INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT FINANCIAL FLOWS INVESTMENT FINANCIAL FLOWS 1

  • Slides: 34
Download presentation
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT & FINANCIAL FLOWS

INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT & FINANCIAL FLOWS

INVESTMENT &FINANCIAL FLOWS 1. 2. 3. 4. How money is invested Multinational corporations Where

INVESTMENT &FINANCIAL FLOWS 1. 2. 3. 4. How money is invested Multinational corporations Where the money flows Evolution of MNCs Historical advantages of GN � GS resistance � GS embraces � Changes in production �

HOW MONEY IS INVESTED Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Mostly by

HOW MONEY IS INVESTED Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Mostly by individuals; may Used by MNCs—returns higher be used by MNCs yield than FPI Mostly stocks and bonds To earn interest through dividends Subsidiary branches and/or joint ventures To earn profits No asset control Controls assets of company As shareholder, may vote on directors and possibly resolutions Determines policies, locations, product volume, personnel, etc. Short-term commitment Long-term commitment

MNCS

MNCS

ABOUT MNCS �Ownership Plants Resource extraction Processing operations Services �Assets Capital Technology Managerial skills

ABOUT MNCS �Ownership Plants Resource extraction Processing operations Services �Assets Capital Technology Managerial skills Marketing skills �Measured (GCP) in Gross Corporate Product Total value of all goods & services revenues for one year

CHARACTERISTICS OF MNCS How would you describe the influence of MNCs? �Lots of $

CHARACTERISTICS OF MNCS How would you describe the influence of MNCs? �Lots of $ Lots of power �Transnationality= mobility Leverage over governments Locate favorable conditions �Influence jobs growth potential �Promote globalization Influence culture, values Promote capitalism & materialism Influential actors in global system �Offer ¤ domestic/ global competition

WHERE MNCS ARE: GN �GN has majority of MNCs �Product of post-WWII US hegemony

WHERE MNCS ARE: GN �GN has majority of MNCs �Product of post-WWII US hegemony �Top 500 80% GN Top GCP MNCs Only 3 MNCs not GN or EE are petroleum companies= <1% Rank Country # of top 500 MNCs �Colombia �Saudi Arabia �Venezuela ¤ 1 2 3 4 (tie) US China Japan France Germany 128 95 68 32 32 http: //money. cnn. com/magazines/fortune/global 500/2012/countries/Australia. html? iid=top 3

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

WHERE FDI GOES Global FDI $1. 2 T (2014) �High point in 2007 -

WHERE FDI GOES Global FDI $1. 2 T (2014) �High point in 2007 - $2. 1 T FDI inflow - which country? �China at $290 B -$111 to HK (2014) * see OECD FDI in Figures 4/15 Report Within China scroll to map, then click on image to bypass log-in �U. S. with $98 B (#2) *unique year ($236 B in 2013) �FDI to EEs = 55% of global FDI (2014) FDI outflow �$358 ¤ B top investor v. $80 B out of China (2014) OECD FDI in Figures April 2015 Report

DESIRABLE FDI LOCATIONS http: //www. finfacts. ie/irishfinancenews/article_1026203. shtml

DESIRABLE FDI LOCATIONS http: //www. finfacts. ie/irishfinancenews/article_1026203. shtml

FDI IN AFRICA http: //www. economist. com/news/special-report/21696794 -outsiders-particular-investing-africa-strewn-hurdles-it-worth-it

FDI IN AFRICA http: //www. economist. com/news/special-report/21696794 -outsiders-particular-investing-africa-strewn-hurdles-it-worth-it

http: //www. ritholtz. com/blog/2012/08/stratfor-chinese-investments-in-africa /

http: //www. ritholtz. com/blog/2012/08/stratfor-chinese-investments-in-africa /

MNCS IN INDONESIA 1) What is the investment appeal of Indonesia? �Surging domestic market

MNCS IN INDONESIA 1) What is the investment appeal of Indonesia? �Surging domestic market Auto sales up 17. 8% from previous year �Indonesia = biggest SE Asia market Large population �Sales in India, China on decline �Largely unaffected by 2008 global recession �Investment-grade credit rating �Young labor force = new consumers �New interest from US, EU ¤

MNCS IN INDONESIA 2) What issues do MNCs encounter? �Regulatory issues �Corruption Ranked 114/177

MNCS IN INDONESIA 2) What issues do MNCs encounter? �Regulatory issues �Corruption Ranked 114/177 on Transparency Int’l index Likelihood of bribes to do business 25/28 �Lack of infrastructure �Rising labor costs �Red tape 80 days for license Ease of doing business WB ranking very low (120/189) Argentina- lower at 126 *These factors slow growth

MNCS IN CAMBODIA 1) Why is Cambodia attracting MNCs? up 70% since 2011, at

MNCS IN CAMBODIA 1) Why is Cambodia attracting MNCs? up 70% since 2011, at $1. 5 B, in 2013 more FDI per capita than China �Limit reliance on China Increased wages Younger people don’t want factory jobs Shrinking labor force Aging population �Can ¤ provide labor for low-tech sectors Textiles

MNCS IN CAMBODIA 2) What challenges do MNCs face in Cambodia? �Provides less of

MNCS IN CAMBODIA 2) What challenges do MNCs face in Cambodia? �Provides less of everything than China can Work force Consumer potential Electricity access �Limitations wages ¤ use labor more quickly higher

MNCS IN CAMBODIA 3) How do Cambodians benefit from FDI? �Wages �Benefits Medical, accident

MNCS IN CAMBODIA 3) How do Cambodians benefit from FDI? �Wages �Benefits Medical, accident insurance, education allowances, free lunches �Greater leverage Strikes for higher wages at Taiwanese-owned paying less than Japanese-owned textile factory �Housing ¤

MNCS &FDI What impacts investment decisions? �Political stability Threat of nationalization �Ease of doing

MNCS &FDI What impacts investment decisions? �Political stability Threat of nationalization �Ease of doing business �Potential consumer market �Infrastructure �Geographic location �Skilled labor �Raw materials �Natural disasters �Health ¤

EVOLUTION OF MNCS

EVOLUTION OF MNCS

HISTORICAL ADVANTAGES OF GN Dutch East India Company �Recognized as early form of an

HISTORICAL ADVANTAGES OF GN Dutch East India Company �Recognized as early form of an MNC �Influenced formation of others East India Company (British) French East India Company US encouraged FDI after WWII �Needed Initial �If to spark growth in allied countries resistance by GS you’re a GS leader, why would you resist? ¤

GS RESISTANCE TO MNCS Initial resistance by GS Newly independent from colonization Little leverage

GS RESISTANCE TO MNCS Initial resistance by GS Newly independent from colonization Little leverage to institute regulations �Unable to collectively act to institute rules of FDI Feared exploitation without compensation �Lacked skilled workers for higher-level employment �Repatriation of earnings Attempted ¤ unilateral development

GS EMBRACES MNCS First in 1960 s - into Asia & Central America �Focus

GS EMBRACES MNCS First in 1960 s - into Asia & Central America �Focus on light industry �Set up maquilas / maquiladora as export processing zones (EPZs) in Central America Late 1970 s – into Africa and China �In China, Special Economic Zones (SEZs) Efforts to entice MNCs �Over 3, 000 in over 120 ¤

GS EMBRACES MNCS Still occurring �China raised foreign ownership limit from 20% to 30%

GS EMBRACES MNCS Still occurring �China raised foreign ownership limit from 20% to 30% (2014) �Tesco buys into Star Bazaar Indian grocery chain (2014) 50% ownership 1 st foreign supermarket since gov’t opened grocery sector to FDI ¤

DEVELOPMENT China’s SEZs � 4 in 1980; now have 6

DEVELOPMENT China’s SEZs � 4 in 1980; now have 6

GS EMBRACES MNCS China’s SEZs �Model for other countries Russia Vietnam Philippines India (started

GS EMBRACES MNCS China’s SEZs �Model for other countries Russia Vietnam Philippines India (started with 8) Cambodia �Authoritarian regimes Control Political stability Concerns about nationalizing ¤

GS EMBRACES MNCS What do you think EPZs have to offer MNCs? �Skilled labor

GS EMBRACES MNCS What do you think EPZs have to offer MNCs? �Skilled labor �Stable political environment �Investment incentives, trade concessions �Exemption from domestic laws �Infrastructure Roads, power supplies, transport facilities, low cost or rent buildings �Waive restrictions on foreign ownership of business �Waive repatriation restrictions ¤

AFRICA’S CHALLENGES What challenges does Africa face with drawing FDI and developing regional trade?

AFRICA’S CHALLENGES What challenges does Africa face with drawing FDI and developing regional trade? (3/16 articles) �Corruption �Diff. to move stuff Ex. Intra-Africa trade- 11% v. Asia at 50% and Europe at 70% (2007 -2011) �Political instability �Inadequate infrastructure �Etc. ¤

MNCS & PRODUCTION

MNCS & PRODUCTION

NEW INTERNATIONAL DIVISION OF LABOR Global labor shift Started with US electronics firms �

NEW INTERNATIONAL DIVISION OF LABOR Global labor shift Started with US electronics firms � Japan, then SK, China, SE Asia Expanded �Nike in Japan �Processing raw materials �Semi-finished goods �Components �Finished products ¤

NEW INTERNATIONAL DIVISION OF LABOR Strategies �Outsourcing Using 3 rd party �Offshoring Foreign party

NEW INTERNATIONAL DIVISION OF LABOR Strategies �Outsourcing Using 3 rd party �Offshoring Foreign party Suppliers become competitors �Reshoring Returning to home country GE in U. S. ¤

RESHORING ARTICLES Be sure to ground Outsouring/ Offshoring in Indo and Cambodia articles as

RESHORING ARTICLES Be sure to ground Outsouring/ Offshoring in Indo and Cambodia articles as examples of these Manufacturing and Manufacturing Delusions articles; also use chart from https: //www. bloomberg. com/view/articles/2017 -0105/ford-s-bow-to-trump-benefits-robots-not-workers �Outsourcing Using 3 rd party �Offshoring Foreign party Suppliers become competitors �Reshoring Returning to home country GE in U. S. ¤

ISSUES Exploits foreign labor �MNCs generally follow set standards �Most pay above local minimum

ISSUES Exploits foreign labor �MNCs generally follow set standards �Most pay above local minimum going wage rate Intra-firm trading �Cheats subsidiary countries of profits Trade within own set of subsidiaries to avoid taxes Lower value to pay lower taxes �Not actually selling yet Export “unfinished” products �Profit is credited to parent company at home �Inflates trade statistics Diffuses responsibility

RANA PLAZA � April 24, 2013; 1, 127 died � Worst disaster in history

RANA PLAZA � April 24, 2013; 1, 127 died � Worst disaster in history of garment industry � Substandard materials, violated building codes, flaws � Workers threatened with being fired � Primark retail- paying out $12 m � Hoped others would follow suit structural

RECAP 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. How money is invested Multinational corporations Where the

RECAP 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. How money is invested Multinational corporations Where the Money Flows Evolution of MNCs & Production