Longitudinal Research on Education using the British Cohort

Longitudinal Research on Education using the British Cohort Studies Alice Sullivan, Director British Cohort Study Centre for Longitudinal Studies following lives from birth and through the adult years CLS is an ESRC Resource Centre based at thewww. cls. ioe. ac. uk Institute of Education

Structure of presentation The British Cohort Studies • Examples of Research • Future plans • following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

www. cls. ioe. ac. uk Register online for through email alerts about following lives from birth and the adult years CLS news, events and publications. www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Birth Cohort Studies National Survey of Health and Development (NSHD) Those living in GB born in one week in 1946 National Child Development Study (NCDS) All those living in GB born in one week in 1958 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS 70) All those living in GB born in one week in 1970 Millennium Cohort Study (MCS) All those born in selected areas of UK over 12 months beginning September 2000 in England Wales, and December 2000 in Scotland Northern Ireland following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

1946 Birth Cohort Study · · · National Maternity Survey to investigate costs of childbirth and quality of associated health care (16, 500 births) after WW 2 A sample of 5, 362 of this original survey have been followed over time 21 contacts most recently at age 53 Continuously funded by MRC since 1962 Approximately 3, 500 remain in the study following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

1958 Birth Cohort Study Representative sample of over 17, 000 infants born in March 1958 Not initially planned as a longitudinal study Sample followed at ages 7, 11, 16, 23, 33, 42, 46, 50 (prospective study) Retrospective life history data collected at age 23, 33, 42, 46, 50 Rich data collected from parents, schools, and the respondents themselves. · For example · work history · partnership history · fertility history · housing history · Approximately 12, 000 individuals are still participating · Information on individuals can be linked from birth and childhood through into adult life · Now funded by ESRC with data collected every four years · · · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

NCDS Follow-ups & information sources following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Hypothetical life history: for a member of the 1958 cohort Exam results Parental divorce Training and skills x Savings Gets married Born 1958 Voting behaviour 1965 1969 Age 7 Age 11 1974 1981 Age 16 Job 1 Mother’s smoking behaviour 1 st child 2 nd child 1991 1984 1987 Age 23 2000 Age 33 2004 2008 Age 42 Age 46 Age 50 Job 3 (part time) Job 2 Psychological well being Domestic division of labour Parental interest in school work Free school meals Maths and reading tests following lives from birth and through the adult years Working hours preferences Union membership www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Cohort members’ views of the future… Imagine that you are now 60 years old. . . please write a few lines about the life you are leading (your interests, your home life, your health and well-being and any work you may be doing). following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

BCS 70: 1970 Birth Cohort Study · · · Representative sample of over 16, 000 infants born in 1970 Sample followed at ages 5, 10, 16, 26, 30, 34, 38 Approximately 12, 000 individuals are still participating Now funded by ESRC with data collected every four years Co-ordination with NCDS facilitates cross cohort comparisons following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

BCS 70 Follow-ups & information sources following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Millennium Cohort Study · · · 18, 818 babies. So far followed up at ages 3 and 5. Cohort born over 12 month period · Season of birth effects · Spread workload of professional interviewers Geographically clustered by electoral ward Over-sampling of ethnic minorities. · Better approach to issue of community & local services · · Content multi-purpose & multidisciplinary but with greater emphasis on social rather than medical following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

MCS Follow-ups & information sources following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Objectives of MCS · To chart the initial conditions of the social, economic and health advantages and disadvantages facing new children in the new century and their consequences · To capture information for the future · To compare patterns of development with other cohorts · To collect information on previously neglected topics, such as father’s involvement and child care · To investigate the wider social ecology of the family, including community and services, splicing in geo-coded data following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Questions Addressed by Birth Cohort Data · · · How have trends over time changed? E. g. In educational attainment/ inequalities between groups. How do life-course trajectories develop? E. g. Educational trajectories. How do earlier events affect later outcomes? E. g. Returns to education. What happens at key transition points? E. g. Transition to higher education, family formation. What is the impact of changes in social and education policies? E. g. Change in school systems. following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Longitudinal Research Questions in Education 1 Assessing social trends over time · Have educational inequalities increased or decreased over time? · Bynner, J. and Joshi, H. (2002) ‘Equality and opportunity in education: evidence from the 1958 and 1970 birth cohort studies’, Oxford Review of Education, 28 (4): 405 -425. · Comparison of two birth cohorts. · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Longitudinal Research Questions in Education 2 Assessing lifecourse trajectories · How do educational inequalities emerge and develop during the early years? · Feinstein, L. (2003) ‘Inequality in early cognitive development of British children in the 1970 cohort’, Economica, 70: 73 -97. · Tracks development from 22 months to age 10. · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

The SEG gap in early years Source: Feinstein (2003) following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Longitudinal Research Questions in Education 3 Assessing the effects of education on later outcomes in the labour market · How do qualifications effect womens’ later labour market experiences? · Elliott, J. , Dale, A. and Egerton, M. (2001) ‘The influence of qualifications on women’s work histories, employment status and earnings at age 33’, European Sociological Review, 17 (2): 145 -168. · Examines the impact of women’s qualifications and work histories on wages. · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Longitudinal Research Questions in Education 4 Assessing the impact of life events on later outcomes · Do the negative ‘effects’ of teenage motherhood are real or spurious · Hobcraft, J. and Kiernan, K. E. (2001) Childhood poverty, early motherhood and adult social exclusion. British Journal of Sociology 52 (3): 495 -517. · Examines whether the negative effects of early childbearing can be explained by childhood precursors such as child poverty. · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Longitudinal Research Questions in Education 5 Assessing the impacts of poverty during the early years using MCS · http: //www. cls. ioe. ac. uk/text. asp? section=000100 0500150021 Causes and consequences of disadvantage for young children in Britain and Northern Ireland (Sullivan, Joshi, Ketende, Obelenskaya, Cara). · Tracks inequalities at age 5 and then 7. · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Analytical strategy Descriptive analysis 2. Regression (linear or logistic as appropriate) analyses for both UK and NI separately. 1. 4 Nested models 1. NI, Poverty and child-specific controls 2. Social background controls 3. Neighbourhood characteristics 4. Other potential mediating and moderating factors following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

BAS mean scores MCS 3 Poor NI GB Transient Poor Not Poor 143. 9 148. 9 153. 9 following lives from birth and through the adult years 158. 9 163. 9 168. 9 173. 9 www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Education assessment score Poor NI GB Transient Poor Not Poor 0 10 20 30 40 50 following lives from birth and through the adult years 60 70 80 90 100 110 www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Behavioural (SDQ) Poor NI GB Transient Poor Not Poor 0 1 2 3 4 5 following lives from birth and through the adult years 6 7 8 9 10 11 www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Less than ‘excellent’ health Poor GB NI Transient Poverty Not Poor 0 10 20 30 following lives from birth and through the adult years 40 50 60 70 www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Overweight Poor GB Transient poor NI Not poor 0 5 10 following lives from birth and through the adult years 15 20 25 30 www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Example of a research project using NCDS: The debate over single-sex schools Is there a real impact on academic attainment for girls or boys? · Success in later life? · Are there effects on social outcomes – relationships with the opposite sex, etc? · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Exam attainment at 16+: competing hypotheses • Traditional view – boys and girls distract one another in co-ed. • ‘Progressive view’ (Dale) girls have a civilising influence on boys in co-ed, and girls are not harmed. • Some feminists have argued that girls are disadvantaged in co-ed. • Proponents of ‘different learning styles’ say boys and girls need to be taught differently. • Recent arguments that boys are disadvantaged by ‘feminised’ co-ed schools.

Frequencies – 5+ O levels

Broken down by school sector

Divorce: Men

Hourly Wages age 42: Women

Project findings Sullivan, A. , Joshi, H. and Leonard, D. (forthcoming) ‘Single-sex schooling and labour market outcomes’. Oxford Review of Education. · Sullivan, A. , Joshi, H. and Leonard, D. 2010 ‘Singlesex Schooling and Academic Attainment at School and through the Lifecourse’. American Educational Research Journal 47(1) 6 -36. · Sullivan, A. 2009. ‘Academic self-concept, gender and single-sex schooling’ British Educational Research Journal 35(2) 259 -288. · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Future Plans MCS and BCS 70 will be in the field in 2012 · NCDS will be in the field in 2013 · We welcome external input into our consultative processes · Consultative conference: http: //www. cls. ioe. ac. uk/events. asp? section=00010004&page=2&item=1042 · following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk

Website www. cls. ioe. ac. uk Please register for regular updates following lives from birth and through the adult years www. cls. ioe. ac. uk