INCORPORATING LAST YEARS DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEARS

INCORPORATING LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES (Part 3) A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN MULTIPLY AND SPILL OVER FOR THE BENEFIT OF MILLIONS Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

WE ARE ALWAYS WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE “GLOBAL BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE”

BO OK KN OF OW - P ers LE On pe DG Sc c t ien ive E s ce A nd EM , P oli cy HI , -ED

BO OK EX OF P - P ER ers IEN On p ec Sc C tiv ien E es ce A nd EM , P oli cy HI , -ED

GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION FLOODS IMPROVE ON PAST PERFORMANCE INCREASED TECHNICAL AND POLITICL CAPACITY OF COMMUNITY TO COPE INCREASED OWNERSHIP AND USE OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE SEVERE WIND STORMS EARTHQUAKES DROUGHTS LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS TSUNAMIS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS

EXAMPLE: FROM REAL TIME INFORMATION ON SEVERE WINDSTORMS IN 2008 TO A GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGE THIS YEAR (Part 3) A SIMPLE CONCEPT WITH A HIGH BENEFIT TO COST RATIO

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF WHAT HAPPENED DURING 2008

NOTABLE DISASTER TYPES IN 2008 CYCLONE NARGIS NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USA CATALYSTS FOR CHANGE TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

2008 TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE/TYPHOON SEASON PART 3 JUNE 1 – NOVEMBER 30, 2008

PATHS OF 16 NAMED ATLANTIC STORMS

TYPICAL PHYSICAL EFFECTS AND IMPACTS • HIGH VELOCITY WINDS • HEAVY RAINFALL • FLOODING • LANDSLIDES • POWER OUTAGES • AGRICULTURAL LOSSES

TROPICAL STORM KYLE: SEPTEMBER 26, 2008

TROPICAL STORM KYLE BECOMES HURRICANE KYLE: SEPT 25 -29 • 11 TH NAMED STORM OF 2008 SEASON • KYLE TAKES A RARE PATH TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA, CANADA

HURRICANE KYLE: SEPTEMBER 27, 2008

TROPICAL STORM LAURA: SEPT 30 – OCT 1 STORM WEAKENS IN THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC AND HEADS TOWARD SCOTLAND

TROPICAL STORM LAURA: SEPTEMBER 30

TROPICAL STORM LAURA: OCTOBER 1, 2008

HURRICANE OMAR CAUSES EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN SOUFRIERE OCTOBER 2008

SOUFRIERE

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

OMAR

TROPICAL STORM MARCOS: MEXICO: OCTOBER 10, 2008

TROPICAL STORM NANA: OCTOBER 12, 2008

MARCOS, NANA, OPRAH, AND PALOMA COMPLETED THE SEASON • The factors that contribute to the formation of hurricanes were in place longer than usual during 2008 (e. g. , warm ocean temperature, and low wind shear).

NEUTRAL EL NINO CONDITIONS § Neutral El Nino conditions continued throughout the 2008 season. § El Nino is the eastern Pacific warm water phenomenon that dampens the formation of tropical storms in the Atlantic.

FOUR UNIVRSAL BARRIERS TO USE OF LAST YEAR’S INFORMATION • IGNORANCE • APATHY • DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES • LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

EDUCATIONAL SURGES CREATE TURNING POINTS ALL SECTORS OF SOCIETY INFORMED IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT EDUCATIONAL SURGES WILL CHANGE THE COMMUNITY APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT BOUNDARIES TO NETWORKS STATUS QUO TO GOOD POLITICAL DECISIONS

EDUCATIONAL SURGE RELEVANT PUBLIC AWARENESS BASIC OBJECTIVES FOR LAUNCHING AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE INCREASE UNDERSTANDING POLITICAL ENABLEMENT BUILD EQUITY

BENEFITS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES EXPAND CAPABILITY IMPROVE DELIVERY MECHANISMS EDUCATIONAL SURGES OVERCOME UNIVERSAL BARRIERS CREATE TURNING POINTS OF CHANGE INCREASE COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE

TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES A PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETY THE KNOWLEDGE BASE Hazard Characterization Vulnerability Assessments CAPACITY BUILDING CONTINUING EDUCATION Policy Makers Update Knowledge Bases After Each Disaster Practitioners Risk and Loss Assessments Disaster Scenarios Emergency Managers Up Close, Virtual, and Distance Learning Cause & Effect Relationships Intelligent Emergency Management Training Real & Near Real Time Information Flow Tailored to Community Needs Information Technology Disaster-Risk Reduction Interface with Multiple Networks Increased Understanding

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Increasing the "World's Mutual Fund for Education, " (i. e. , the incountry resources for education in the budget of every nation)

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Capacity-building activities on different scales will eventually overcome the universal barriers of ignorance, apathy, disciplinary boundaries, and lack of political will.

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Increased community disaster-risk reduction for all (including Mega-cities, which are a special challenge)

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Transferring ownership of knowledge and technology for increasing disaster-risk reduction for people, habitats, livelihoods, cultural heritage, and infrastructure

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Facilitates equipping, linking, and engaging legions of new and emerging professionals with mature professionals

BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE • Intensifies efforts in highrisk locations. • Increases risk reduction for essential (schools) and critical (hospitals, dams, and power plants) facilities.

MEASURING CHANGE NEW RESOURCES NEW DELIVERY MECHANISMS EDUCATIONAL SURGES SHOULD RESULT IN … NEW PROFESSIONAL LINKAGES NEW LEGISLATIVE MANDATES NEW DIALOGUE ON BUILDING A CULTURE OF DISASTERRISK REDUCTION

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES • REDUCTION IN (Improving on the MAGNITUDE OF past) SOCIOECONOMIC LOSSES FROM NATURAL HAZARDS

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES • REDUCTION IN (Improving on the NUMBER AND past) MAGNITUDE OF ANNUAL NATURAL DISASTERS

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES • INCREASED (Improving on the EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCATpast) IONAL SURGES TO BUILD PROFESSIONL CAPACITY FOR DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION

MEASURING CHANGE PRINCIPLES • DECREASE IN (Improving on the IGNORANCE, past) APATHY, DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

MEASURING CHANGE • PRINCIPLES • INCREASE IN (Improving on TRAINING the Past)

MEASURING CHANGE • PRINCIPLES • (Improving on the Past) INCREASE IN NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS ENGAGED IN SEAMLESS NETWORKS HAVING COMMUNITY DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION AS A GOAL

MEASURING CHANGE • PRINCIPLES • INCREASED (Improving on COORDINATION the past)

MEASURING CHANGE • PRINCIPLES • IMPROVED (Improving on COLLABORATION the past)

MEASURING CHANGE • PRINCIPLES • IMPROVED (Improving on INNOVATION the past)

MEASURING CHANGE • TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) NEW NETWORKS OF PROFESSIONALS WORKING ON EDUCATIONAL SURGES THAT PENETRATE ALL LEVELS OF THE COMMUNITY.

MEASURING CHANGE • TURNING POINTS • INCREASE IN (Building a ACTIVITIES TO Culture of TRANSFORM Community IGNORANCE INTO Disaster-Risk ENLIGHTENMENT Reduction)

MEASURING CHANGE • TURNING POINTS • INCREASE IN (Building a ACTIVITIES TO Culture of TRANSFORM Community APATHY INTO Disaster-Risk EMPOWERMENT Reduction)

MEASURING CHANGE • TURNING POINTS • INCREASE IN (Building a ACTIVITIES TO Culture of TRANSFORM Community ORGANIZATIONAL Disaster-Risk AND DISCIPLINARY Reduction) BOUNDARIES INTO SEAMLESS NETWORKS

MEASURING CHANGE • TURNING POINTS • INCREASE IN (Building a ACTIVITIES TO Culture of TRANSFORM THE Community STATUS QUO IN A Disaster-Risk COMMUNITY INTO Reduction) “GOOD” POLITICAL DECISIONS

MEASURING CHANGE • TURNING POINT (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk Reduction) • INCREASE IN DIALOGUE ON HOW TO USE LAST YEAR’S DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEAR’S EDUCATIONAL SURGES