Milton Keynes Population Projections Format Borough level population

Milton Keynes Population Projections

Format • • Borough level population change Changes in the age structure Ward level population change Estate level population change

The population has grown from 60, 000 in 1960 to 252, 400 in 2012 300, 000 200, 000 150, 000 100, 000 50, 000 Year 2012 2009 2006 2003 2000 1997 1994 1991 1988 1985 1982 1979 1976 1973 1970 0 1967 People 250, 000

Past population growth was fastest between 1972 -1982 June Population Change % Change 1972 69, 600 1982 132, 900 63, 300 90. 9 1992 180, 400 47, 500 35. 7 2002 215, 100 34, 700 19. 2 2012 252, 400 37, 300 17. 3

Between 2002 and 2012 MK was the 10 th fastest growing local authority district Rank Name 1 Tower Hamlets 2 Newham 3 Hackney 4 Hounslow 5 Manchester 6 Corby 7 Greenwich 8 Peterborough 9 Waltham Forest 10 Milton Keynes 2002 207, 000 255, 300 211, 000 216, 900 428, 200 53, 400 221, 500 158, 800 223, 800 215, 100 2012 263, 000 314, 100 252, 100 259, 100 510, 800 63, 100 260, 100 186, 400 262, 600 252, 400 Change 56, 000 58, 800 41, 100 42, 200 82, 600 9, 700 38, 600 27, 600 38, 800 37, 300 % change 27. 1 23. 0 19. 5 19. 4 19. 3 18. 1 17. 4 17. 3

Methodology Base Population – Single Year of Age and Gender Take out Special Populations Everyone is Aged By 1 Year Apply Births Rates, Death Rates and Migration Rates to the Population Apply Housing Constraint (Housing Forecasts, vacancy rates, household formation rates) Add back in Special Populations Population Forecast

Population growth is maintained into the future 350, 000 300, 000 200, 000 150, 000 100, 000 50, 000 Year 2024 2021 2018 2015 2012 2009 2006 2003 2000 1997 1994 1991 1988 1985 1982 1979 1976 1973 1970 0 1967 People 250, 000

Milton Keynes has a younger age profile compared with England 10 8 6 4 2 0 % of population 2 4 6 8 10

By 2026 the Milton Keynes age profile will have aged 10 8 6 4 2 0 % of population 2 4 6 8 10

Ward Population Change 2012 -2021

Estate Population Change 2012 -2021

Summary • MK has grown from 215, 100 to 252, 400 people between 2002 -12 (+17. 3%). • The MK population is projected to grow to 302, 100 people by 2026. • MK has a younger age profile than England but it is projected to age. • Some estates are projected to experience very high population growth.

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