Leadership for teacher learning Dylan Wiliam 1 www

Leadership for teacher learning Dylan Wiliam 1 www. dylanwiliam. net

Outline 2 In the UK, teacher quality is � highly consequential, and � highly variable Teacher quality can be improved by � replacing existing teachers with better ones � by investing in the teachers we already have Only investing in existing teachers produces enough improvement to produce the changes that we need This is not happening systematically in most schools, but could be

Educational Endowment Fund (EEF) toolkit 3 Intervention Cost Quality of evidence Extra months of learning Feedback ££ ★★★ +8 Metacognition and self-regulation ££ ★★★★ +8 Peer tutoring ££ ★★★★ +6 Early years intervention £££££ ★★★★ +6 One to one tuition ££££ ★★★★ +5 Homework (secondary) £ ★★★ +5 Collaborative learning £ ★★★★ +5 Phonics £ ★★★★ +4 Small group tuition £££ ★★★★ +4 Behaviour interventions £££ ★★ +4 Digital technology ££££ ★★★★ +4 Social and emotional learning

Educational Endowment Fund (EEF) toolkit 4 Intervention Cost Quality of evidence Extra months of learning Parental involvement £££ ★★★ +3 £££££ ★★★ +3 Summer schools £££ ★★ +3 Sports participation £££ ★★ +2 Arts participation ££ ★★★ +2 Extended school time £££ ★★ +2 Individualized instruction £ ★★★ +2 After school programmes ££££ ★★ +2 £ ★★★ +2 £££ ★★★ +1 Reducing class size Learning styles Mentoring Homework (primary)

Educational Endowment Fund (EEF) toolkit 5 Intervention Cost Quality of evidence Extra months of learning Teaching assistants ££££ ★★ 0 Performance pay ££ ★ 0 Aspiration interventions £££ ★ 0 Block scheduling £ ★★ 0 School uniform £ ★ 0 Physical environment ££ ★ 0 Ability grouping £ ★★★ -1

Important caveats about research findings 6 Educational research can only tell us what was, not what might be. Moreover, in education, “What works? ” is rarely the right question, because � everything works somewhere, and � nothing works everywhere, which is why � in education, the right question is, “Under what conditions does this work? ”

An illustrative example: feedback 7 Kluger and De. Nisi (1996) review of 3000 research reports Excluding those: without adequate controls � with poor design � with fewer than 10 participants � where performance was not measured � without details of effect sizes � left 131 reports, 607 effect sizes, involving 12652 individuals On average, feedback increases achievement Effect sizes highly variable � 38% (50 out of 131) of effect sizes were negative �

Getting feedback right is hard Response type Feedback indicates performance… falls short of goal exceeds goal Change behavior Increase effort Exert less effort Change goal Reduce aspiration Increase aspiration Abandon goal Decide goal is too hard Decide goal is too easy Reject feedback Feedback is ignored

Teacher quality 9

Teacher quality and student learning Subject Correlation Woodhead All 0* Rivkin, Hanushek and Kain (2005) Reading >0. 10 Rivkin, Hanushek and Kain (2005) Mathematics >0. 11 Rockoff (2004) Reading 0. 20 Rockoff (2004) Mathematics 0. 25 Aaronson, Barrow and Sander (2007) Mathematics 0. 13

Annual growth in achievement, by age 11 1. 6 annual growth (SDs) 1. 4 1. 2 1. 0 0. 8 0. 6 0. 4 0. 2 0. 0 5 6 7 8 9 Bloom, Hill, Black, and Lipsey (2008) 10 Age 11 12 13 14 15 16

12 Assuming that � one year’s student growth is 0. 3 standard deviations � the correlation between teacher quality and student achievement is 0. 15 Then with a good teacher (1 sd above the mean) students learn 50% more And with an outstanding teacher (2 sd above the mean) they learn 100% more Note also that students make some progress through maturation so these are probably underestimates of the true effect (Fitzpatrick, Grissmer, & Hastedt, 2011)

Teacher quality 13 The impact of teacher quality (Hanushek & Rivkin, 2006) � In the classroom of the best teacher in a group of 50 teachers, students learn twice as fast as average. � In the classroom of the least effective teacher in a group of 50, students learn half as fast as average � And in the classrooms of the best teachers, students from disadvantaged backgrounds learn as much as others (Hamre & Pianta, 2005) Teachers make a difference But what makes the difference in teachers? � In particular, can we predict student progress from: Teacher qualifications? Value-added? Teacher observation?

Teacher qualifications 14

Teacher qualifications and student progress 15 Mathematics Primary Middle Reading High Primary Middle — — + General theory of education courses Teaching practice courses Pedagogical content courses Advanced university courses Aptitude test scores Harris and Sass (2007) + High + — — +

Teacher observations 16

Framework for teaching (Danielson 1996) 17 Four domains of professional practice 1. 2. 3. 4. Planning and preparation Classroom environment Instruction Professional responsibilities Links with student achievement (Sartain, et al. 2011) � Domains 1 and 4: no impact on student achievement � Domains 2 and 3: some impact on student achievement

A framework for teaching (Danielson, 1996) Domain 2: The classroom environment � 2 a: Creating an environment of respect and rapport � 2 b: Establishing a culture for learning � 2 c: Managing classroom procedures � 2 d: Managing student behavior � 2 e: Organizing physical space Domain 3: Instruction � 3 a: Communicating with students � 3 b: Using questioning and discussion techniques � 3 c: Engaging students in learning � 3 d: Using assessment in instruction � 3 e: Demonstrating flexibility and responsiveness

Reading 0. 5 0. 4 2 a Teacher value-added 0. 3 2 b 0. 2 2 c 0. 1 2 d 0 2 e -0. 1 3 a -0. 2 3 b -0. 3 3 c -0. 4 3 d -0. 5 -0. 6 3 e Unsatisfactory Basic Proficient Distinguished

Mathematics Teacher value-added 0. 6 0. 4 2 a 0. 2 2 c 2 b 2 d 0 2 e 3 a -0. 2 3 b 3 c -0. 4 3 d -0. 6 -0. 8 3 e Unsatisfactory Basic Proficient Distinguished

Observations and teacher quality 21 Percentage change in rate of learning Reading 20 15 Mathematics So, the highest rated teachers are 30% more productive than the lowest rated 10 5 0 -5 But the best teachers are 400% more productive than the least effective -10 -15 Unsatisfactory Basic Proficient Distinguished Sartain, Stoelinga, Brown, Luppescu, Matsko, Miller, Durwood, Jiang, and Glazer (2011)

Imprecision of lesson observations 22 Achieving a reliability of 0. 9 in judging teacher quality through lesson observation is likely to require observing a teacher teaching 6 different classes, and for each lesson to be judged by 5 independent observers. Hill, Charalambous and Kraft (2012)

23 To recap � The highest rated teachers generate learning 30% faster than the lowest rated teachers � But the most effective teachers generate learning 400% faster than the least effective teachers � So the best observation systems we have capture less than 10% of teacher quality (in reality, less than this because most teachers are in the middle two categories) There is therefore a real danger that teachers will “game the system” by aping features of observation protocols while becoming less effective.

Teacher value-added 24

Teacher value-added Value-added quintile: Traditional model Value-added quintile: Student fixed-effects model 1 2 3 4 5 1 38 22 24 16 0 2 26 28 15 20 11 3 20 20 20 24 16 4 13 24 26 13 24 5 9 5 12 28 47 Goldhaber, Goldschmidt, and Tseng (2013)

Mathematics Quintile of teacher value-added 5 th 4 th 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Value-added (student SDs) 0. 5 0. 4 0. 3 0. 2 0. 1 0 -0. 1 -0. 2 -0. 3 0 1 2 Years of teaching experience Atteberry, Loeb and Wyckoff (2013) 3 4

Correlation of initial and later performance 27 Correlation of value-added with base year All teachers New teachers 0. 5 Mathematics 0. 4 0. 3 0. 2 0. 1 0 Base+1 Base+2 Base+3 Base+4 Year of prediction Base+5

Correlation of initial and later performance 28 Correlation of value-added with base year All teachers New teachers 0. 5 Reading 0. 4 0. 3 0. 2 0. 1 0 Base+1 Base+2 Base+3 Base+4 Year of prediction Base+5

Issues with value-added models for teachers 29 Different (reasonable) models of value-added give very different estimates of teacher quality (Goldhaber, Goldschmidt and Tseng, 2013) Teacher value-added in their first year accounts for less than 5% of the variation in teacher quality in their fifth year of teaching (Atteberry, Loeb and Wyckoff, 2013) Teachers benefit students for at least three years after they stop teaching them (Rothstein, 2010)

What makes effective teacher learning? 30

Expertise 31 According to Berliner (1994), experts: Excel mainly in their own domain � Often develop automaticity for the repetitive operations that are needed to accomplish their goals � Are more sensitive to the task demands and social situation when solving problems � Are more opportunistic and flexible in their teaching than novices � Represent problems in qualitatively different ways than novices � Have faster and more accurate pattern recognition capabilities � Perceive meaningful patterns in the domain in which they are experienced � Begin to solve problems slower but bring richer and more personal sources of information to bear �

The role of deliberate practice 32 Music professors at the Hochschule der Kuenst (Academy of Music) Berlin identified 10 violin students who had the potential for careers as international soloists (“best” students) The professors also identified a sample of 10 good, but not outstanding students (“good” students) Researchers recruited another 10 students training to be music teachers who specialised in the violin (“Music Ed” students) An additional 10 middle-aged professional violinists from two local orchestras were recruited to the study Groups were matched in sex (7 f, 3 m) and for the first three groups, age

How much do violinists practice? 33 Music Ed Good Best Professionals Hours of practie per week 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 4 6 8 10 Ericsson, Krampe, & Tesch-Römer (1993) 12 Age 14 16 18 20

Violinists’ hours of practice (cumulative) 34 Cumulative hours of practice Music Ed Good Best 10 12 Age Professionals 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 4 6 8 14 16 18 20

These differences are substantial… 35 Hours of practice by age 18 Music Education students 3420 Good violin students Best violin students Professional musicians 5301 7410 7336 By the age of 18, the best violinists have accumulated 40% more practice than good violinists Since the amount of deliberate practice being undertaken by the best students once they are adults is close to the maximum possible, it is, essentially, impossible for the good students to catch up to the best.

Psychomotor skills and surgical skill… Ten junior surgical residents were tested on their ability to perform five anastomoses on fresh porcine jenunum Performance evaluated on: a. Time taken in minutes b. A “clumsiness” score (0 to 100), taking into account “unproductive movements, fumbles and gross errors” c. An anastomosis score found by rating on a 1 to 3 scale: suture spacing knots overall tidiness integrity of the anastomosis (tested with 10 cm head of water) accuracy of suture in terms of extramucosal placement Cumulative error score: a + b + 2 x (15 – c)

…are only weakly related 37 Residents also took three psychomotor tests: Small parts manual dexterity test (Crawford & Crawford, 1981) � Spiral maze test (Gibson, 1961) � Embedded figures test (Witkin, Oltman, & Karp, 1971) � Results: Surgical performance correlated negatively with tests of manual dexterity, but � Improvement in surgical skill correlated positively with the hidden figures score � The ability to create, and hold in mind, mental representations appears to be more important than manual dexterity in predicting surgical performance Steele, Walder, and Herbert (1992)

Visual-spatial ability and surgical skill 38 37 junior surgical residents at the University of Toronto given six tests of visual/spatial ability � Snowy pictures test (Ekstrom et al. , 1976) � Gestalt completion test (Street, 1931) � Shape memory test (Ekstrom et al. , 1976) � Cube comparison test (Ekstrom et al. , 1976) � Form board test (Sylvester, 1881) � Mental rotations test (Vandenberg & Kuse, 1978)

Visual-spatial ability and surgery skills Residents were then tested on their ability to learn and perform complex surgical procedures (twoflap and four-flap Z–plasty on pig thighs)

Correlation of surgical skill with spatial ability 40 Total global rating Procedure Try SPT GCT SMT CCT FBT MRT Two-flap 1 st — — — 0. 40 Two-flap 2 nd — — — — — 0. 34 0. 47 Four-flap Quality of result Two-flap 1 st — — — 0. 40 Two-flap 2 nd — — — — — 0. 40 0. 49 Four-flap Wanzel, Hamstra, Anastakis, Matsumoto & Cusimano (2002)

General conclusions about expertise 41 Elite performance is the result of at least a decade of maximal efforts to improve performance through an optimal distribution of deliberate practice What distinguishes experts from others is the commitment to deliberate practice Deliberate practice is � an effortful activity that can be sustained only for a limited time each day � neither motivating nor enjoyable—it is instrumental in achieving further improvement in performance

Talent is over-rated… 42

Effects of experience in teaching 43 Extra months per year o f learning 1 Mathematics 1 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -3 -3 -4 -4 -5 Years of teaching experience 0 1 2 3 to 5 Rivkin, Hanushek and Kain (2005) -5 Reading 0 Years of teaching experience 1 2 3 to 5

Implications for education systems Pursuing a strategy of getting the “best and brightest” into teaching is unlikely to succeed Currently all teachers slow, and most actually stop, improving after two or three years in the classroom Expertise research therefore suggests that they are only beginning to scratch the surface of what they are capable of What we need is to persuade those with a real passion for working with young people to become teachers, and to continue to improve as long as they stay in the job. There is no limit to what we can achieve if we support our teachers in the right way

Supportive accountability 45 What is needed from teachers: � A commitment to: The continual improvement of practice Focus on those things that make a difference to students What is needed from leaders: � A commitment to engineer effective learning environments for teachers by: Creating expectations for continually improving practice Keeping the focus on the things that make a difference to students Providing the time, space, dispensation, and support for innovation Supporting risk-taking

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