Measuring reexports Jasper Roos CBS Statistics Netherlands Unit

Measuring re-exports Jasper Roos CBS / Statistics Netherlands Unit International trade 1

Re-exports vs domestic exports Difference in economic impact Role: Re-exports – Only distribution and / or trade Exports from domestic production – Also production 2

Re-exports Ways to define re-exports – – Origin criteria Value added Change of goods - Description Change of goods - Change of product code Decision: Change on 6 -digit Harmonized System-code ? => no re-exports 3

Estimating re-exports (1) Supply and use tables P + M = C + IC + E 4

Estimating re-exports (1) Supply and use tables P + M = C + I + IC + Eimport + Eprod. 5

Estimating re-exports (2) Statistical procedure: – Additional variable in the Netherlands – Specification of the trade flow Gives underestimation – Unfamiliarity + discussion about the definition of re-exports – Companies sometimes are unable to tell the origin – No information for countries outside EU (customs) 6

Estimating re-exports (3) Comparison of import and export Value of exports ----------- < 2 Value of imports 7

Estimating re-exports (3) Comparison of import and export Value of exports ----------- < 2 Value of imports Else => re-exports => some exports from domestic production Comparison by – 6 -digit HS-code – Company (preferable enterprise-group level) 8

Example (1) Time period imports exports Estimated re -exports X 9

Example (1) Time period X imports € 900 exports Estimated re -exports € 300 10

Example (1) Time period X imports € 900 exports Estimated re -exports € 300 11

Example (2) Time period imports exports Estimated re -exports Y 12

Example (2) Time period Y imports € 0 exports Estimated re -exports € 200 13

Example (2) Time period Y imports € 0 exports Estimated re -exports € 200 € 0 14

Example (3) Time period imports exports Estimated re -exports Z 15

Example (3) Time period Z imports € 100 exports Estimated re -exports € 500 16

Example (3) Time period Z imports € 100 exports Estimated re -exports € 500 € 40 17

Example (4) Time period imports exports Estimated re -exports April € 900 € 300 May € 0 € 200 € 0 June € 100 € 500 € 40 2 nd quarter 18

Example (4) Time period imports exports Estimated re -exports April € 900 € 300 May € 0 € 200 € 0 June € 100 € 500 € 40 + + + € 1000 € 340 (? ) 2 nd quarter 19

Enhancements of the model Enhancements: – Profiling of the largest companies – Knowlegde of production structure – Statistical procedure 20

Results Exported goods in 2005 21

Results Destination of the exports in 2005 22

Results Origin of the re-exports in 2005 23

Questions ? 24