MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS TRANSPORT TEACHING MATERIAL Transparencies

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS TRANSPORT TEACHING MATERIAL Transparencies 2003 EU-funded Urban Transport Research Project Results www. eu-portal. net

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS THE COMPONENTS OF MODELLING Data collection and sharing Development of model and modelling technique Evaluating and validation of the model The use and evaluation of the modelling results

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS SCREENSHOT FROM STREAMS PRESENTATION TOOL (STREAMS: Final Report for Publication) Travel times to Bologna 1994, rail Business trips Year Mode 1994 Rail 2002 Air Flow Road Legend Comparison Business Container 1 h 4 h Years Flows Leisure Bulk 2 h 8 h Modes 2 cases No comp. TREE TIFF-File Draw Other city Remove Exit

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS STREAMS MODEL RESULTS (STREAMS: Final Report for Publication) Number of passenger trips (‘ 000 per day) by flow type, 1994 and 2020 Flow Group 1994 2020 % change Short trips Commuting and business trips, no car available 21230 7730, 4 -63, 6 Commuting and business trips, part car available 76777, 8 50136, 6 -34, 7 Commuting and business trips, full car available 110683 165050, 5 49. 1 Children, all trips all car availability levels 104460, 9 98552, 5 -5, 7 Shopping, personal business, education, VFR 16, day trip – no car available 142215, 5 71061, 1 -50, 0 Shopping, personal business, education, VFR, day trip – part car available 427094, 3 525188, 1 23, 0 Shopping, personal business, education, VFR, day trip – part car available 132146, 7 214369, 5 62, 2

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS STREAMS MODEL RESULTS (STREAMS: Final Report for Publication) Flow Group 1994 2020 % change Long trips 20803, 9 VFR, day trip, no car available 5030, 9 2476, 1 -50, 8 VFR, day trip, Part & full car available 20803, 9 27624, 4 32, 8 86, 7 91, 1 5, 1 15259, 1 16298, 4 6, 8 74, 4 70, 9 -4, 8 International independent holiday-part & full car available 656, 7 1708, 0 160, 1 Domestic holiday - no car available 359, 1 339, 8 -5, 4 2532, 3 6167, 6 143, 6 1059411, 3 1186865, 0 12, 0 Charter holiday Business and commuting- all car availability levels International independent holiday no car available Domestic holiday - part & full car available TOTAL

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS ARCHITECTURE CHOICE ACCORDING TO THE OBJECTIVES OF THE DIRECT PROJECT (DIRECT, Final Summary Report) Application field Chosen architecture Local database Distributed objects architecture Intranet/internet architecture Transport Planning Best choice Bad choice Good choice if a light product is selected (ex Oracle Web. DB) Traffic Management Traffic information 1 (aggregated demand) Bad choice Best choice Good choice, but implies a very powerful configuration Traveller infomation 2 Trip planning 3 (individual demand) Difficult to publish the data, low scalability Good choice, but implies high development costs, and a web interface Best choice

MODELLING AND DATA ANALYSIS ESTEEM VALIDATION CHAINS (ESTEEM, Final Report) ROME Scenarios: A Reference B 1 New transport supply B 2 Gates of Rome Project O/D matrixes Transport model EMME 2 BRUSSELS LYON LONDON RER Scenarios: • Excluding land Scenarios: • Reference • Transport policy • Transport and Scenarios: • Traffic management • Air Quality 2005 • traffic reduction Act market • Including land market Started Preference Surveys • Modal choice • Residencial choice land use policy Transport & land use model TRANUS Emission model TEE Dispersion model ADMS Urban Started Preference Surveys • Residencial choice 1998 • mixed urban dev. • Chelsea Hackney lime Transport model SATURN Emission model LANES Dispersion model CAL 3 qhc ADMS Urban