INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS intelligence information society 10192021 M Gams

INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS intelligence + information society 10/19/2021 M. Gams matjaz. gams@ijs. si

Three worlds with different properties Intelligent systems - integration of the th Collapse of time, spa

Moore’s Law 1. Electronic world

Saturation – When?

Moravec 2. Computers vs beings

Human Brain Progress

Rast moči računalnikov / ljudi Moč procesiranja Računalniki Ljudje Čas

Exponential vs. linear growth Memory

Turing test

Human-level intelligence Unknown barrier

3. Informacijska družba Moč procesiranja Ljudje + Računalniki = Informacijska družba Računalniki Ljudje Rast človeških sposobnosti Čas

Teorija singularnosti Moč procesiranja Ljudje + Računalniki = Informacijska družba Računalniki Ljudje Čas

Human Generations Generation no. Generation name Main object I. Agrarian Food II. Industrial Production III. Post-industrial Services IV. Information s. Information

Computer Generations Generation no. Generation name Status I. Machine-level Slave II. Programming Slave III. Tools Slave IV. Information society Assistant / AGENTS

IS Impact on Humans (Lewis) Generation name Duration Comm. Speed Agrarian 3000 -5000 years 3 -5 km/h human Industrial 300 -500 30 -50 horse, car Post-industrial 30 -50 300 -500 airplane Information 30? 3000 -5000 network

Human Saturation Info clock >> biological clock u u Terminal velocity Conflict between biological and information clock Humans can’t cope with information overflow Solution: WE NEED INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS

Definition: information society More than 50% of GDP related to information/knowledge. More than 50% of employees active in the information economy (immaterial labour). Economy based on transition from material goods to information/knowledge (primary and secondary sector, e. g. OECD 1981, 1986). IS started 1970 -1980? Constantly growing! Slovenian growth

Possibilities s

BASIC I. S. LAWS m m Moore’s law (exponential growth of chip capabilities) Metcalf’s law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes) or n*logn (size of network is very important; internet) Sidgemor’s law (exponential growth of net traffic, of transmission capabilities) Andreesen Lewis Fleming. . . net capitalism = frictionless economy, information economy, Internet economy, new economy (global, liberal, without rectrictions, regulations)

Laws m. Metcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes Moore's Law Metcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes – social networks - Internet Sidgemore's Law - traffic doubles every three months Andreesen's Law - cost of bandwidth is dropping Disk capacity (+electronic basic properties) also grows exponential Lewis/Flemig's Law - friction-free economy, booming, self-regulating (Greenspan) Gilder’s Law (The Law of Telecoms) - Total telecommunications system capacity (b/s) triples every three years Put on the Internet all your information and activities FB: mail The cyber-world doubles fortune (real or fictive? ? – current crises) Side effect of information society is information overload Information society demands intensive information knowledge for successful leadership Information society belongs to all of us The Internet is the most democratic and free media in the world The Internet and information society are our hope for the future

INTERNET WIKIPEDIA ISKALNIKI / Wolfram Alpha Internet 1, 2, 3 Trendi danes: socialna omrežja, uporabniško generirana vsebina, visoka prepustnost omrežij, grafika, multimediji, virtualna ekonomija, Youtube, Facebook, Googlearth, 2 nd life

Web 2. 0" refers to a perceived second generation of web development and design, that facilitates communication, secure information sharing, interoperability, and collaboration on the World Wide Web 2. 0 concepts have led to the development and evolution of web-based communities, hosted services, and applications such as social-networking sites, video-sharing sites, wikis, blogs, and folksonomies. Wikipedia

Za Obamovo zmago odločilen David Plouffe, vodja kampanje Baracka Obame, internet; virdigitalne Finance 1. 6. 2009 Gradec, maj 2009. Nove tehnologije, zlasti internet, so eden glavnih razlogov, da je Obama postal 44. predsednik ZDA. Od začetka kampanje, ko je bila verjetnost za zmago skoraj enaka nič, so veliko tvegali; vedeli so, da nimajo drugega kot odličnega kandidata in jasno vizijo, ob tem pa pravilno ocenili, da je prav tehnologija pot za dosego ciljev. ***Internet kot glavni kanal kampanje so uporabili za zbiranje denarja (pol milijarde dolarjev), promoviranje (3 milijone prijateljev na Facebooku, na desetine profilov na omrežjih), organiziranje in predvsem samoorganiziranje ljudi na terenu ter nenehno pošiljanje sporočil neposredno do ljudi *** ter tako pometli z močnimi tekmeci, ki so kljub veliki prednosti na začetku kampanje igrali "po starih pravilih igre".

GOOGLE, APPLE, end of YAHOO, ALTAVISTA … GOOGLE / PC? MS? KOLIKO POVEZAV, DVA STUDENTA PORTAL, NE SAMO ISKALNIK - SEARCHABLE E-MAIL - SHORT-MESSAGING FOR MOBILE DEVICES - SEARCH ONLINE BOOKS - INDEX OF WEB IMAGES - SATELLITE IMAGES - CHAT GROUPS - CATALOG SERVICES - FROOGLE – BEST PRICE COMPARISONS

KNJIGE … - Amazon. com, DZS SKRITI – E-bay, Bolha, NAKUPOVANJE INTERNET Ceneje ZDRAVJE – nasveti, primeri, zdravila PREVAJANJE – med velikimi jeziki, slov. ENCIKLOPEDIJE – splosne, spec. , WIKI INFORMACIJE – CNN, TV, filmi, posnetki, glasba, dnevniki (privatni), revije, blogi …

Discussion u u u Information society - technological, human, social Intelligent systems - SW generation with some degree of intelligence Intelligence (human, artificial, technical) is essential True intelligent revolution decades away Incredible possibilities ahead of us (first technical intelligent systems, later true AI) that may prevent saturation of human civilisation (overcrowded, shortage of oil and recources …) and jump ahead

THE FUTURE WILL BE INTELLIGENT