KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CAP Implementation in Kenya Presented

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CAP Implementation in Kenya Presented by PHILLIP OKELLO OCHIENG Meteorologist/Research Scientist Geosciences and Tsunami Information Services Kenya Meteorological Service Email: pokello@meteo. go. ke

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Introduction (1) üKMS is a public service in the Ministry of Environment, Water and Natural Resources; üKMS is responsible for the organization and operational management of meteorological services in Kenya; üGenerating Weather Advisories, Alerts & Warnings is the business of KMS;

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Introduction (2) üCAP was introduced to KMS in late 2012; üCAP is installed in the server system and two other platforms and currently being tested, however, full implementation process is going on; üChallenges of implementation…my view üKMS has been working on an integrated solution of Alerts/Warning production & dissemination; üThis integrated solution will target CAP and all those who will subscribe to it;

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Administrative Areas ü Kenya Comprises of 47 Counties; ü Each County headed by a County Meteorological Officer or Meteorologist and; ü Each County has its own Disaster Management committee.

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE The Scope & Climate

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Early Warning üSWFDP EW üTsunami & Seismic EW üFlood EW üEW in the Health Sector üEW in Agriculture & Food Security

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE NMC & RSMC Early Warning ( For Hazards such as Floods, Heavy Rains, strong Winds and Waves) National TV & Radio Advisories, Alerts & Warnings SWFDP, RSMC-Nairobi County Meteorological Officer(s) Office of the President (Advisory Committee) Local Media Networks RANET Radio Station Disaster Management Committee & Others Local Red Cross

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Flood Early Warning ( For Floods in the Bundalang’i plains- Western Kenya) Local Media Networks Flood Warnings Flood Diagnostics & Forecasting Centre, FDFC-Nairobi Office of the President (Advisory Committee) Bundalangi RANET FM Radio Station Busia County Meteorological Officer Disaster Management Committee (Busia County) Red Cross

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Tsunami & Marine Early Warning Siren & Loudspeakers National TV/Radio Networks RANET Radio & Local Media Beach Management Units Tsunami Alert or Warning National Tsunami Warning Centre, Nairobi County Met. Officer(s) Local Disaster Management Committee Hotel Operators Kenya Maritime Authority Office of the President (Advisory Committee) Kenya Ports Authority Security Agencies Red Cross

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Food & Agri. Early Warning System National TV & Radio Food & Agriculture Advisories Local Media Networks Ministries in charge of Agriculture, Livestock, Arid lands…etc Seasonal Forecaster, NMC-Nairobi Office of the President (Advisory Committee) Updates RANET Radio Station County Met. Officer(s) Local Disaster Management Committee & Others Agricultural Extension Officers Red Cross

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Health Early Warning System National TV & Radio Health Advisories Ministry of Health Seasonal Forecaster, NMC-Nairobi Office of the President (Advisory Committee) Local Media Networks Updates RANET Radio Station County Met. Officer(s) Local Disaster Management Committee Local Health Centers Red Cross

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Proposed Flow of Info thro’ CAP NMC Hydro. Met Agro. Met Health Automatic Recorders Meteofactory Forecasting Centre, KMS Nairobi Mobile Phone Networks TV / Radio Networks Email / RSS feeds CAP Email / SMS Office of the President (Advisory Committee) RSS feeds Email Local Radio Stations County Meteorological Officer(s) Disaster Managers & Responders Google Public Alerts Twitter Facebook

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Challenges in Message Categorizing

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Aspects of Alert Message Structure CAP Headline/Title Category Response Type Urgency Severity Certainty Message Description Instruction Area Description KMD

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Why CAP?

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Message Types Before a message is constructed and disseminated, we need to classify message type based on severity and urgency. . . especially if it was not done previously Watch Advisory Alert Warning

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Message Types(1) Watch A message issued to inform vulnerable population to allow time for preparation and planning for weather threats that are expected, but will take time to arrive. They generally cover longer time periods and underline the possibility of a threat that is likely to develop in the future.

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Message Types (2) Advisory A Message that is issued when weather conditions impact on the population in ways that are not a direct threat to life and property but ignoring it may lead to hazardous conditions. These conditions may be brought about by the secondary effects of the impacts that may not be obvious before threat.

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Message Types (3) Alert A Message issued when a threat is imminent with little time for preparation, and quick action is needed to inform vulnerable populations to avert the menace

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Message Types (4) Warning A message issued when a threat is occurring or imminent, and immediate action to evacuate is needed to protect life and property.

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Severity of the Hazard (Generated from SWFDP Forecast Products & Others) HAZARD Heavy Rainfall Wave Heights Moderate > 30 mm > 1. 5 meters Severe > 50 mm > 2. 0 meters Wave Heights > 1. 5 meters > 2. 0 meters Hot Conditions Cold Conditions Wind Gusts 35 - 40 o. C < 10 o. C 25 -35 Knots > 40 o. C < 5 o. C > 35 knots (Indian Ocean) (Lake Victoria) (Wind Speed)

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Severity of the Hazard (Generated from SWFDP Forecast Products & Others) HAZARD Agricultural Drought Health Tsunami Thick Fog Lightning Hailstorm Frost Moderate Severe >10 days dry spell >15 days dry spell -----------

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Alerts & Warnings (Generated from River Gauge Levels) River Gauge Remarks ALERT 4 to 5 meters Get prepared to leave to higher & Safer grounds WARNING > 5 meters Above this point flooding can occur depending on strength of the dykes. Evacuate immediately.

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Who are the Potential CAP Message Users & Aggregators ? Disaster Management Org. Media (Radio) Media (RANET Radio) Media (TV ) County Meteorologists Mobile Phone Networks Internet-Data Networks 15 116 4 20 47 5 2

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Media Exposure Why More Emphasis on FM Radio ? üRadio üMobile Phones üTV üComputers(Internet) (based on population census, 2009) 74% 63% 28% ~4%

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Alerts & Warnings thro’ RANET Radio üCommunity based Radio Stations ü 4 operating in vulnerable population areas üEffective in Alerts & Warnings dissemination üTo be part of the CAP community

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Alerts thro’ Mobile Phone Networks • Currently we are working with one of the networks to give daily weather forecasts • Alerts and Warnings are about to be included • We intend to extend to other Networks

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Publishing CAP Messages

KENYA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE Way Forward… Activity Complete Translation of the KMD Messages to the CAP Format Complete list of possible CAP Community Affiliate in Kenya CAP Identifiers & Registration Google Alerts & Mapping Tools CAP Trial Period Full Implementation of CAP Period May 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 1 st half of 2014 2 nd half of 2014

Thank You !