INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study The Alpine

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study The Alpine Space Prospective Study Alpine Space Summit June 20 th 2006, Stresa Thomas Bausch Martin Vanier T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006

The research approach INTERREG IIIB I phase Analysis A: Territorial trends in the Alpine area Alpine Space Prospective Study II phase Substantial key issues Analysis B: Territorial policies in the Alpine area Strategic key players Analysis C: The Alpine Space programme Procedural key issues Immediate strategic projects T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 III phase Shared scenario Strategic Projects after 2006 Programme improvement after 2006

Structure of the study INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study 1 Analyses 1. 1 Economic, social and territorial trends 1. 2 Spatial policies in the Alpine area 1. 3 The Alpine Space Interreg IIIB programme 2 Findings 2. 1 Substantive key issues 2. 2 Procedural key issues 2. 3 Key actors T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 3 Proposals 3. 1 Shared scenarios for the Alpine territory 3. 2 Proposals for improving cooperation after 2006 3. 3 Potential strategic projects

1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Territorial trend definition INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study territorial = trends with a longer lasting influence to a spatial (sustainable) development main fields of trend-analysis: ð natural resources and biodiversity ð economy ð social and cultural welfare (including R&D) T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006

1. Territorial trends in the Alpine area INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study Research approach scan of sources statistical reports, EU documents, results of SPESP, ESPON, OECD, EEA and other EU agencies potential trends fields of territorial development and described trends with high impact to the Alpine Space experts survey T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 main alpine trends detail analysis to each territorial type

1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Trendlist extracted from sources INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study A: natural resources and biodiversity accessibility 34 trends B: economyin 4 main groups 9: growing importance of accessibility to infrastructure and knowledge each group 3 -6 B: economy fields of territorial 11: economic restructuring is expected to accelerate development 10: knowledge economy and society are progressing 12: increasing administration costs transportation 13: increase of transportation volume, road growth, rail decline 14: growing impact of transportation on the environment energy and social 15: rising energy consumption C: cultural affairs state and society 16: declining State aid and funding 17: continuing direct public support to SMEs T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 agriculture 18: growing competition in agriculture 19: dynamic competition / concentration in the tourism sector D: tourism spatial development 20: growth of city and cultural tourism

1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 Trendanalysis based on expert survey (1)

1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 Trendanalysis based on expert survey (2) 1: loss of habitats and biodiversity 2: increasing environmental damages by transport 3: variety of landscapes endangered 5: dynamic increase of natural hazards 9: growing importance of accessibility to infrastructure and knowledge 13: increase of transportation volume, road growth, rail decline 14: growing impact of transportation on the environment 19: dynamic competition / concentration in the tourism sector 22: overaging population

1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area Alpine Space top trends INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 top territorial trends entire Alpine space impact trend short description to alpine no. space 1, 00 5 dynamic increase of natural hazards 1, 10 1 loss of habitats and biodiversity 1, 20 3 variety of landscapes endangered 1, 20 4 increasing pressure on natural resources and natural heritage 1, 20 9 growing importance of accessibility to infrastructure and knowledge 1, 30 22 overaging population 1, 40 28 growing interest in higher education, stronger competition between universities 1, 40 29 emerging opportunities for European cities as R&D locations Definition top-trends: strong territorial impact (below 1, 4), over average dynamic (below 1, 92) and over average duration (below 1, 7) A: natural resources and biodiversity C: Culture and social welfare B: economy D: spatial development

1 Territorial trends in the Alpine area INTERREG IIIB Trends with specific impact to area types Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 A: natural resources and biodiversity C: Culture and social welfare B: economy D: spatial development

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study Proposals Six prospective visions about a shared scenario for the Alpine territory Potential strategic projects T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) 1. Alpine core and the MEGAs © 2005 -2006 Metropolisation, attractiveness, global sustainability, protection, city/mountain, solidarity, international tourism…

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 2. Regional diversity: puzzle and « coopetition » (mix of cooperation and competition), territorial systems, multi-level governance, clusters, cultural partnerships, regional heritage, local development

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) 3. North-South mediation © 2005 -2006 Transit routes, governmental cooperation, infrastructures, impacts, ports and airports, technological risks

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 4. Networks, corridors, connecting elements Polycentrism, distribution, knowledge networks, mobility management

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 5. Openness and enlargement River basin, openness, enlargement, « little Europes » , solidarity, Alpine experience

6. Positionning: we and the others INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study Globalisation, international tourism, alpine amenities, global competition, image, joint promotion ------------- ü Six visions to organise the debate about strategic orientations § Visions 1, 2, 3: internal regulation and management of alpine diversity § Visions 4, 5, 6: integration in a wider global perspective and preservation of it specificity T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 ü Towards a permanent forum on the Alpine Space scenarios

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study Ideas for potential strategic projects (2007 -2013) Project ideas connected with preparation and implementation of the Alpine Space programme • Alpine Space 2020 • Preparatory projects (e. g. Climate Change in the Alps) • Synthesis and dissemination projects • Projects accompanying programme implementation • --- Project ideas connected with strategic key issues T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 • Metropolitain / urban network of the Alpine Space • Rural-urban relations at work • Regional development observatory • Territorial effects of « brain drain » • « Destination Alpine Space » • Sustainable tourism in the Alpine Space • Mobility chain in the Alpine Space • Public passenger transport in the Alpine Space • ---

INTERREG IIIB Alpine Space Prospective Study T. Bausch (D) T. Dax (A) U. Janin Rivolin (I) F. Parvex (CH) S. Praper (SLO) M. Vanier (F) © 2005 -2006 Full report and executive summary please refer to programme WEB-site