InnovationRD Ideas for Bioeconomy strategies and a Bioeconomy
Innovation/R&D: Ideas for Bioeconomy strategies and a Bioeconomy Manifesto from long-term scenarios SCAR Foresight Sustainable Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries in the Bioeconomy: A Challenge for Europe SCAR Foresight Group Elke SAGGAU (Chair), Egizio VALCESCHINI, Stefano BISOFFI 04/01/2022 SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx 1
4 th Foresight (2015): The team Erik Mathijs Michael Carus (Belgium) Gianluca Brunori (Italy) (Germany) Luisa Last Michel Griffon (Switzerland) (France) Ingrid Olesen Margaret Gill (Norway) (UK) Antje Potthast Tiina Koljonen (Finland) Eva Lehoczky (Austria) (Hungary) SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Foresight: a pillar of SCAR activities European Research Area in the Bioeconomy Strategic Policy Advice to EC & MS Pillar 1 Foresight process Common research agendas Mapping research capacities Pillar 2 Pillar 3 Pillar 4 SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Fourth Foresight in a series … 2007 2009 2011 … all available at: https: //ec. europa. eu/research/scar/index. cfm? pg=about#foresight SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
4 th Foresight (2015), the first in the Bioeconomy Explores what might happen by developing the paradigm of the bioeconomy with the fundamental constraint of sustainability. Analyses dilemmas, possible conflicts, opportunities and threats for different regions and social groups. Anticipates future challenges & research questions Long term view: 2050 Identifies guiding principles for future actions. SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Scenarios: biomass for materials & energy ‘Shell style’ +2%/year Bio-scarsity Bio-boom ‘flat’ Assumptions: • Food/feed demands satisfied (FAO projections) • FLW: 30% 20% • Feed efficiency: +0. 4% +0. 6%/year Supply growth of biomass +1%/year Demand growth for biomass for materials & energy Bio-modesty SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Recommendations Principles for a sustainable Bioeconomy and for Research to support its development Emerging themes for the Research and Innovation agenda Organisational principles underpinning an effective R&I effort SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Five key principles for a sustainable bioeconomy http: //www. forestsandfish. com/sustainable / • Food first • Sustainable yields • Circularity • Cascading approach • Diversity http: //www. ellenmacarthurfoundation. org/circular-economy http: //www. betaprocess. eu/the-value-pyramid. php SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Growing complexity Biomass sources Fisheries Demography Health Resources Global challenges Agriculture Waste Climate Biodiversity Forests Food Feed Materials Chemicals Biomass uses Fuels Energy Gene. Bio-Nano ICT Io. T Big data Solar energy SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx Fastest growing technologies
Emerging R&I themes The digital revolution The energy landscape Consumers Understanding the sociocultural dimension of the BE Food & feed Materials & chemicals New business models & markets energy Bio-energy Resilience ? ? ? ① ecological intensification Biomass Governance (Agro)ecological approaches to sustainable intensification Primary production systems SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx Foresight
Holistic approach: the trap of complexity • The number of interactions grows exponentially with the number of elements in the system 1 3 6 15 45 2 3 4 6 10 • Complex (mechanical) systems are inherently unpredictable • Complexity defies the human brain • Digital technologies for analysis and • Transdisciplinarity to be modeling, less useful as DSS: public built into educational discourse is needed systems. • Holistic approach must not remain ‘wishful thinking’: turning the concept into reality is not straightforward • Career development for scientists should not discourage engagement in transdisciplinary research SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Better alignment of National Programmes SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Implementation of Foresight outcomes Global Programmes Global Strategies Global level Programmes (e. g. Horizon 2020) e. g. OECD/FAO Strategies National Bioeconomy strategies (revision) (e. g. DG Agri) EU Bioeconomy strategy (revision) EU Council & Parliament (info) EU level 4 th SCAR Foresight National level Stakeholder information National Research Programmes Regional level Implementation Bioeconomy strategies Research Programmes Rural development Programmes SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
Need for a vision: the role of Foresight In our times of rapid change and discontinuity, crises of perception - the inability to see a novel reality by being locked inside obsolete assumptions - have become the main causes of strategic failures. (Pierre Wack, 1985) European Research Area in the BE Pillar 1 Advice to EC & MS Foresight process confirmed as a fundamental pillar of the renewed SCAR Common research agendas Mapping research capacities Pillar 3 Pillar 4 Pillar 2 SCAR 44 SIGHT-UTRECHT-160412 -13. pptx
- Slides: 14