Monitoring ESS Guidelines on Seasonal Adjustment Implementation Pilar

Monitoring ESS Guidelines on Seasonal Adjustment Implementation Pilar Rey del Castillo Unit B 1 Quality, Methodology and Research 25 th April 2012 SASG

Assessing the degree of compliance with the SA Guidelines n Study by Eurostat unit G 3 based on the self-assessment of the STS filled in by the reporting countries in June 2011. n SA Guidelines 3 sets of alternatives: – (A) Best approach to be aimed at, – (B) Acceptable option, especially when first alternative is resources intensive, – (C) Practices to be avoided. n And 6 chapters or items referring to different issues on SA 25 th April 2012 SASG 2

Number of countries reporting complete A or B compliance with the 2008 SA Guidelines Series Industrial production Industrial New Orders Construction Production Building Permits Deflated turnover in retail trade Turnover in other services 25 th April 2012 Countries 1. Pretreatment 2. Seasonal Adjustment 3. Revision policies 4. Quality of SA 5. Specific issues EU- 27 23 24 23 13 14 18 6 biggest 6 5 5 4 4 5 EU- 27 10 11 10 6 5 9 6 biggest 2 2 1 2 EU- 27 20 21 21 10 13 16 6 biggest 5 5 5 4 4 5 EU- 27 2 2 3 3 2 4 6 biggest 0 0 1 1 EU- 27 21 19 19 11 12 18 6 biggest 5 3 3 2 2 4 EU- 27 18 16 14 10 9 15 6 biggest 5 4 3 3 2 4 SASG 6. Data presentation 3

1. Pretreatment 2. Seasonal Adjustment 3. Revision policies 4. Quality of SA 5. Specific issues 6. Data presentation Industrial Production Industrial new orders Building permits 25 th April 2012 SASG 4

Summary n Results far from optimal n But: – Not a legal requirement – Some countries perform Seasonal Adjustment and do not want to publish (or send to Eurostat) the figures n Only STS, not updated information available about MSs National Accounts or other series 25 th April 2012 SASG 5

Many thanks!! 25 th April 2012 SASG