JUDICIAL CONCURRENCE Preliminary FY 2007 Preliminary FY 2007

JUDICIAL CONCURRENCE Preliminary FY 2007

Preliminary FY 2007 Guideline Worksheets Keyed as of 3/5/07 (N=10, 715)

General Compliance

Preliminary FY 2007 Judicial Agreement with Guideline Recommendations General Compliance: The degree to which judges agree with the overall guidelines recommendation. FY 06 80%

Preliminary FY 2007 Recommended vs. Actual Dispositional Compliance: The degree to which judges agree with the type of sanction recommended by the guidelines. ACTUAL DISPOSITION RECOMMENDED DISPOSITION Probation/No Incarceration less than 6 months Incarceration over 6 months Probation/No Incarceration 73. 5% 23. 0% 3. 6% Incarceration less than 6 months 11. 5% 75. 6% 12. 9% 5. 9% 8. 3% 85. 8% Incarceration over 6 months

Preliminary FY 2007 Judicial Agreement with Sentence Length Durational compliance: The degree to which judges agree with the sentence length recommended in jail and prison cases.

Departure Reasons

Most Frequently Cited Departure Reasons • • • Mitigation (9. 9%) Plea Agreement Cooperative with Authorities Facts of the Case Other Sentence to Serve Recommendation of CA/PO Aggravation (10. 5%) • Plea Agreement • Flagrancy of the Offense • Guidelines Recommendation Too Low • Poor Potential for Rehabilitation • Jury Sentence

Compliance by Judicial Circuit

Preliminary FY 2007 Compliance by Judicial Circuit

Preliminary FY 2007 Compliance by Judicial Circuit 9 (Williamsburg Area) 72% Circuit 15 (Fredericksburg Area) 71% Circuit 29 (Buchanan Co Area) 69%

Preliminary FY 2007 Compliance by Judicial Circuit

Preliminary FY 2007 Compliance by Judicial Circuit 7 (Newport News Area) 86% Circuit 27 (Radford Area) 91% Circuit 28 (Bristol Area) 85%

Judicial Concurrence By Type of Offense

Preliminary FY 2007 Judicial Concurrence by Type of Offense Nonviolent

Nonviolent Risk Assessment

Nonviolent Risk Assessment

Nonviolent Risk Assessment • Drug, Fraud, & Larceny • Purpose: – To recommend alternative sanctions for offenders who are statistically less likely to recidivate • Type of alternative at discretion of judge

X

Preliminary FY 2007 Nonviolent Risk Assessment Recommended for Alternative Not Recommended for Alternative

Sex Offender Risk Assessment

Sex Offender Risk Assessment

Sex Offender Risk Assessment • Rape & Other Sexual Assault Guidelines • Purpose: – To extend the upper end of the guidelines recommendation for sex offenders who are statistically more likely to recidivate • Enhancements – Level 1 • 300% Increase in upper end of guidelines range – Level 2 • 100% Increase in upper end of guidelines range – Level 3 • 50% Increase in upper end of guidelines range

Level 3 Level 2 Level 1 50% 100% 300%

Preliminary FY 2007 Sex Offender Risk Assessment

Preliminary FY 2007 Sex Offender Risk Assessment Other Sexual Assault (n=82 cases) Rape (n=186 cases)

Jury Sentencing

Jury Sentencing Parole vs. Truth-in-Sentencing 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 1995 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

Preliminary FY 2007 Jury vs. Non-Jury Sentencing

New Guideline Offenses Effective July 1, 2006

New Guideline Offenses • Fraud Worksheet – – – Uttering public record Identity fraud, value >$200 False application, public assistance FRD-2535 -F 4 FRD-2509 -F 6 FRD-2700 -F 5 • Traffic Worksheet – Eluding police with endangerment REC-6624 -F 6 • Miscellaneous Worksheet – – – Extortion, threat by letter, etc. Arson, unoccupied dwelling Escape from correctional facility • Weapons Worksheet – – – EXT-2106 -F 6 ARS-2005 -F 4 ESC-4921 -F 6 Discharge firearm from vehicle WPN-5248 -F 5 Possess firearm on school property WPN-5252 -F 6 False statement on consent form WPN-5281 -F 5

New Guideline Offenses • Fraud Worksheet – – – Uttering public record Identity fraud, value >$200 False application, public assistance FRD-2535 -F 4 FRD-2509 -F 6 FRD-2700 -F 5 • Traffic Worksheet – Eluding police with endangerment REC-6624 -F 6 • Miscellaneous Worksheet – – – Extortion, threat by letter, etc. Arson, unoccupied dwelling Escape from correctional facility • Weapons Worksheet – – – EXT-2106 -F 6 ARS-2005 -F 4 ESC-4921 -F 6 Discharge firearm from vehicle WPN-5248 -F 5 Possess firearm on school property WPN-5252 -F 6 False statement on consent form WPN-5281 -F 5

Identity Fraud (n=16 cases)

Eluding Police, Endangerment (n=172 cases)

False Statement on Consent Form for Weapon (n=34 cases) Mitigations • Most sentenced to probation • Most frequent departure reasons: • Plea agreement • Recommendation of CA