LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North West

LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North West Locality Strategy & Insight

CITY & LOCALITY OVERVIEW City Overview • Edinburgh is an affluent city, but with pockets of poverty and low income as severe as any other city in Scotland • City population, and demand for services has grown rapidly in the past decade. • This population and demand growth is projected to continue throughout the next ten to fifteen years, facilitated by planned housing developments. Locality Overview • Locality level averages mask significant variation at lower level geographies across most measures • All services the Council provides are needed in every locality • Every locality contains at least one ward or community which is significantly different from the rest of the area • Population growth in the next decade is likely to be most concentrated towards the north of the city

LOCALITIES - POPULATION & GROWTH 2034 135 377 2024 122 954 167 120 2014 110 905 159 104 2004 94 650 141 723 North East 127 795 North West 2004 2014 2024 2034 114 077 119 203 119 292 120 298 125 975 131 770 132 470 South East 103 127 South West 2004 2014 2024 2034

LOCALITIES – POPULATION STRUCTURE North West 1, 12 1, 20 1, 21 0, 90 North East 1, 12 1, 19 1, 22 1, 05 0, 66 0 -4 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+ 0 -4 1, 22 0, 88 0, 83 0, 95 0, 78 0, 92 0, 84 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+ South West South East 1, 59 1, 02 0 -4 1, 06 1, 09 0, 97 0, 98 1, 03 1, 00 0, 81 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+ 0 -4 0, 85 0, 93 0, 88 0, 86 1, 07 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+

Inverleith 13% 9% South West 29% Sighthill / Gorgie 13% Pentland Hills South East Fountainbridge / Craiglockhart 11% Colinton / Fairmilehead 15% South East 22% Liberton / Gilmerton 13% City Centre North East Southside / Newington Meadows / Morningside 21% 20% North East 27% Portobello / Craigmillar Leith Walk North West Leith Craigentinny / Duddingston 12% North West Forth Drum Brae / Gyle 7% 8% Almond Business Intelligence modelled estimates 7% Corstorphine / Murrayfield % of residents who live in low income households POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 South West 30% 24% 18% 11% 5%

Business Intelligence modelled estimates 17% South West Sighthill / Gorgie 19% Pentland Hills South East Fountainbridge / Craiglockhart 11% 15% Colinton / Fairmilehead 22% South East 27% 26% Liberton / Gilmerton 18% City Centre North East Southside / Newington Meadows / Morningside 25% 26% North East 30% Portobello / Craigmillar Leith Walk North West Leith Craigentinny / Duddingston 17% North West Forth 14% 11% 13% Drum Brae / Gyle Inverleith Almond Corstorphine / Murrayfield % of children who live in low income households CHILD POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 South West 35% 27% 20% 11% 12%

SIMD 8% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally 50% of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally NORTH EAST NORTH WEST 44% 16% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally NORTH EAST of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally 12% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally SOUTH WEST SOUTH EAST 5% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally SOUTH EAST

INCOME PROFILE - INDEX North West 0, 90 0, 93 0, 82 0, 99 1, 07 1, 11 North East 1, 18 1, 30 1, 37 1, 38 1, 07 1, 10 1, 17 1, 07 0, 91 0, 84 0, 69 0, 46 <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k £ 20 29 k £ 30 39 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k £ 20 29 k £ 30 39 k South West 1, 10 1, 05 <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k 1, 05 £ 20 29 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k 0, 25 £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k South East 0, 93 0, 99 0, 96 0, 92 £ 30 39 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k 0, 86 0, 81 1, 25 1, 47 0, 94 0, 99 1, 01 0, 95 1, 00 1, 03 1, 05 <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k £ 20 29 k £ 30 39 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k 0, 95

0% Ward Mean Sighthill/Gorgie Pentland Hills South East Fountainbridge/Craiglockhart Colinton/Fairmilehead Southside/Newington Meadows/Morningside North East Liberton/Gilmerton City Centre Portobello/Craigmillar Leith Walk North West Leith Craigentinny/Duddingston Inverleith Forth Drum Brae/Gyle 20% Corstorphine/Murrayfield Max/Min Datazone Almond % Households who find it ‘very difficult to cope’ on current income FINANCIAL STRESS South West 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Experian – Mosaic Scotland

EMPLOYMENT • • • Unemployment has been falling across all wards, citywide for the last two years North West has the largest variation amongst wards with a low of 0. 6% in Almond a high of 2. 3% in Forth 43% of all of Edinburgh’s construction and manufacturing jobs based in North West

HEALTH AND PHYSICAL ACTIVITY Key Facts • Mortality rates are lower than any other area in Edinburgh and considerably lower than the national average • 5. 1% of residents in Forth consider their health to be very bad or bad compared with 2. 7% of those in Almond • Residents in Forth exercise the least and smoke the most % Satisfaction with sports facilities run by Edinburgh Leisure 72% 76% 69% 73% 60% Almond Corstorphine / Drumbrae / Murrayfield Gyle Inverleith Forth

SELF-DIAGNOSED HEALTH & ADMISSIONS Self diagnosed: Hearing problems 1, 32 Self diagnosed: Depression 1, 27 1, 06 1, 33 1, 25 0, 75 Almond Drum Brae Gyle Forth Inverleith Corstorphine Murrayfield Alcohol related hospital admissions rate Almond 0, 84 Drum Brae Gyle North West Inverleith Corstorphine Murrayfield 1, 31 1, 09 North East 0, 79 Alcohol related hospital admissions rate (NP) 1, 45 0, 91 Forth 0, 79 South West 0, 91 South East 0, 76 0, 78 Almond Western 0, 79 Forth Inverleith

CRIME AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOUR Key Facts • Large disparities in levels of crime and disorder between Forth and other wards in NW • Customer satisfaction levels reflect the statistics % Agree they feel safe after dark in their neighbourhood 92% 91% 88% 87% 70% Almond Corstorphine Drumbrae / Gyle Inverleith Forth

VIOLENT CRIME % Satisfied With The Way That Violent Crime Is Dealt With Violent Crimes in North West 1174 83% 68% 385 61% rth Fo ith rle ve ae br um Dr In /G ie yf ur ra /M ne hi rp to rs Co yle ld d on m Al rth Fo ith rle ve um Dr ur /M ne rs to rp hi br ra ae yf /G ie yle ld d on m Al Co 72% 361 In 304 294 74%

VANDALISM Vandalism in North West % Satisfied with the way in which vandalism/Graffiti is dealt with 723 80% 71% 63% um Dr rth Fo ith rle ve In ur /M ne hi rp to rs Co br ra ae yf /G ie yle ld d on m Al rth Fo ith rle ve um Dr ur /M ne rs to rp hi br ra ae yf /G ie yle ld d on m Al Co 55% 236 163 In 169 71%

YOUNG PEOPLE Child Poverty • North West has the lowest total number (18%) out of all four localities of children living in low income households • However, apart from Sighthill/Gorgie, Forth has the highest number of children (30%) living in low income households • 40% of looked-after children live in North West

YOUNG PEOPLE Education • Forth has the highest number of adults with no qualifications at 25% • 39% of primary schools are below the locality average but average attendance for all Primary schools is higher than city-wide target • The locality accounts for 15% of all primary exclusions city-wide (by time excluded) • Secondary schools in the locality contribute 40% of overall exclusions (by time excluded)

CUSTOMER SATISFACTION WITH SCHOOLS ith rle ve ae br um Dr 88% rth 87% In /G ie yf ur ra /M ne hi rp to rs Co yle ld d on m ith rle ve In yle 94% 78% um br 95% Dr /M ne hi rp to rs ae yf ur ra m Al Co /G ie on d ld 79% 89% Al 89% rth 94% Fo 94% %Satisfaction with Secondary Schools Fo % Satisfaction with Primary Schools

VULNERABLE ADULTS Key Facts • Number of adults living in with an open health care involvement vary with a low of 856 in Inverleith and a high of 1900 in Forth % Agree Council provides care and support for vulnerable people 75% 68% 53% Almond Corstorphine / Drumbrae / Murrayfield Gyle 60% Inverleith Forth

OVERVIEW % Satisfaction with neighbourhood as a place to live 81% rth ith rle ve In br um Dr ur ra /M ne hi rp to rs ae yf /G ie yle d on m Al 94% 91% Fo 94% ld 94% Co Key Facts • In general, the satisfaction levels for the North West neighbourhood are high with an exception of Forth ward • Roads and transport are bigger concerns farther west • Lower satisfaction levels in Forth can be attributed to high levels of poverty, ASB and crime • 2014, prior to the introduction of Safer North, saw Forth record the lowest satisfaction ratings ever for many services

Strategy & Insight Jo Mc. Stay Strategy & Insight Manager jo. mcstay@edinburgh. gov. uk 0131 529 7950 David F Porteous Lead Insight & Engagement Officer david. porteous@edinburgh. gov. uk 0131 529 7127