Next Gen EC 2020 NEXT GENERATION CHALLENGES IN

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 NEXT GENERATION CHALLENGES IN ENERGY AND CLIMATE MODELLING WORKSHOP: HISTORICAL SESSION 1

WHY ARE WE HERE? This workshop will bring together an international group of researchers working at the interface between climate science and energy applications. The aim is to stimulate an active and ongoing discussion around the use of both historic and future climate datasets in energy system analysis. We all have a lot to learn from each other this week!

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 TIMELINE FOR HISTORICAL SESSION • 13: 20 Intro to the session • 13: 30 Keynote Talks • 14: 00 Breakout Group 1 (thematic) • 14: 45 Feedback • 15: 15 Break • 15: 45 Breakout Group 2 (random) • 16: 30 Feedback • 17: 00 Close 3

BREAKOUT GROUP FACILITATORS Marianne Zeyringer Designing future power systems Jethro Browell Managing and Operating weather sensitive power systems Mathios Panteli Designing future power systems Julie Lundquist Characterising extreme weather events relevant for energy Adriaan Hilbers Designing future power systems Hazel Thornton Power system risk assessment for weather driven stress Alex Kies Large Scale Power Systems Katharina Gruber Resource characterisation for wind solar and Hydro power 4

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BOG 1 DISCUSSION TOPIC • What are the implications and manifestations of climate risk and uncertainty on power system modelling? 5

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BOG 1 DISCUSSION: WHAT? • What are the climate-related risks to power systems? • Are they related/connected? • Do they fall into different categories? E. g: • • extremes, resilience emerging risks strategic planning vs operability inter-annual/decadal variability • What are the pressing research questions associated with these risks? • Does each “risk” need a different type of data to understand it? • What are the needs of the energy-met community? In pre-assigned groups based on information provided on your registration forms… 6

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BOG 2 DISCUSSION: HOW? • How should climate risk and uncertainty be estimated and quantified in power system modelling? • Where are there gaps in knowledge and capability? • How can we reduce these uncertainties and/or their impact? In randomly assigned groups… You’re going to make some new friends! 7

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 A REMINDER… • Today all the discussions focus around historical climates and energy systems. • Save your thoughts on the future for tomorrow! 8

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 KEYNOTE SPEAKERS Jan Wohland “Weather & climate” Matteo De Felice “Energy-met” Perspectives on the topics for todays discussions Keith Bell “Energy systems” 9

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 KEYNOTE SPEAKERS Jan Wohland Matteo de Felice Over to them! Keith Bell 10

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#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BOG 1 DISCUSSION: WHAT? • What are the climate-related risks to power systems? • Are they related/connected? • Do they fall into different categories? E. g: • • extremes, resilience emerging risks strategic planning vs operability inter-annual/decadal variability • What are the pressing research questions associated with these risks? • Does each “risk” need a different type of data to understand it? • What are the needs of the energy-met community? In pre-assigned groups based on information provided on your registration forms… 12

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#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BREAKOUT GROUP FORMAT • Introduce yourselves • Discussion Part 1 • A pre-assigned scribe will share screen and take notes • Topics will be visible as a reminder • Feedback: nominate one person to feedback – Note your group name! You will have 45 minutes. Feel free to take a short break before re-joining the next part at 14: 45, but don’t be late. 14

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 FEEDBACK TO WORKSHOP Please prepare to feed back in 1 -2 sentences: • First: The most significant “risk” your group discussed • Second: The most pressing need to address the risks you discussed • e. g data, research, new capability We’ll ask each group in turn to feed back. If your feedback is already covered by another group please say so and we’ll move on to avoid repetition 15

ZOOM ASSISTANCE Leave breakout room See breakout room Menu Leave breakout room

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#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BOG 2 DISCUSSION: HOW? • How should climate risk and uncertainty be estimated and quantified in power system modelling? • Where are there gaps in knowledge and capability? • How can we reduce these uncertainties and/or their impact? In randomly assigned groups… You’re going to make some new friends! 18

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 BREAKOUT GROUP FORMAT • Introduce yourselves • Discussion Part 2 • A pre-assigned scribe will share screen and take notes • Topics will be visible as a reminder • Feedback: nominate one person to feedback – Note your group name! You will have 45 minutes. Feel free to take a short break before re-joining the next part at 16: 30, but don’t be late. 19

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 FEEDBACK TO WHOLE GROUP Please prepare to feed back in 1 -2 sentences: • The most significant knowledge/capability gap your group discussed and • A potential strategy to reduce a given risk/uncertainty or its impact We’ll ask each group in turn to feed back. If your feedback is already covered by another group please say so and we’ll move on to avoid repetition 20

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#Next. Gen. EC 2020 SUMMARY OF HISTORICAL SESSION 22 https: //www. wordclouds. com/

#Next. Gen. EC 2020 THANK YOU FOR ATTENDING! • Reminder! Tomorrow’s session on future climate starts at 12: 45 (UK time) on the same zoom link. • Please let us know if you haven’t already if you’re unable to attend. 23