INFORMAL CONFERENCE OF SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN NMHSs DIRECTORS ICEED

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INFORMAL CONFERENCE OF SOUTH-EAST EUROPEAN NMHSs DIRECTORS (ICEED) 10 th Session Istanbul, 21 -22

INFORMAL CONFERENCE OF SOUTH-EAST EUROPEAN NMHSs DIRECTORS (ICEED) 10 th Session Istanbul, 21 -22 September 2010

TSMS took initiative at the meeting of Implementation of RA VI RCC Network held

TSMS took initiative at the meeting of Implementation of RA VI RCC Network held on 20 -21 October, 2008 in Geneva, Switzerland in order to carry out the following responsibilities: • Monthly or quarterly bulletins analysing and interpreting GPC products • Monthly maps of TT, RR • Eastern Mediterranean dataset

Circular and regulations

Circular and regulations

2 m Temperature and Precipitation for the last month are been monitoring End of

2 m Temperature and Precipitation for the last month are been monitoring End of the each month, the products have been delivered via ftp. As soon as 3 products are copied to the server, web site automatically is updated.

Monitoring data have been reprocessed, spatially enhanced and mapped by using Arc. GIS Spatial

Monitoring data have been reprocessed, spatially enhanced and mapped by using Arc. GIS Spatial Analyze Tool and Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation technique. (cell size: 3 x 3 km)

Seasonal Forecast is updated every month for the next 3 month and contains precipitation

Seasonal Forecast is updated every month for the next 3 month and contains precipitation and 2 m temperature anomaly maps which is drawing from ECMWF seasonal forecast data for the EMCC region.

Regional Climate Model Studies Two different regional climate models have been run to obtain

Regional Climate Model Studies Two different regional climate models have been run to obtain possible changes in future climate of Turkey. These are, Reg. CM 3 of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) and PRECIS of Hadley Centre of the UK Met Office. As a result of model runs, it is aimed to generate climate change projections and scenarios for Turkey by using different global model outputs based on greenhouse gas emissions scenarios varying according to economical and technological developments of communities in the world.

Regional Climate Model Studies Winter and spring temperature slightly decrease (0. 5 °C) over

Regional Climate Model Studies Winter and spring temperature slightly decrease (0. 5 °C) over the Balkans and northern parts of region for the first 30 year. Temperature is significantly increase (3 -4 °C) especially in Mediterranean region, eastern and southeastern regions of Turkey between 2071 -2099.

Winter Summer Spring Autumn PRECIS Had. AM 3 P 25 km.

Winter Summer Spring Autumn PRECIS Had. AM 3 P 25 km.

Regional Climate Model Studies For the first 30 year precipitation is projected to increase

Regional Climate Model Studies For the first 30 year precipitation is projected to increase over Turkey and its region. Winter precipitation dramatically decrease (%10 -30) in south part of Turkey and increase (%10 -25) in the north for the period of 2071 -2099.

PRECIS Had. AM 3 P 25 km.

PRECIS Had. AM 3 P 25 km.

11 products are been archiving for each month.

11 products are been archiving for each month.

On behalf of my Service, thank you for your attention. . .

On behalf of my Service, thank you for your attention. . .

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