HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Audio 1 800 857

HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Audio = 1 -800 -857 -6535 Passcode = 13677# Meeting ID = 748 -323 -442 18 June 2012

HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Today’s Agenda Product Update (Mark De. Maria) Display Update (Paula Mc. Caslin) Ensemble Update (Brian Etherton)

HFIP Ensemble Product Subgroup Update on Prototype Products Mark De. Maria May 14, 2012 Conference Call 3

2 Prototype Ensemble Products Planned for Aug. 1, 2012 1. Genesis ensembles from global models T. Marchok lead (GFDL) Development continuing 2. Hybrid dynamical-statistical wind speed probabilities A. Schumacher, M. De. Maria (co-leads) Arrangements made to have ensemble tracks/intensities pushed to CIRA from GFDL Script being developed at CIRA for real time runs Coordination needed with Paula to post products on HFIP web page 4

HFIP Ensemble Display Subgroup Update on HFIP Web Page Paula Mc. Caslin June 18, 2012 Conference Call 5

HFIP Ensemble Subgroup Update on Realtime 2012 Ensemble Brian Etherton June 18, 2012 Conference Call 6

HFIP Regional Ensemble Formal work to be an EMC/GSD effort, running on S-JET, for summer 2012. 20 -member ensemble, ‘basin-scale’ 27 km domain Forecast length=120 hr at 00 Z and 12 Z, 9 hr at 06 Z and 18 Z Use GEFS for IC/BC, add on smaller scale perturbations via dynamical downscaling / cycling method Hope to tap into products work Future years aim for multi-physics ensemble, as well as higher resolution Start from EMC scripting set (Zhang), with GSD modifications to incorporate small scale perturbations

HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Meeting summaries/presentations to be located here: http: //rammb. cira. colostate. edu/research/tropical_cyclones/hfip/add_conference_call_summaries. asp Next Call Tentatively scheduled for Monday, July 16 th, at 11 AM Pacific, Noon Mountain, 1 PM Central, 2 PM Eastern (Standard Time) Speakers… likely the three subgroup leads