Initial Projects Kyu Won Choi Econ 201 FS

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+ Initial Projects Kyu Won Choi Econ 201 FS February 2, 2011

+ Initial Projects Kyu Won Choi Econ 201 FS February 2, 2011

+ Data n CVX (Chevron Corporation) - October 10, 2001 – December 30, 2010

+ Data n CVX (Chevron Corporation) - October 10, 2001 – December 30, 2010 2301 days n IBM (International Business Machines) - April 9, 1997 – December 30, 2010 - 3423 days n Every minute price data from 9: 35 AM to 3: 59 PM for each trading day (385 number of prices per trading day)

+ CVX Not Adjusted Price

+ CVX Not Adjusted Price

+ CVX Not Adjusted Returns

+ CVX Not Adjusted Returns

+ Data Errors / Outliers n Stock Split: n Sep 13, 2004 [2: 1]

+ Data Errors / Outliers n Stock Split: n Sep 13, 2004 [2: 1] (Yahoo Finance) n The stock price is adjusted backwards n 2008 Financial Crisis

+ CVX Adjusted Price

+ CVX Adjusted Price

+ CVX Adjusted Returns

+ CVX Adjusted Returns

+ Annualized Realized Variance (5 -min returns)

+ Annualized Realized Variance (5 -min returns)

+ Annualized Bipower Variance

+ Annualized Bipower Variance

+ Contribution of Jumps

+ Contribution of Jumps

+ Annualized Realized Volatility Signature

+ Annualized Realized Volatility Signature

+ Annualized Bipower Volatility Signature

+ Annualized Bipower Volatility Signature

+ Additional Variation Measures of Integrated Variance n The sub-sampled 5 -min realized variance

+ Additional Variation Measures of Integrated Variance n The sub-sampled 5 -min realized variance n The median variance, Med. Var n The minimum variance, Min. Var n The realized variance using pre-averaging n The truncated or equivalently the threshold variation (TV)

+ Sum-sampled 5 -min Realized Variance

+ Sum-sampled 5 -min Realized Variance

+ The Median Variance (Med. Var)

+ The Median Variance (Med. Var)

+ The Minimum Variance (Min. Var)

+ The Minimum Variance (Min. Var)

+ Realized Variance using pre-averaging

+ Realized Variance using pre-averaging

+ Truncated or Threshold Variation (TV)

+ Truncated or Threshold Variation (TV)

+ IBM Stock Price

+ IBM Stock Price

+ IBM Returns

+ IBM Returns

+ Data Errors / Outliers n n Stock splits [2: 1] n 5/28/1997 n

+ Data Errors / Outliers n n Stock splits [2: 1] n 5/28/1997 n 5/27/1999 High Prices/Returns around July 1999 (about $139. 00) n n Low Prices/Returns around Nov, 1999 (about $90. 00) n n After the first quarter profit report release, price went up Warning about the Year 2000 computer bug 2008 Financial Crisis

+ Annualized Realized Variance (5 -min returns)

+ Annualized Realized Variance (5 -min returns)

+ Annualized Bipower Variance

+ Annualized Bipower Variance

+ Contribution of Jumps

+ Contribution of Jumps

+ Annualized Realized Volatility Signature

+ Annualized Realized Volatility Signature

+ Annualized Bipower Volatility Signature

+ Annualized Bipower Volatility Signature

+ Sum-sampled 5 -min Realized Variance

+ Sum-sampled 5 -min Realized Variance

+ The Median Variance (Med. Var)

+ The Median Variance (Med. Var)

+ The Minimum Variance (Min. Var)

+ The Minimum Variance (Min. Var)

+ Realized Variance using pre-averaging

+ Realized Variance using pre-averaging

+ Truncated or Threshold Variation (TV)

+ Truncated or Threshold Variation (TV)

+ Questions & Comments n First Experience with MATLAB n Getting used to it

+ Questions & Comments n First Experience with MATLAB n Getting used to it n Papers to read and study Thank you for the help!