KoreaJapan Workshop and Symposium on World Rice Consumption

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Korea-Japan Workshop and Symposium on World Rice Consumption Promotion Strategies Shoichi Ito, Ph. D.

Korea-Japan Workshop and Symposium on World Rice Consumption Promotion Strategies Shoichi Ito, Ph. D. Tottori University, Japan http: //worldfood. muses. tottori-u. ac. jp July 23, 2004

Declining Demand for Rice in Asia 1. Increases in incomes 2. Westernization of Asian

Declining Demand for Rice in Asia 1. Increases in incomes 2. Westernization of Asian diets 3. Urbanization

Fig. 6. Evolution of world total production for broiler, beef, and pork, ’ 61

Fig. 6. Evolution of world total production for broiler, beef, and pork, ’ 61 -‘ 04 （100万ｔ） (Million MT) 1000 Broiler 900 Beef&Veal 800 Pork 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 1967 1965 1963 1961 0 Source: S. Ito; World Food Statistics and Graphics (http: //worldfood. muses. tottori-u. ac. jp), Tottori University, Japan, June 15, 2004. (Original sources are from ERS/USDA; PS&D View , June 2004).

Fig. 13. Long-term world population growth, 1750 to 2150 Billions Million Population size Annual

Fig. 13. Long-term world population growth, 1750 to 2150 Billions Million Population size Annual increments Millions Source: United Nation: Long-range World Population Projections: Based on the 1998 Revision, Executive Summary , (http: //www. un. org/esa/population/publications/longrange. htm ), The World at Six Billion, (http: //www. un. org/esa/population/publications/sixbillion. htm) Billions

Figure 2. Global per capita rice consumption (kg), 1982 -2013. Source: USDA, PS&D, and

Figure 2. Global per capita rice consumption (kg), 1982 -2013. Source: USDA, PS&D, and FAPRI, 2004

Understanding for Rice Demand • Global ag. export competition • Advancement in production technology

Understanding for Rice Demand • Global ag. export competition • Advancement in production technology • Limited world population growth • More supply & less demand for rice

If Asian Rice Consumption decreases…. 1. Over-supply of rice 2. Decline global market prices

If Asian Rice Consumption decreases…. 1. Over-supply of rice 2. Decline global market prices 3. More criticism to high prices… Japan and Korea 4. Asian failure in ag. competition. . . Poverty in Asian rural areas

What to do for future? 1. Development new strategies for more consumption 2. More

What to do for future? 1. Development new strategies for more consumption 2. More feed use 3. Processed food from rice

Source : http: //ers. usda. gov/publications/aer 767 c. pdf

Source : http: //ers. usda. gov/publications/aer 767 c. pdf

Source : http: //ers. usda. gov/publications/aer 767 c. pdf

Source : http: //ers. usda. gov/publications/aer 767 c. pdf

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