HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLMENT PLANNING Prakash Naidoo NATIONAL STUDENT

HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLMENT PLANNING Prakash Naidoo

NATIONAL STUDENT ENROLMENT AND OUTPUT • HE System must contribute to national HR and research priorities • Enrolments to be matched to available resources • Institutions plans must be geared to improve graduation and success rates • Differentiated approach to planning will be applied

NATIONAL HEADCOUNT AND SHAPE TARGETS 2005 actual Headcount 738 000 2010 Growth % 820 000 82 000 2. 1%pa SHAPE SET 29% 30% 32 000 1% BUS 29% 33% 56 600 4% EDUC 14% 13% - 3 200 -1% HUM 28% 24% - 9 800 -4%

OTHER TARGETS • Vocational qualifications – target for diploma studies set at 34% up to 2010 • From 2008 DOE approved TIU will be funded • National 2005 2010 Student Outputs Success rate Graduates actual 71% 77% 120 000 150 000

VUT ENROLMENT PLANNING • • Headcount versus FTE ratio Enrolment distribution Graduation and success rate Research outputs

HEADCOUNT ENROLMENTS BY QUALIFICATION TYPE

DOE APPROVED PLAN FOR VUT DIPLOMA BTECH PG TOTAL 2006 DOE (ACTUAL) APPR RATIO 2010 TARGET MIN/MAX 15 481 87% 16 095 Minimum 1 441 10% 1 850 Minimum 251 3% 555 Maximum 17 173 100% 18 500

HEADCOUNT ENROLMENTS - FIELD OF STUDY Original Plan 2006 2007 2008 Do. E SET 48. 9 49. 5 50 50+ Management 46. 3 42 45 Education 0. 4 0. 3 0 Other Humanities 5. 5 4. 4 7. 8 5 Max

FTE ENROLMENTS BY QUALIFICATION TYPE VUT Ratio of Headcount : FTE Original Plan 2006 2007 2008 20071: 0. 74 1: 0. 83 1: 0. 84

FTE ENROLMENTS BY MAJOR FIELD OF STUDY Original Plan Ratio of Headcount : FTE 2006 2007 2008 20071: 0. 74 1: 0. 83 Target ? 1: 0. 84 1: 0. 89

FTE DEGREE CREDITS 9488/13575 8863/12708 = 69. 9% = 69. 7% 11255/14458 = 77. 8% DOE Target – 2010 = 77% VUT Success rate target 72%-77% ?

GRADUATES BY FIELD OF STUDY 2284/17408 2398/17186 = 13. 1% = 14% 3192/17376 =18. 4% DOE 2010 Target Graduation rate of 18. 3% VUT Target 16% - 18% ?

RESEARCH OUTPUTS Target – 2010: 0. 5 per academic staff member ~ 156 (Current) 2005 M 100/145 = 100 2005 D 10/28 = 30 VUT Target 150 ?

KEEP LEARNING Learn more about FTEs, TIUs, TOUs, ROUs, TDG, RDG, Dip, BDeg, M, D, Pubs, HC Never let the brain idle. “An idle mind is the devil’s workshop” The devil’s name is Depression