LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North East

LOCALITY INSIGHT an overview of the North East Locality Strategy & Insight

CITY & LOCALITY OVERVIEW City Overview • Edinburgh is an affluent city, but with pockets of poverty and low income as severe as any other city in Scotland • City population, and demand for services has grown rapidly in the past decade. • This population and demand growth is projected to continue throughout the next ten to fifteen years, facilitated by planned housing developments. Locality Overview • Locality level averages mask significant variation at lower level geographies across most measures • All services the Council provides are needed in every locality • Every locality contains at least one ward or community which is significantly different from the rest of the area • Population growth in the next decade is likely to be most concentrated towards the north of the city

LOCALITIES - POPULATION & GROWTH 2034 135 377 2024 122 954 167 120 2014 110 905 159 104 2004 94 650 141 723 North East 127 795 North West 2004 2014 2024 2034 114 077 119 203 119 292 120 298 125 975 131 770 132 470 South East 103 127 South West 2004 2014 2024 2034

LOCALITIES – POPULATION STRUCTURE North West 1, 12 1, 20 1, 21 0, 90 North East 1, 12 1, 19 1, 22 1, 05 0, 66 0 -4 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+ 0 -4 1, 22 0, 88 0, 83 0, 95 0, 78 0, 92 0, 84 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+ South West South East 1, 59 1, 02 0 -4 1, 06 1, 09 0, 97 0, 98 1, 03 1, 00 0, 81 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+ 0 -4 0, 85 0, 93 0, 88 0, 86 1, 07 5 -11 12 -15 16 -24 25 -44 45 -64 65 -84 85+

Inverleith 13% 9% South West 29% Sighthill / Gorgie 13% Pentland Hills South East Fountainbridge / Craiglockhart 11% Colinton / Fairmilehead 15% South East 22% Liberton / Gilmerton 13% City Centre North East Southside / Newington Meadows / Morningside 21% 20% North East 27% Portobello / Craigmillar Leith Walk North West Leith Craigentinny / Duddingston 12% North West Forth Drum Brae / Gyle 7% 8% Almond Business Intelligence modelled estimates 7% Corstorphine / Murrayfield % of residents who live in low income households POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 South West 30% 24% 18% 11% 5%

Business Intelligence modelled estimates 17% South West Sighthill / Gorgie 19% Pentland Hills South East Fountainbridge / Craiglockhart 11% 15% Colinton / Fairmilehead 22% South East 27% 26% Liberton / Gilmerton 18% City Centre North East Southside / Newington Meadows / Morningside 25% 26% North East 30% Portobello / Craigmillar Leith Walk North West Leith Craigentinny / Duddingston 17% North West Forth 14% 11% 13% Drum Brae / Gyle Inverleith Almond Corstorphine / Murrayfield % of children who live in low income households CHILD POVERTY IN EDINBURGH BY WARD AND LOCALITY, 2013/14 South West 35% 27% 20% 11% 12%

SIMD 8% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally 50% of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally NORTH EAST NORTH WEST 44% 16% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally NORTH EAST of datazones in 15% most housing deprived nationally 12% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally SOUTH WEST SOUTH EAST 5% of datazones in 15% most deprived nationally SOUTH EAST

INCOME PROFILE - INDEX North West 0, 90 0, 93 0, 82 0, 99 1, 07 1, 11 North East 1, 18 1, 30 1, 37 1, 38 1, 07 1, 10 1, 17 1, 07 0, 91 0, 84 0, 69 0, 46 <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k £ 20 29 k £ 30 39 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k £ 20 29 k £ 30 39 k South West 1, 10 1, 05 <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k 1, 05 £ 20 29 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k 0, 25 £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k South East 0, 93 0, 99 0, 96 0, 92 £ 30 39 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k 0, 86 0, 81 1, 25 1, 47 0, 94 0, 99 1, 01 0, 95 1, 00 1, 03 1, 05 <£ 15 k £ 15 19 k £ 20 29 k £ 30 39 k £ 40 49 k £ 50 59 k £ 60 69 k £ 70 - £ 100 - £ 150 k+ 99 k 149 k 0, 95

0% Ward Mean Sighthill/Gorgie Pentland Hills South East Fountainbridge/Craiglockhart Colinton/Fairmilehead Southside/Newington Meadows/Morningside North East Liberton/Gilmerton City Centre Portobello/Craigmillar Leith Walk North West Leith Craigentinny/Duddingston Inverleith Forth Drum Brae/Gyle 20% Corstorphine/Murrayfield Max/Min Datazone Almond % Households who find it ‘very difficult to cope’ on current income FINANCIAL STRESS South West 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Experian – Mosaic Scotland

EMPLOYMENT - • • • Unemployment has been falling across all wards, citywide for the last two years North East locality has the highest rate of unemployment relative to other localities in Edinburgh It is around 39% higher in this area than the whole of Edinburgh Around one-sixth (16. 9%) of all Edinburgh jobs are based in the North East area, and the top five industries in the North East by employment size are: Health Retail Business admin Public Admin Accommodation & food services

HEALTH AND PHYSICAL ACTIVITY Key Facts • • Mortality rates are higher than any other area in Edinburgh and higher than the national average 6. 1% of residents in Portobello/Craigmillar consider their health to be very bad or bad compared with 3. 6% of those in Leith Walk 17. 1% of residents reported that their daily activities are limited In every ward except for Craigentinny/Duddingston, residents exercise less than the city average % Satisfaction with sports facilities run by Edinburgh Leisure 75% Leith 81% 70% Leith Walk Craigentinny / Duddingston Portobello / Craigmillar

CRIME AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOUR Key Facts • Crime appears to vary between the four localities • The numbers for Leith and Leith Walk are higher than the Edinburgh Average for violent crime, vandalism and disorder • Crime levels in Craigentinny/Duddingston and Craigmillar/Portobello are generally below the city average • However, Craigmillar/Portobello and Craigentinny/Duddingston have higher levels of fire raising and vandalism % feel safe in their neighbourhood after dark 91% 78% 76% 63% Leith Walk Craigentinny / Duddingston Portobello / Craigmillar

VIOLENT CRIME % Satisfied with the way in which violent crime is dealt with Violent crime in South East 1129 76% 937 66% 56% 703 585 Leith Walk Craigentinny / Duddingston Portobello / Craigmillar

DISORDER % Satisfied with way in which ASB is dealt with Disorder in South East 2613 2600 69% 1787 Leith Walk Craigentinny / Duddingston 54% 55% Leith Walk 52% 1622 Portobello / Craigmillar Craigentinny / Duddingston Portobello / Craigmillar

YOUNG PEOPLE Child Poverty • Child poverty in the North East is the highest out of all four localities with 26% of all children living in low income households • There are 370 ‘looked after children’ in North East, 27% of the total number citywide • The number of children living in foster, residential and kinship care in the North East are all higher than the city average • The number of looked after children living with their parents/guardians is significantly lower, 18. 4%, than the city average of 24. 1%

YOUNG PEOPLE Education • Portobello/Craigmillar has the highest number of adults with no qualifications at 28% • The cumulative attendance for all 5 Secondary Schools is below the city-wide target (92. 8%) and current city-wide sector average (92. 37%) and is the lowest of all of the localities • Cumulative attendance for 16 Primary Schools (80%) below target of 95. 4% with 12 of these (60%) below current sector average (94. 65%)

VULNERABLE ADULTS Key Facts • North East has the highest number (6919) of adults with an open health and social care involvement • Portobello/Craigmillar has the highest number – 1951 (7. 4% of ward population) individuals with open health and social care involvement compared with a low of 1549 in Leith Walk % Agree Council provides care and support for vulnerable people 71% 67% 57% Leith Walk 56% Craigentinny / Duddingston Portobello / Craigmillar

OVERVIEW Key Facts • Low satisfaction levels can be attributed to high levels of poverty and crime • Health problems are widespread across the locality • High numbers of both vulnerable adults and children % Satisfaction with neighbourhood as a place to live 90% 93% 92% 76% Leith Walk Craigentinny / Duddingston Portobello / Craigmillar

Strategy & Insight Jo Mc. Stay Strategy & Insight Manager jo. mcstay@edinburgh. gov. uk 0131 529 7950 David F Porteous Lead Insight & Engagement Officer david. porteous@edinburgh. gov. uk 0131 529 7127