HighLevel Conference on World Food Security and the

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High-Level Conference on World Food Security and the Challenges of Climate Change and Bioenergy

High-Level Conference on World Food Security and the Challenges of Climate Change and Bioenergy Rome, 3 to 5 June 2008

New challenges • Climate change brings major challenges to agriculture, forestry and fisheries: floods,

New challenges • Climate change brings major challenges to agriculture, forestry and fisheries: floods, droughts, extreme events, and new pests and diseases • Bioenergy and more efficient energy use in agriculture, forestry and fisheries mitigate climate change • Three billion more people must be fed by 2050, all in developing countries, and all in cities

New challenges: floods

New challenges: floods

New challenges: droughts

New challenges: droughts

New challenges: pests and diseases

New challenges: pests and diseases

12. 0 0. 9 0. 8 9. 0 0. 7 0. 6 6. 0

12. 0 0. 9 0. 8 9. 0 0. 7 0. 6 6. 0 0. 5 0. 4 0. 3 3. 0 0. 2 0. 1 0. 0 0 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Annual increments (billions) A drastic slow-down in world population growth Total population (billions) The driving forces of demand to 2050 Food markets: drivers of the long-term outlook

Yield change (%) Climate change impacts +/- 0 Yield change (%) ∆Yield as function

Yield change (%) Climate change impacts +/- 0 Yield change (%) ∆Yield as function of temp, rainfall, CO 2 , adaptation) +/- 0 With adaptation (changes in planting and cultivar, shifts from rain-fed to irrigated conditions) Without adaptation Source: IPCC 2007, WGII, Chap. 5 Based on 69 published studies

Why a High-Level Conference? • To respond to 2007 Conference request to work towards

Why a High-Level Conference? • To respond to 2007 Conference request to work towards a “A Strategic Framework for Agriculture and Environmental Challenges of the 21 st Century” to be submitted to COAG and the FAO Conference in 2009 • To implement PWB 2008 -09 whereby climate change and bioenergy are inter -disciplinary priorities • To address the implications of climate change and the new energy situation for food security • Start a participatory process for addressing the challenges ahead

HLC is organized by FAO In cooperation with IFAD, WFP and CGIAR With the

HLC is organized by FAO In cooperation with IFAD, WFP and CGIAR With the support of Governments of Norway and Italy (pledges made by Spain, Sweden and France) Travel of LDCs is supported by IFAD

Gathering scientific information: Expert Meetings Global perspectives on food and fuel security (18 -20

Gathering scientific information: Expert Meetings Global perspectives on food and fuel security (18 -20 February) Bioversity-FAO Workshop on biodiversity for food and agriculture (13 -14 February) Climate change, water and food security (26 -28 February) Climate-related transboundary pests and diseases (25 -27 February) Climate change adaptation and mitigation (5 -7 March) Bioenergy policy, markets and trade and food security (18 -20 February) Climate change and disaster risk management (28 -29 February) Climate change and fisheries and aquaculture (7 -9 April)

Expert Meetings Participants 15 UN Partners: About 100 Experts from some 40 countries from

Expert Meetings Participants 15 UN Partners: About 100 Experts from some 40 countries from all continents serving in their individual capacities UNFCC, UN, IFAD, WFP, WMO, WHO, WTO, IMO, UNCTAD, WB, UNDP, UNEP, ESCAP, FAO/IAEA, UN/ESCAP 10 CGIAR Centres: Bioversity, CIAT, CIP, ICARDA, CIMMYT, IFPRI, IRRI, ILRI, IWMI, World. Fish 15 IGO Partners: CCCD, OECD, CABI, IEA, OIE, SPREP, UA-IBAR, CFC, etc.

Consulting with Stakeholders NGOs/CSOs 15 – 16 February 2008 In conjunction with the IFAD

Consulting with Stakeholders NGOs/CSOs 15 – 16 February 2008 In conjunction with the IFAD farmer’s forum Private Sector 27 -28 March 2008 In cooperation with IFAD, WFP and Global Mechanism NGO Parallel Forum organized by the International Planning Committee for Food Sovereignty (IPC) 31 May to 4 June 2008

Consulting with Countries Regional Conferences Near East (1 -5 March): Roundtable on “Climate Change:

Consulting with Countries Regional Conferences Near East (1 -5 March): Roundtable on “Climate Change: Implications for Agriculture in the Near East” (4 March) Latin America & Caribbean (14 -18 April): Roundtable on “Bioenergy for Food Security” Asia-Pacific (19 -23 May): Roundtable on the Bioenergy Rush: Opportunities and Risks for Food Security, the Environment and Rural Development Permanent Representatives briefings (March-June 2008)

Consulting with UN partners Close cooperation with Rome-based agencies before and after HLC -

Consulting with UN partners Close cooperation with Rome-based agencies before and after HLC - System-wide coordination: CEB/HLCP (GA in Sept. 2007, Feb. 2008) - Thematic coordination: UN Energy and UN Water - Bilateral: UNFCC, WMO, WHO UN system participation in Expert Meetings and HLC for joined-up action

Preparatory HLC inputs and outputs NGOs/CSOs consultation Biod. Work EM 1 shop EM 2

Preparatory HLC inputs and outputs NGOs/CSOs consultation Biod. Work EM 1 shop EM 2 EM 3 EM 4 EM 5 EM 6 EM 7 Private Sector consultation 3 Conference Documents: State of knowledge and policy options NGO Forum 31 May- 4 June High Level Conference, 3 -5 June

HLC Agenda Opening ceremony and procedural arrangements (3 am June 2008) Committee of the

HLC Agenda Opening ceremony and procedural arrangements (3 am June 2008) Committee of the Whole (3 -5 June) 1. 2. 3. 4. Situation analysis Options for climate Options for bioenergy Contact group on Declaration High-Level Segment (4 -5 June) Country Statements Joint meeting of the Committee of the Whole and the High-Level Segment (5 June pm) 1. HLC Report (with elements for further action) 2. Declaration on World Food Security, Climate Change and Bioenergy

Further consultations with countries Consider an informal process to prepare a first Draft Declaration

Further consultations with countries Consider an informal process to prepare a first Draft Declaration on World Food Security and the Challenges of Climate Change and Bioenergy (March to June) Inputs during the FAO Regional Conferences (valid only for Near East, Asia/Pacific, Latin America/Caribbean – HLC follow-up for others) Secretariat available for discussions and briefings with individual Regional Groups

Why a Declaration? To recognize new threats to food security and start a process

Why a Declaration? To recognize new threats to food security and start a process to address them to: - integrate mitigation and adaptation strategies into agriculture forestry and fisheries - recognize the need to balance food security and bioenergy development - include agriculture, forestry and fisheries in the solutions discussed in climate change negotiations

HLC follow-up Advocating the HLC results: World Food Day, 16 October 2008 (same theme

HLC follow-up Advocating the HLC results: World Food Day, 16 October 2008 (same theme as HLC) Broadening HLC coverage (beyond climate and bioenergy): Feeding the World in 2050, Rome, November 2008 Developing the research agenda: CGIAR Scientific Conference, Rome, 2008 -09 (and GFAR Regional consultations: Asia, October 2008, etc. ) Including HLC outcomes into FAO: through COAG and Conference in 2009 MOST IMPORTANTLY: BEGINNING OF A PROCESS, ESPECIALLY INTEGRATED RESPONSES AT COUNTRY LEVEL

Thanks www. fao. org/foodclimate

Thanks www. fao. org/foodclimate