to April 1 1999 – informal committee of officials – NTI, INAC and Interim Commissioner’s Office Idea grew from first Sivummut Conference held in Rankin Inlet 4 years earlier in 1994

• NEF undertook first Nunavut Economic Outlook in 2001 - it became stimulus for an Economic Development Strategy Second Sivummut Conference held in Rankin Inlet 2003 • First Ten-Year Strategy unveiled in the summer of 2003 • PROVIDED PURPOSE FOR THE NEF

By Early 2004 – incorporated Society Over 30 members – included NTI GN and GOC - Key Sector Organizations, Chambers of Commerce, Labour, Municipal Organizations and Other NGOs UNIQUE IN CANADA

The NEF was charged with the task of Monitoring the implementation of the Nunavut Economic Development Strategy Also helped stimulate focus for economic stimulus programs like the federal initiative: Strategic Investments for Northern Economic Development – or SINED and GN’s SIP NEF IS UNIQUE IN CANADA !

NEF’s flagship product has been the Nunavut Economic Outlook Reports – six to date since 2001. The NEOs in effect have told us how we’re doing and what issues still lie ahead. SO HOW ARE WE DOING?

The Nunavut Economic Outlook Report gives us a periodic snap shot of how our economy is shaping up – and what the impacts are as a result.

Nunavut’s population is young, is growing, and is ageing. All three of these demographic changes will have lasting consequences for the territory. UNDERSTANDING NUNAVUT’S DEMOGRAPHICS

FERTILITY RATES Nunavut’s high 200 (fertility rates by age-cohort) population growth is a function of its fertility rates and the number of Nunavummiut between the ages 15 and 29 For the past 15 years though, fertility rates have changed very little 175 Nunavut Canada 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 15 -19 20 -24 25 -29 30 -34 35 -39 40 -44

IMPLICATIONS OF POPULATION GROWTH Realistic projections range from ~10, 000 to ~14, 000 in the next 20 years 90 + 80 Female (2013) Female (2032) Male (2013) Male (2032) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 450 350 250 150 50 50 150 250 350 450

PROFILE OF 60+ COHORT Female (2013) Female (2032) Male (2013) Male (2032) 90+ 80 70 60 200 100 200

Nunavut’s economy is performing well in several areas and has enormous potential. … UNDERSTANDING NUNAVUT’S ECONOMY

CURRENT ECONOMY AND FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES Mining Fishing Construction Tourism Government Arts & Culture Goal of Economy: Growth

GROWTH PATH FOR NUNAVUT’S ECONOMY 2, 400 er Riv ct) y r je Ma l pro l (fu Other New Construction ath 2, 000 r ve n Ri tio y c ar u M nstr Co 1, 800 New ns pe k O an ine ad dowb i l Me Mea ses & Clo s& en p r. O ve dine on i R a i ry Meli ruct t Ma ns Co P wth Gro g lyin der th n U row G 1, 600 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 1, 2009 1, 400 2008 (real GDP, $, millions) 2, 200

Nunavut is at an early stage of its development and are many challenges to overcome before all Nunavummiut can fully participate in and benefit from the opportunities growing around them. UNDERSTANDING NUNAVUT’S DEVELOPMENT

NUNAVUT’S DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE Nunavut’s economy is creating enough jobs to employ most, if not all unemployed Nunavummiut today Without knowing anything about Nunavut, it makes no sense that official unemployment rates are still high, more than half the population depends on public housing, and poverty appears to be on the rise

LOTS OF JOBS … LOTS OF EMPLOYED 13, 500 The assessment of Nunavut’s 13, 000 12, 500 12, 000 11, 500 11, 000 10, 500 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 10, 000 2008 (# of full-time jobs) economy revealed the territory has tremendous potential for job creation Many Nunavummiut are taking the necessary steps to participate Full-time employment has grown somewhat steadily since the recession

LOTS OF JOBS … LOTS OF UNEMPLOYED Today, there are enough jobs Number of Unemployed to employ many if not most unemployed Nunavummiut 2, 500 2, 000 AEM imports 575 workers to staff Iqaluit International Airport Expansion will import as much as 80% of its labour Labour income earned in Nunavut but paid to nonresidents (JOB TOURISTS) grew sharply in the past few years 1, 500 1, 000 500 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* Meadowbank

CHALLENGES WITH NUNAVUT’S CONTINUING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT What do we need to do over the next ten years to balance our efforts between further economic growth and economic development? Publishing the 2013 Nunavut Outlook Report was an important step There have been other important steps in this direction as well through NEF’s Nunavut Economic Development Strategy Renewal efforts over the past two years.

CHALLENGES WITH NUNAVUT’S CONTINUING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Our renewal efforts have also included Four Roundtable Discussion, some important research initiatives, an on-Line Survey and some Town Hall meetings. All of these efforts have helped us to better understand the real impacts that have resulted from our strong economic growth over the past 10 years You can find out all about these by visiting our web site: www. NEDS 2. ca

CHALLENGES WITH NUNAVUT’S CONTINUING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Finally we will be holding our Sivummut IV Economic Development Conference in Iqaluit December 1 -4 at the Froibisher Inn The conference will be a chance for folks drawn from across the territory to examine in more detail what our choices may be going forward and what our priorities should be in balancing our economic growth with our economic development and improving the well being of our communities.

CHALLENGES WITH NUNAVUT’S CONTINUING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Please visit our web site : www. NEDS 2. ca Consider attending the Sivummut IV Economic Development Conference in Iqaluit December 1 -4, 2014

NUNAVUT ECONOMIC FORUM Terry Forth, Executive Director neforum@qiniq. com www. nunavuteconomicforum. ca www. neds 2. ca IMPACT ECONOMICS Graeme Clinton clinton@impacteconomics. ca 867. 873. 8008 NUNAVUT’S NEXT CHALLENGE: TURNING GROWTH INTO PROSPERITY