Justin Paolini How To Trade the ECB Thursday
Justin Paolini How To Trade the ECB Thursday, October 20 www. fxrenew. com
Thanks! My name is Justin Paolini… - 10 years of experience trading FX of which 3 were spent first as a Sales Trader and then as a Broker. Welcome to today’s webinar. - 6 years of experience as an educator, with contributions published on Yahoo! Finanza, Trend Online, FX Street - Lecturer for the University of Ancona on Trading and Market Dynamics (since 2012) www. fxrenew. com
How To Trade the ECB Eurozone Economic Performance Since Last Meeting -Consumer Spending: Mixed -Labour Market: Neutral/Bearish (worse German Unemployment) - Inflation: Bullish - Activity Indicators: Very Bullish (IFO, ZEW, PMIs) -Market Based Indicators: Bullish www. fxrenew. com
How To Trade the ECB Core Inflationary Pressures Remain Weak www. fxrenew. com Market Based measures of inflation remain subdued
Sentiment Analysis – ECB Expectations and key themes: - No change expected (too early to Taper, US elections in pipeline) -Draghi’s tone is key: internal committees have been tasked to “evaluate options that ensure a smooth implementation of our purchase programme”. - Draghi is likely to reiterate the ECB’s willingness, capacity and ability to increase stimulus. www. fxrenew. com
Sentiment Analysis – ECB Markets will require answers to 2 questions: 1. Extension of QE beyond March 2017? Or Tapering? - Draghi likely to be neutral and not precommit. - However: markets expect additional stimulus in December (low CPI, banking sector, Brexit effects, Italian Referendum, Ger/Fr elections next year) - Market expects 6 -mth extension in December meeting www. fxrenew. com
Sentiment Analysis – ECB 2. What Technical Changes to QE are expected? (issue: running out of eligible bonds to buy) www. fxrenew. com
Sentiment Analysis – ECB Given today's market conditions, the ECB will almost certainly need to adjust its QE parameters in the months ahead in order to address the imminent shortage of eligible bond supply. The Market has sold Euros into today’s meeting on the back of this; any Taper talk, or a less dovish stance will be a surprize. www. fxrenew. com
Market Reaction - ECB Euro will pop higher only if Draghi anticipates any kind of Taper talk (unlikely) or is much less dovish. Otherwise, we should see very little directional volatility. The Euro is weak going into the meeting and will likely remain weak after the meeting. www. fxrenew. com
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Steve Lucas • Steve spent thirty years as a trader in the foreign exchange, fixed income and equity markets. • Since 2007, he has provided live technical analysis research to the inter-bank market, hedge funds and professional traders. • Now he provides his best ideas for retail traders as signals through FX Renew. www. fxrenew. com
Alan Collins • Alan has been involved in the financial markets for more than 30 -years. • He has been published in the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) journal and FX Trader magazine and has also spoken at the STA and given numerous lectures on a variety of analysis subjects. • Since 2007, along with Steve, has provided live technical analysis to hedge funds and banks. www. fxrenew. com
Justin Paolini • 10 years of experience trading FX of which 3 were spent first as a Sales Trader and then as a Broker. • 6 years of experience as an educator, with contributions published on Yahoo! Finanza, Trend Online, FX Street, Order. Flowtrading. com, Forex. Tell. com • Lecturer for the University of Ancona on Trading and Market Dynamics (since 2012) www. fxrenew. com
Performance www. fxrenew. com
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Performance www. fxrenew. com
Performance http: //signals. fxrenew. com/auth. php www. fxrenew. com
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Trading is better done as a team sport Think of it like cricket or baseball, your individual skills are highly important but if you have a strong team around you then you will perform at a much higher level. www. fxrenew. com
Trading Does not Have to Be a Lonely Endeavor Or sometimes its good just to be able to talk to someone and get out of your own head. www. fxrenew. com
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Coaching www. fxrenew. com
Private Coaching - For traders that are “stuck” or that have reached a plateau - For traders that are tired of paying continuous tuition to the market. - For traders that are truly dedicated and want to reach consistency as quickly as possible The Starting Point is a personal assessment (your own personal situation, your beliefs, your risk tolerance, why you approached trading in the first place, etc. ). Then Justin will teach you his very own 4 -step trading method which will help you understand price (why price is moving in one direction rather than another, what kind of volatility we can expect, key levels where longs and/or shorts are likely watching) and market drivers (day to day sentiment & flows, longer term drivers). www. fxrenew. com - 10 years of experience trading FX of which 3 were spent first as a Sales Trader and then as a Broker. - 6 years of experience as an educator, with contributions published on Yahoo! Finanza, Trend Online, FX Street - Lecturer for the University of Ancona on Trading and Market Dynamics (since 2012)
How to Get Started with Coaching Contact Justin directly via hello@fxrenew. com or the coaching page on the website. www. fxrenew. com
Tour Take a look through our Members Area. www. fxrenew. com
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A Few Parting Thoughts. . . www. fxrenew. com
Consistent Trading Does Not Fit Neatly into a Box Be prepared to unlearn things you thought were common wisdom – successful traders think differently. www. fxrenew. com
Choose Yourself - The Security of Being a Trader There is no longer security in a pay check. Instead – Choose yourself. www. fxrenew. com
Marathon not a sprint Trading is a marathon and not a sprint. www. fxrenew. com
Manage Your Mental State Be careful to manage your mental states. www. fxrenew. com
Here Are Some of the Things I Do Exercise Meditation Get outside Have an adventure. Serve or give Be grateful www. fxrenew. com
Come on a Journey with us Join the new pathway and continue your trading journey as part of a team wholly committed to your trading success. www. fxrenew. com
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