Nick Sabatini Associates LLC Expert Aviation Safety Solutions

Nick Sabatini & Associates, LLC Expert Aviation Safety Solutions NCSBN Consumer Conference June 9, 2011 Chicago, IL

World Regional Fatal Accident* Rate / Million Cycles (2002 – 2006) Western-built, selected Eastern-built and turboprop aircraft accidents*, by airline domicile. Europe. 56 Canada. 15 China. 29 USA. 10 Middle East 1. 97 Latin America and Caribbean 1. 28 Rest of Asia. 85 Africa 4. 98 World. 64 Australasia. 35 Note: * US 121 like accidents Source: Selected Air. Claims & WAAS Accident Data & JOS Exposure Data. Includes estimated exposure data for 2006.

Fatalities U. S. Air Carrier Fatalities Per 100 Million Persons Flown, 1946 -2010

U. S. Air Carrier Fatalities Per 100 Million Persons Flown, 1946 -2010 Pressurized Aircraft (L-049, DC-6 & B-377) Early ILS (Glide slope, LOC & markers) xx Persistent 60 -Year Factor: Fleet Renewal Fatalities Broad implementation of VOR and DME Radar introduced at selected towers Vickers-700 Turboprop (1953 in UK, 1956 US) DC-7 (1955), Lockheed Electra Radio contact, ATC centers & cruise aircraft 1949 -55 Long-Range radar (Centers) Jet Engine; 707 (1958) & DC-8 VOR/DME integrated into autopilot (precision approaches) Secondary radar RNAV (processing VOR/DME & basic Instruments) GPWS, TCAS; Early automation FMS CRM 6 -Axis Simulator & FDR Windshear Cabin Safety Flight Envelope Protection FOQA/ASAP & ATC Data RJ Revolution New Large Jets RNP, Synthetic Vision

• “mid 1980 s our focus shifted to working together with industry to allow voluntary sharing of data” • • Aviation Safety Action Program (ASAP) Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA) Crew Resource Management (CRM) Threat and Error Management (TEM) • “programs were aimed at recognizing human error and fallibility and learning from past mistakes and errors to prevent these errors and mistakes from happening in the future”

• "Unlike the medical community, the FAA is the sole authority for regulating the entire aviation industry" • "FAA Statutory authority found in Title 49 of the United States Code" • “the duty of an air carrier to provide service with the highest degree of safety in the public interest”

1500 Fatalities ACCIDENTS PREVENTED Remaining risks Data reflects accidents and fatal accidents per million flight hours (the only common denominator available for the full period).

How to Retrieve Reference Documents https: //www. faa. gov 1. Click on "Regulations and Policy" 2. Click on "Advisory Circulars" 3. Enter desired AC number AC 120 -60 B: Aviation Safety Action Program (ASAP) AC 120 -82: Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA) AC 120 -90: Line Operations Safety Audits (LOSA)