met no Status and Plans Helge Tangen met

met. no: Status and Plans Helge Tangen, met. no – Tromsø office Arctic ROOS meeting, Luleå, December 18 -19, 2007 Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Status; models • HIRLAM, ECMWF, UM 4 – Atmosphere, … • WAM – Waves • Ice forecast 20 km, 2 km to be launched soon Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Nordlys? , 14 april 1987: • . . fiskerne kan så å si telle isflak ned til 30 meters lengde. . • . . informasjonen kan være om bord i fiskefartøyene bare minutter etter at satellittinformasjonen er mottatt. . • På kartet er det lett å se hvor isen er tynn og hvor den er tykkere. . Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Wind speed & direction • Resolution(km) – 20 x 20, 10 x 10, 4 x 4, (1 x 1) • IPY-THORPEX campaign: 4 km for major parts of Barents Sea Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

WAM: Wave height & direction Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Current • Speed vectors • Resolution 4 km Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Drift modelling • Oil spill • Objects/peopler Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Observations • Radio soundings Jan Mayen, Bjørnøya, Ny-Ålesund (with Max Planck) • Synoptic: Jan Mayen, Bjørnøya, Hopen, Longyearbyen, several AWS in Svalbard • Ice state and thickness Hopen, ice state Bjørnøya Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Observations (2) • Synops along coast of Northern Norway • Satellite images from several polar orbiting missions • OSI SAF: Ice parameters and SST Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

SST – OSI SAF product Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Forecasting in the Arctic at met. no • Regular daily foreasts for large sea areas – Weather, wind, visibility, waves, iceing • Polar Low monitoring and forecasting • Aviation forecasting Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Spesialvarsel for havområder Utstedt tirsdag 13. 09. 2005 kl. 10 UTC. Sterk kuling ventes i følgende områder: E 4, F 3, F 4. Synoptisk situasjon kl 06 UTC: Lavtrykksenter 983 h. Pa i posisjon 79 nord 29 øst beveger seg sakte vestover og dyper seg langsomt. Lavtrykksenter 975 h. Pa i posisjon 63 nord 17 vest beveger seg østover med hastighet 25 knop og fylles langsomt. Værvarsel som gjelder for de neste 24 timene: A 1, B 1, C 1: Nordvestlig frisk bris. Stort sett oppholdsvær og god sikt. A 2, A 3, B 2, B 3, C 2, C 3: Nordvestlig frisk bris til liten kuling. Spredte sludd eller snøbyger. Dårlig sikt i nedbør. A 4, A 5, A 6: Skiftende bris. Spredte snøbyger. Dårlig sikt i nedbør. B 4: Nordvestlig bris. Spredte snøbyger. Dårlig sikt i nedbør. Osv… Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Challenges: INSTABILITY LOWS Model ”forecasts” one central low But? L L L ? Moving direction? How strong winds? Further development? ? Wind speeds later on? Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Dissemination of info • http: //wms. met. no/moncoze (met. no model output combined with data from NERSC (TOPAZ, ASAR, MERIS) • http: //senorge. no (shows wms layers from distributed sources (met. no, NVE) • http: //wms. met. no/hydronord , focussed on the Barents Sea. met. no, NERSC, IMR, NIVA have intension to develop moncoze-client in a new project ”MONBASE” (Monitoring the Barents Sea Environment) • Partners in AROOS could work together on web-dissemination (wms, wfs, wcs) Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Tid: [-] [+] Nivå: [-] [+] Baselayers Longitudes/latitudes Weather forecast HIRLAM 20 km Surface wind Surface temperature Cloud cover Latitude: 60. 72 to 78. 447 Longitude: -18. 064 to 46. 963 ECMWF Wave forecast WAM 8 km Sign. wave height Mean period Peak period Mean direction Peak direction Windsea wave height Peak windsea period Mean windsea direction Peak windsea direction Swell wave height Mean swell period Peak swell period Mean swell direction Peak swell direction Stokes Drift Stokes Speed Bottom topography Ocean forecast Nordic 4 km TOPAZ Satellite Observations Query: WAM 50 wave spectra Vertical sections Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Norwegian IPY-THORPEX project Universitetet I Oslo Universitetet I Bergen Bjerknessentret ved Ui. B Meteorologisk institutt UNIS (? ) Better forecasting of situations that affect life and properties Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Projects • i. AOOS-Integrated Arctic Ocean Observing System • My. Ocean: Arctic Monitoring and Forecasting Center (MFC) development in Norway (NERSC, met. no, IMR), drifted at met. no. Also Sea Ice Thematic Assembly Center (TAC) managed by met. no. (According to proposal) • Polar View: High resolution ice charting & management My. Ocean • Hindcast project (Statoil. Hydro) for better climatology in the Barents Sea Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no

Icebergs • Iceberg service: Contract to be signed with Statoil. Hydro on developing service in the Barents Sea. Will be included in official forecasting service. Norwegian Meteorological Institute met. no