NordicBaltic cooperation on risk and capability assessment methods

Nordic/Baltic cooperation on risk and capability assessment methods when responding to hazards FROM GAPS TO CAPS Risk Management Capability Based on Gaps Identification in the BSR Project Lead Partner: Fire and Rescue Department under the Ministry of the Interior of the Republic of Lithuania

OUTLINE • GENERAL OVERVIEW ON PROJECT • OUR TASK • METHODOLOGY FROM GAPS TO CAPS

AIMS FROM GAPS TO CAPS Production of publication on ideas Dissemination of findings on actual disaster risk management capability and ways forward Involvement of experts and key actors Methodology for future assessments of capability

PARTNERS Coordinator: • Fire and Rescue Department under the Ministry of the Interior of the Republic of Lithuania (CO) Beneficiaries: • Council of Baltic Sea States (CBSS) (AB 1) • Frederikssund-Halsnæs Brand- & Redningsberedskab (Denmark) (AB 2) • Estonian Rescue Board (AB 3) • Ministry of the Interior of Finland (AB 4) • Hamburg Fire and Rescue Service (Germany) (AB 5) • University of Iceland (AB 6) • State Fire and Rescue Service of Latvia (AB 7) • Norwegian Directorate for Civil Protection and Emergency Planning (DSB) (AB 8) • Main School of Fire Service in Warsaw (Poland) (AB 9) • Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) (AB 10) FROM GAPS TO CAPS

ADMINISTRATIVE OVERVIEW • Project budget: 631. 657, 55 EUR • EC funding: 473. 743 EUR (75 %) • (EC funding = 60 m. ISK) • Duration of the project: 24 months • Starting date: 1 January 2015 • Ending date: 31 December 2016 FROM GAPS TO CAPS

PROJECT ORGANISATIONAL SCHEME CORE GROUP TASK A: Management and reporting to the Commission TASK B: Publicity TASK C: Risk Management Capability Assessment Methodology Leader: Björn Karlsson FROM GAPS TO CAPS TASK D: Comparison of Evaluations of Emergencies and Exercises

TASK C: RISK MANAGEMENT CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY Responsible leader – University of Iceland: • Develop a methodology for risk management capability for BSR; • Contribution to the ongoing process of methodology for risk management capability assessment at EU level. FROM GAPS TO CAPS

The National Risk Assessment (NRA) • All EU countries must hand in NRA • A comparative review of disaster risks in society (example: Norway) • All-hazards approach • Based on best available knowledge and expert`s judgements • Transparent process, public document Et trygt og robust samfunn der alle tar ansvar 8

Norwegian National Risk Assessment Matrix Limited Military Assault Influenza Pandemic Consequence Nuclear Accident Extreme Weather (Storm) Inland Flooding Offshore Accident Energy Shortage Accident at Sea Cyber Attack Industrial Accident Terrorist Attack Transport. A ccident Rock Slide Volcano Eruption Space Weather Forest Fire Likelihood FROM GAPS TO CAPS

Risk assessment and capability assessment

Scenarios, Baltic Sea Region The following 6 scenarios were defined and described in detail in earlier project: EUSBSR 14. 3 • • • Extreme weather/storm Flooding Forest fire Pandemic flu Accident at Sea Nuclear accident These scenarios can all have cross-border dimensions of risks.

Our task • Develop a first approach methodology for risk management capability assessment for BSR • This will be introduced in the Baltic Sea Region and further developed in near future • This will contribute to the ongoing process of methodology for risk management capability assessment at EU level. FROM GAPS TO CAPS

Documentation of results From Gaps to Caps, Task C: Report on national capability and risk assessments and related challenges in the BSR, Editor: Björn Karlsson, Ass. Prof. , University of Iceland , September 2016 Appendix A: The BSR methodology for risk and capability assessments, a first approach FROM GAPS TO CAPS

Capability Assessment Method for BSR FROM GAPS TO CAPS

2016 FROM GAPS TO CAPS Fin al Oct Confe r Sw ede ence n Fin al Aug Semin ar Lith uan ia Sem ina r. N Jun o. Ger ma 3 ny Sec rep ond p ort rog res 31 s Ma y (J une 30) 2017 Fin al r epo 1 F r eb (27 t Feb ) cela ina r . 2 No nia sto v. E No Sem Firs rep t prog ort res s 30 Sep (30 Oct ) Sem ina r Ma y La No. 1 tvia Kic k-o ff 24– 25 Ma r. I nd 2015 sels Kic k-o ff 20 Jan Bru s PROJECT PROGRESS

THANK YOU! FROM GAPS TO CAPS