Markets First Security First Policy First Sustainability First
Markets First Security First Policy First Sustainability First
Markets First • • Demography Economy Society Culture Technology Governance Environment
Markets First is a world in which market driven developments converge on the values and expectations that prevail in industrialised countries
Assumptions about Driving Forces MF Demography gradual completion of demographic transition in most regions Economy fairly stable growth rates Society individual ethos dominates Culture increasingly uniform; consumption-oriented Technology rapid advances, but slightly outpaced by activity growth Governance mix of top-down and bottom-up; reactive outside of economic arena; often rhetorical; degree of implementation varies; mixed results Environment robust within limits
Need for Action Hotly Debated at WSSD Doors Open to Increased Trade and Investment Social and Environmental Goals Continue to Take Back Seat The Free Trade Area of the Americas: A Reality After All India: From Back Office to Centre Stage Technology is Speeding Ahead, but Is It Keeping Pace with Activity Growth?
Donor Fatigue Grows Developing Countries Moving Forward but Still Falling Behind What Hides Behind the Averages? Increasing Signs of Stress in Environmental Systems Is What We’ve Gained Worth More Than What We’ve Lost? On the Horns of a Dilemma: Can We Live with Continued Growth? Can We Live without it?
Markets First Security First Policy First Sustainability First
Policy First • • Demography Economy Society Culture Technology Governance Environment
Policy First is a world in which concerted action on environment and social issues occurs through incremental policy adjustments
Assumptions about Driving Forces PF Demography accelerated completion of demographic transition in most regions Economy cautious growth balanced by social and environmental concerns Society balance between individual and community ethos Culture continues to be consumption-oriented, but tempered; respect for diversity Technology targeted technological improvements; slightly outpaces activity growth Governance top-down; proactive in intent; slow in implementation; mixed results Environment robust within limits
A Grand Plan for Tomorrow: Strong Commitments Made at WSSD Regional Bodies Take Up the Charge Tailor it to Their Situation Progressive Businesses and NGOs Help Governments Make the Hard Sell International Panel to Study Nitrogen Loadings Underway Government Departments Increasingly Linked A Second Green Revolution: Achieving the Results while Avoiding the Errors?
Trade Agreements Increasingly Reflect Social and Environmental Concerns Strengthen Resolve At Stockholm+50 Progress Cited, but Leaders Call For Renewed Efforts Headed in the Right Direction, but Are We Moving Fast Enough? Good News and Bad News A Mixed Report on Environmental and Social Targets
Markets First Security First Policy First Sustainability First
Security First • • Demography Economy Society Culture Technology Governance Environment
Security First is a world of fragmentation, where inequality and conflict prevail, brought about by socioeconomic and environmental stresses
Assumptions about Driving Forces Se. F Demography slow completion of demographic transition combined with stagnation or reversal of life expectancy among some groups Economy laissez-faire approach to economic activity; increasingly disrupted Society individual ethos dominates Culture increasingly uniform within walls; fragmented and diverse outside Technology fragmented technological advance; well behind growth in activity Governance little at first; reactive; when applied, top-down and heavy handed Environment a number of environmental systems exhibit increased fragility
Little of Substance Achieved at WSSD AIDS Crisis Continues in Africa; deepens in Asia Coalition Against Terror Faces New Challenges at Home and Abroad EU Squabbles over New Entrants Continue Free Trade Overrides Social and Environmental Concerns Still Waiting for Recovery in Asia and Elsewhere Easier to Reach, Arctic Increasingly Up for Grabs
Can We Afford to Care? EU Tightens Borders Further Some Regions Beg for Water as Others Build Walls to Keep it Away Aid Agencies Stretched Beyond Their Limits People Willing to Trade Freedom for Security Wither One World? Safe, but for How Long? Border Guards: We Do What We Have to Do Life Outside the Walls: Why We Should Care Beijing to London - No Problem Going to the Nearest Village - Risky Business
Markets First Security First Policy First Sustainability First
Sustainability First • • Demography Economy Society Culture Technology Governance Environment
Sustainability First is a world in which a new development paradigm emerges in response to the challenge of sustainability, supported by new values and institutions
Assumptions about Driving Forces Su. F Demography greatly accelerated completion of demographic transition in most regions Economy new patterns of economic activity; old measures inadequate to represent changes Society community ethos dominates, but with full flowering of individual potential Culture shift from consumption to satificing-orientation; respect for diversity Technology targeted technological advances; well ahead of activity changes Governance bottom-up dominates; proactive in intent and implementation; strong results Environment robust within limits
WSSD: Where the Real Action Occurred Leaders Try to Keep Pace with Action on the Ground “I Must Follow the People. Am I Not Their Leader? ” Disraeli Businesses Help Countries Make Technological Leaps South-South Linkages Grow “I Think that People Want Peace so Much that One of These Days Government Had Better Get out of the Way and Let Them Have It” Dwight D. Eisenhower
Returning Émigrés Bring Back More Than Money Open Access to Information Leads to Improved Behaviour in Government and Business The Impacts of a Real Peace Dividend Release of GDP Figures met by Deafening Silence Social and Environmental Progress Hailed Has Humankind Achieved Maturity?
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