NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE SERVICES and CLIMATE DATA RECORDS By Jeffrey Privette NOAA NCDC and L. De. Wayne Cecil Global Science and Technology Asheville, NC March 21, 2012

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION National Climate Initiatives Already Underway • Interagency Task Force – White House OSTP and CEQ, NOAA, others • US Global Change Research Program – 2009 (and 2013) National Assessments • National Academy of Public Administration (NAPA) Study – Endorsed NOAA’s climate service vision

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION 5 CS Initial Priorities (1) CLIMATE IMPACTS ON WATER RESOURCES: Provide coordinated and authorization information to guide water resources managers Example User Groups: water resource managers, civil engineers, farmers, emergency management officials, USBR, USDA, USACE (2) COASTS AND CLIMATE RESILIENCE: Understand physical processes that drive sea-level rise and coastal inundation, and provide the best available information to decision-makers Example User Groups: coastal and emergency managers, NOS, FEMA, USACE, USGS, HUD, MSP (3) SUSTAINABILITY OF MARINE ECOSYSTEMS: Improve understanding of, and information about, the impacts of climate on ocean properties critical to managing large marine ecosystems Example User Groups: NMFS, states, NOS, FWS, USBR, fisheries management councils

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION 5 CS Initial Priorities-cont. (4) EXTREMES IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: Develop and deliver information to anticipate, prepare for, and adapt to weather and climate extremes Example User Groups: emergency managers, state and local officials, energy industry, resource managers, city planners, insurance industry Most important 3 factors, scale, , , adaptation to climate variability and change is local (5) INFORMING CLIMATE POLICY OPTIONS: Provide sound science to information climate-related policies, plans, and strategies including both mitigation and adaptation Example User Groups: policy makers, energy industry, EPA, DOE, state and local communities, State Dept.

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION Climate model resolution is improving IPCC (2007) IPCC (2013) Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM) (Hurrell 2008) 5

Temporal Scale of Agricultural Sector Stakeholder Interest Farmer <1 100< Days 10 20 Months 1 3 6 9 1 Years 3 5 10 50 Consumer Crop Breeder Reservoir Construction Aid Agency Disaster Relief Development Aid Emissions Policymaker Regulatory Agency Commodities Trader Biofuel or Processing Plant Construction Elected Official (Re-)Insurance Companies Draft: Alex Ruane, NASA GISS

8/20/2010 Predecisional: not for distribution or attribution 7

Understanding Earth’s Connections Requires a Comprehensive Set of Measurements Across the Globe Satellites data meets the need 8

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION Calibrating Satellites to Field Data Suomi NPP VIIRS Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Climate Reference Network (CRN) Bondville, IL VIIRS LST accuracy ≈ ± 0. 3 K precision ≈ 1. 9 K NPP Scene 20 VIIRS LST – Feb 12, 12 within a VIIRS pixel at 750 m resolution Scaling NOAA CRN Station 9

Value: CDRs Inform Decisions Throughout Society Example: Recent collaboration between NOAA, NASA, Academia, Private Sector and NREL Raw Observations NOAA & NASA raw satellite data Fundamental CDRs (Calibrate Data) Merged and corrected NOAA & NASA data provide trustworthy multi-decadal time series Thematic CDRs (Geophysical Data) Standards of the renewable energy community applied Climate Information (Derived Goods & Services) Siting information for major solar energy farms NREL= National Renewable Energy Laboratory

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION Accomplishments – Regional Climate Services Directors

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION NCS Next Steps • Develop business practices that strengthen science while meeting demand for services • Engage external and internal audiences regarding NOAA’s climate services plans • Continued evolution of the NOAA Climate Portal (www. climate. gov)

NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION For more information… • www. climate. gov – NOAA climate portal • www. noaa. gov/climate – Q&As, handouts, presentations • www. ppi. noaa. gov/ngsp – NOAA’s Next Generation Strategic Plan • Jeff. Privette@noaa. gov NOAA NCDC Chief Scientist CDR Program • De. Wayne. Cecil@noaa. gov – Global Science and Technology