Labour Market Information John Mc Grath Skills and

Labour Market Information John Mc. Grath, Skills and Labour Market Research Unit, 15 th April 2016

The Identification of Skills Needs • The Institutional Framework • The National Skills Database • The Estimation of Demand • National versus Regional versus ETB area • The Identified Shortages • Where we go from here – Employer Regional Skills Fora SOLAS

Identification of skill needs: institutional framework Employment permits National Skills Council Regional Skills Fora SOLAS

Institutional framework: Expert Group on Future Skills Needs Since 1997 Secretariat DJEI (team of 4) Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU) SOLAS (team of 7)

Skills and Labour Market Research Unit - National Skills Database Award 2008 Since 2003 National Skills Database

Linking research with policy > < + Replacement demand Expansion demand Shortage Surplus + Graduate supply Job seekers

Labour Market Transitions 2014 Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO data

Replacement and turnover rates 2014 Replacement Employment 2014 annual average Managers Turnover Retirement Exits to inactivity and net exits due to interocc. movement Intraoccupational Intra- occ. and neutral inter-occ. movements 150, 200 1. 7% 4. 8% 4. 4% 8. 3% Professionals 354, 700 1. 4% 4. 3% 8. 8% 11. 1% Assoc. profs. 216, 600 0. 9% 5. 2% 7. 5% 11. 5% Admin. 208, 500 1. 2% 7. 4% 8. 2% 12. 5% Trades 285, 400 1. 8% 6. 2% 6. 4% 8. 7% Personal services 144, 600 1. 2% 11. 8% 11. 0% 13. 4% Sales 166, 100 0. 8% 11. 0% 11. 7% 16. 9% Operatives 144, 900 1. 1% 7. 9% 8. 7% 14. 8% Elementary 210, 100 1. 1% 13. 7% 12. 7% 18. 1% 1, 881, 200 1. 3% 6. 9% 8. 7% 12. 8% Total Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO data SOLAS

Demand components and churn Source: SLMRU

Expansion demand: average annual employment growth by occupational family by 2020 Source: SLMRU

How to measure demand • Measure the difference between number employed in each occupation over 12 months • Multiply the numbers in each occupation by the replacement rate and add them. • Add in impact of job announcements • Take account of self-employment (easy to do at national level) SOLAS

National V Regional V ETB Area • All data available at national level and robust • Data available at planning region level but some of it is not robust • Data at ETB level is not robust and will not be published SOLAS

Where to from here • Currently creating regional labour market profiles for 8 regions • Will be uploaded on to new RSF web-site in about a month and available to all • Discussing with CSO possibility of additional regions • Possible to create ETB labour market profile on request if resources permit but for internal planning purposes only SOLAS

Current demand: difficult to fill vacancies • Professionals/associate professionals • – ICT (software developers, cloud, databases/big data, testing, security, technical support, networking and infrastructure) – Engineering (production, process, quality, validation, product design/development, electronic, electrical, mechanical and chemical) – Science (biochemistry, biotechnology, pharma co-vigilance, product development) – Business & finance (risk, compliance, accounting, business intelligence, data analytics) – Health (doctors, nurses, radiographers, niche area specialists (e. g. prosthetists, radiation therapist), managers) – Construction (surveyors) Clerical (multilingual credit control/debt control and supply chain) • Skilled trades (chefs, tool making, welding (TIG, MIG), butchers/de-boners, steel-erector) • Sales (technical sales, multilingual customer support, online sales and marketing) • Operatives (CNC, drivers (fork lift and special vehicle)) • Retention issues (care, chefs, butchers/de-boners, elementary (e. g. waiters)) • Mandatory qualifications: Child care; CSCS cards

Relevant reports National Skills Bulletin 2015 Monitoring Ireland’s Skills Supply 2015 Vacancy Overview 2015 www. skillsireland. ie SOLAS Regional Labour Markets Bulletin 2015 Occupational Employment Projections 2020 www. solas. ie