Missoula Metropolitan Planning Organization Scenario Planning Jessica Morriss
- Slides: 23
Missoula Metropolitan Planning Organization Scenario Planning Jessica Morriss, AICP Transportation Planning Manager City of Missoula & Missoula MPO
Overview • Introduction to Missoula MPO • Missoula’s scenario planning experiences • Community engagement • Types of Scenarios • Tools and metrics • Key takeaways
Missoula MPO • Small MPO • Includes: City of Missoula and Missoula County • Approx. 120, 000 in urban area • Hub of 5 -valleys – limited outward growth potential • High cost-of-living; low-wages • No tax diversity • Missoula is Montana’s “liberal outpost” • City/MPO generally not on the same page as Montana DOT
Missoula MPO • Goals and priorities • Support transportation options • Emphasize social equity and community health • Improve public outreach opportunities
Missoula’s Introduction to Scenario Planning • 1 st Missoula-region scenario planning led by MPO in 2008 LRTP “Envision Missoula” • Desire to link transportation investment to growth/land use • 3 future scenarios based on growth/land use and transportation for 200, 000 population • Montana DOT not exactly “on-board” with the land use piece of the effort
• Engagement throughout process • Initial visioning workshops – developed land use/transportation scenarios (except BAU) Envision Missoula Community Engagement • BAU scenario developed by public and private individuals experienced with Missoula growth and development • Transportation survey – statistical survey via phone • Traditional public workshop to review scenarios • Interagency consultations • Final plan open house
Business As Usual • • • Envision Missoula Scenarios Invest in roadway expansion Target known high-growth areas, but still low density development Do not depend on growth management Suburban Satellites • Invest in 4 distinct multimodal corridors anchored by nodes • Highest transit investment • Limit system expansion and rely on local planning and zoning to create town centers Focus Inward • • Invest heavily in Downtown Highest density of development in urban core Focus on short-trips (bikes & peds) Limit system expansion and rely on local planning and zoning
Envision Missoula Scenarios Tools and Metrics • Public input used to choose Focus Inward Scenario • Chosen scenario was used to guide project ranking and prioritized project list – but only loosely • Trans. CAD used to model prioritized projects, but after scenario was chosen • No performance measures other than VMT and congestion and no comparison among scenarios
Envision Missoula Takeaways • Land use and transportation are inextricably linked (duh) • Prioritized transportation projects should strongly support the chosen scenario (duh) • Performance measures should be used to compare scenarios • Performance measures should reflect other goals besides congestion reduction
2016 Long Range Transportation Plan “Activate Missoula” Continued Scenario Planning
• Community engagement throughout • Unique website • Interactive maps and surveys Activate Missoula Community Engagement • Transportation survey – statistical via internet • Technical and citizen advisory committees • Traditional public meetings
Public input used to: • Rank plan goals & add new goal (community health & social equity) • Develop scenarios around concept of tying funding to mode share • Choose a scenario and set a mode share goal Activate Missoula Community Engagement
Activate Missoula Scenarios
Activate Missoula Scenarios
Activate Missoula Scenarios
Activate Missoula Scenarios
Activate Missoula Scenarios
Activate Missoula Scenarios
Activate Missoula Chosen Scenario
Scenario analysis based on: Activate Missoula Tools and Metrics • Public input • Travel demand model • VMT • Delay • New bike, walk, bus trips • Performance against plan goals and objectives/criteria • Community health & Social equity • Safety • Efficiency & Connectivity • System preservation • Cost effectiveness • Land use & Transportation consistency • Economic vitality • Environmental preservation
• Not acceptable to only conduct traditional public meetings • Involve all stakeholders throughout the process, especially State DOT • Congestion will not be solved via new and bigger roads Activate Missoula Takeaways • We can’t afford it • Scenarios built around mode share goals helped simplify communication of concepts • Mode share can be used as a proxy for other factors (organizing principle related to sustainability and resiliency)
Key Scenario Planning Takeaways • Engage with public and stakeholders early and often via multiple methods • Scenarios should be simple • Scenarios should be judged across range of goals and objectives • Acknowledge that transportation is only part of the equation, but projects have to actually contribute to the desired result, not just the status quo
Thank you! Any Questions?
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