Nile Basin Initiatives NBI Easter Nile Technical Regional
Nile Basin Initiatives (NBI) Easter Nile Technical Regional Office (ENTRO) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW-I) Flood Forecasting in EN Region
Flood Forecasting in EN Region q. Through the FPEW I project New National Flood Forecasting Center is established in Ethiopia and strengthened in Sudan and Egypt. Regional Flood Coordination Unit is established in ENTRO q. Capacity building training in Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) using Eta and MM 5 models conducted q. Development and calibration of Flood Forecasting Model using HEC models (HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, etc. ) in Ethiopia and Sudan (A. A. & Khartoum Universities) q. Flood Risk Mapping & Community Flood Preparedness Action Plans for Pilot areas q. Enhancing satellite precipitation estimate and hydrological models in Egypt q. Two annual flood forums are conducted in Khartoum, and Cairo the third is planned for January 2010 in Ethiopia Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) I) 2
Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response (cont’d) q Flood Prone Areas – Pilot areas Ethiopia Sudan Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) I) 3
Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response q HEC-RAS / HEC-Geo. RAS model development and calibration procedure Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) I) 4
Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response q Plan view of the extent of flooding for the Gumara and Ribb Rivers for the 100 year flow 5
Key Issues q Lack of good quality hydrological (flow) data for model calibration in Ethiopia and Sudan q Establishing and operating real time gauging stations q Data Communication system & data sharing between agencies & countries q Very short lead time (in hours) in Ethiopia q Lack of capacity to predict short period rainfall data (NWP); (NMA still trying to verify results from Eta and MM 5 models) q Institution and Staff capacity building in flood forecasting & hydrological models q Sustainability of flood forecasting systems (e. g. Sudan FEWS) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) I) 6
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