Health Effects of Suspended Particulate Matter Judith C

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Health Effects of Suspended Particulate Matter Judith C. Chow (Judy. Chow@dri. edu) John G.

Health Effects of Suspended Particulate Matter Judith C. Chow (Judy. Chow@dri. edu) John G. Watson Desert Research Institute Reno, Nevada, USA Presented at: The Workshop on Air Quality Management, Measurement, Modeling, and Health Effects University of Zagreb, Croatia 24 May 2007

Objectives • Report progress for PM and health effects • Explain ultrafine particles and

Objectives • Report progress for PM and health effects • Explain ultrafine particles and their toxicological/ epidemiological associations • Identify knowledge gaps and future challenges in PM research

Air Pollution/Health Issue http: //www. epri. com/

Air Pollution/Health Issue http: //www. epri. com/

Air Quality Decision Making Framework Emissions (rates, particle size, and composition) Human Exposure (outdoor

Air Quality Decision Making Framework Emissions (rates, particle size, and composition) Human Exposure (outdoor and indoor) Transport and Transformation Human Inhalation Concentrations in Air (composition, particle size, health indicator) Dose to Target Tissues Adverse Health Effects National Research Council, 1998, Research Priorities for Airborne Particulate Matter: I - Immediate Priorities and a Long-Range Research Portfolio

National Research Council (NRC) Reports (1998, 1999, 2001, 2004)

National Research Council (NRC) Reports (1998, 1999, 2001, 2004)

History of Public Policy and PM Science SCIENCE U. S. PUBLIC POLICY 1930 s-1950

History of Public Policy and PM Science SCIENCE U. S. PUBLIC POLICY 1930 s-1950 s Early Episode studies 1955, 1963 Early national legislation 1960 s-1980 s Ecological mortality and inhalation tox. studies 1967, 1970, 1971 Clean Air Act, amendments, NAAQS 1989 -mid 1990 s New results from several epidemiologic studies 1987 PM standards revised, TSP-PM 10 Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)

History of Public Policy and PM Science (continued) SCIENCE U. S. PUBLIC POLICY 1997

History of Public Policy and PM Science (continued) SCIENCE U. S. PUBLIC POLICY 1997 Vedal’s “Lines that Divide” Growth in PM and health effects research (Vedal, 1997, JAWMA) 2006 “Lines that Connect” Gaps and skepticism (Pope 1997 -2002 Promulgation of PM 2. 5 standards, Legal challenges argued and largely resolved 2006 New proposed standards for PM 2. 5 and PM 10 -2. 5 and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA) Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)

Particle Size Distribution Watson, 2002, JAWMA, 52(6)

Particle Size Distribution Watson, 2002, JAWMA, 52(6)

Inhalation Properties Lung deposition peaks at 40 -60% for 30 nm UP Tracheal deposition

Inhalation Properties Lung deposition peaks at 40 -60% for 30 nm UP Tracheal deposition is 20 -40% for <10 nm UP Chow, 1995, JAWMA 45(5); Phalen et al. , 1991, Radiat. Protect. Dosim. 38(1/3)

Potential Particulate Matter (PM) Health Indicators • Ultrafine, or coarse mass size fractions •

Potential Particulate Matter (PM) Health Indicators • Ultrafine, or coarse mass size fractions • Mass, surface area, or number of particles • Mass, sulfate, acidity, solubility, or transition metals • Pollens, fungi, molds, or endotoxins • Synergies with weather or other pollutants

1997 A&WMA Critical Review and Discussion Summary

1997 A&WMA Critical Review and Discussion Summary

What is now no longer true from 1997 Critical Review? • “… weak biological

What is now no longer true from 1997 Critical Review? • “… weak biological plausibility has been the single largest stumbling block to accepting the association as causal. ” • “… evidence supporting development of chronic illness from long-term particle exposure … is weak. ” Vedal, 1997, JAWMA, 47(5)

Follow-up on PM and Health Effects • Bates DV (2000). “Lines that connect: assessing

Follow-up on PM and Health Effects • Bates DV (2000). “Lines that connect: assessing the causality inference in the case of particulate pollution. ” Environ Health Perspect 108: 91 -2. • Pope CA III and Dockery DW (2006). “Health effects of fine particulate air pollution: lines that connect. ”

2006 Critical Review and Discussion Summary Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6); Chow et

2006 Critical Review and Discussion Summary Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6); Chow et al. , 2006, JAWMA, 56(10)

Key Aspects of 2006 Critical Review • Short-term exposure and mortality • Long-term exposure

Key Aspects of 2006 Critical Review • Short-term exposure and mortality • Long-term exposure and mortality • Time-scales of exposure • Shape of concentration-response function • Cardiovascular disease • Biological plausibility Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)

Recent Advances in PM Health Effects • Short term exposure and mortality – >100

Recent Advances in PM Health Effects • Short term exposure and mortality – >100 time series studies; single & multiple cities • Long term exposure and mortality – Built around 6 -City & ACS; growing prospective data base • Time scales of exposure – Varied time scales; distributed lags Chow et al. , 2006, JAWMA, 56(10)

Recent Advances in PM Health Effects (continued) • Shape of the concentration response function

Recent Advances in PM Health Effects (continued) • Shape of the concentration response function – Lack of apparent threshold; near-linearity through ‘ 0’ • Cardiovascular disease – Cardiac events; changes in function; progressive disease • Biologic plausibility – Several prevailing theories – evidence for coherence with toxicology Chow et al. , 2006, JAWMA, 56(10)

PM 10 Air Pollution Health Effects O 3 (Percent Excess Mortality) SO 2 CO

PM 10 Air Pollution Health Effects O 3 (Percent Excess Mortality) SO 2 CO NO 2 Stieb et al. , 2002, JAWMA, 52(4)

Mortality risk in Harvard Six-City Study (Cohort Follow-up) Kingston Steubenville Topeka Portage St. Louis

Mortality risk in Harvard Six-City Study (Cohort Follow-up) Kingston Steubenville Topeka Portage St. Louis Watertown Laden et al. , 2006. Environ. Sci. Technol. , 40(13)

Mortality (%) Changes in Mortality Risk* in Exposure Days of Exposure *Associated with increments

Mortality (%) Changes in Mortality Risk* in Exposure Days of Exposure *Associated with increments of 10 µg/m 3 PM 2. 5 or 20 µg/m 3 PM 10 or British Smoke exposure Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)

Cardiovascular Mortality Risks* in long-term exposure Associated with increments of 10 µg/m 3 PM

Cardiovascular Mortality Risks* in long-term exposure Associated with increments of 10 µg/m 3 PM 2. 5 Pope and Dockery, 2006, JAWMA, 56(6)

Both fine and coarse PM induce health effects EPA ORD, 2004, PM Criteria Document

Both fine and coarse PM induce health effects EPA ORD, 2004, PM Criteria Document

Particle composition changes with size (Fresno, CA, USA)

Particle composition changes with size (Fresno, CA, USA)

UP Decreases Rapidly with Distance from Roadways Reponen et al. , 2003, J. Environ.

UP Decreases Rapidly with Distance from Roadways Reponen et al. , 2003, J. Environ. Monit.

Health Effects of Ultrafine Particles (UP) The lag (in days) between concentration and effect

Health Effects of Ultrafine Particles (UP) The lag (in days) between concentration and effect CV: cardiovascular disease RE: respiratory disease (Ibald-Mulli et al. , 2002, J. Aerosol Med. , 15(2))

Hypotheses on Toxicological Effects of UP • Inflammatory (i. e. , large surface area,

Hypotheses on Toxicological Effects of UP • Inflammatory (i. e. , large surface area, react with macrophages and epithelial cells) • Not efficiently removed by macrophages • Contain or release more toxic free radicals • Inhibit phagocytosis (i. e. , unable to remove foreign substances) • Translocate from lung to other organs via bloodstream or lymphatic system • Effects enhanced by oxidant gases (e. g. , ozone) • Effects are most severe on the elderly and people with compromised respiratory tracts (e. g. , chronic obstructive pulmonary disease)

Conceptual Model of UP/PM and Health Effects (different pathways) (Sorensen et al. , 2003,

Conceptual Model of UP/PM and Health Effects (different pathways) (Sorensen et al. , 2003, Mutation Research 544 (2 -3))

Hypothesis on Interactions between UP and Respiratory System (Donaldson et al. , 2001, Occup.

Hypothesis on Interactions between UP and Respiratory System (Donaldson et al. , 2001, Occup. Environ. Med. , 58(3))

Summary • Much progress has been made regarding PM health effects • Evidence of

Summary • Much progress has been made regarding PM health effects • Evidence of increasing cardiovascular effects in addition to pulmonary effects • Better understanding of pathophysiological pathways to link PM-related mortality and morbidity • Increasing research in the health effects of ultrafine particles

Knowledge Gaps • Compliance air quality networks need to be designed for epidemiology studies.

Knowledge Gaps • Compliance air quality networks need to be designed for epidemiology studies. (Measurements at central site may not represent general population exposure. ) • Particle types and concentrations in toxicological studies are much higher and not representative of ambient air. • Toxicological studies need to establish associations from animal subjects to humans.

Challenges Ahead • Enhance air quality monitoring for research • Assess toxicity of PM

Challenges Ahead • Enhance air quality monitoring for research • Assess toxicity of PM components • Investigate health effects of long-term exposure to air pollutants • Formulate multi-pollutant research programs Simmons et al. , 2004, NRC

Challenges Ahead (continued) • Integrate across disciplines – Design collaborative research – Prioritize funding

Challenges Ahead (continued) • Integrate across disciplines – Design collaborative research – Prioritize funding to multidisciplinary teams – Encourage fellowships/sabbaticals – Conduct joint workshop/meeting and publish proceedings and peer-reviewed summaries Simmons et al. , 2004, NRC