Gregor Levin National Environmental Research Institute Roskilde University

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Gregor Levin, National Environmental Research Institute / Roskilde University A methodological framework for analysing:

Gregor Levin, National Environmental Research Institute / Roskilde University A methodological framework for analysing: Landscape dynamics in relation to organic farming Archived at http: //orgprints. org/00001362

My background - Ph. D scholarship at NERI, Department of Policy Analysis / Roskilde

My background - Ph. D scholarship at NERI, Department of Policy Analysis / Roskilde University, Institute of Geography - Master in geography from University of Copenhagen - Thesis: Land use driven conditions for habitat structure: A case study from the Ecuadorian Andes. - Fields of interest: Landscape analysis, landscape management and -planning, land use systems, GIS

Project Background 1 - Title: Landscape dynamics in relation to organic farming - to

Project Background 1 - Title: Landscape dynamics in relation to organic farming - to what extend and how has the growing conversion to organic farming affected spatial pattern and content of natural and semi natural habitats in the Danish agricultural landscape? - Part of an interdisciplinary research project on “Nature quality in organic farming” - Overall research question: Under which conditions is it possible to favour high biological diversity in a high yielding organic production system that supports esthetical and recreational opportunities - Participators from: Biology, agronomy, sociology, geography

Project Background 2 - 1950 ies - mid 80 ies: Substantial loss of natural

Project Background 2 - 1950 ies - mid 80 ies: Substantial loss of natural and semi natural landscape elements in Danish landscapes due to agricultural intensification - Since mid 70 ies growing concern on agriculture’s environmental effects - Since 1987: State regulations and subsidies for organic farming - 1990 ies: Substantial growth in organic farming - 2002: Organic farming constitutes over 6. 5% of all agricultural land in Denmark

Project Background 3 - Principles of Organic Farming include protection of habitats in the

Project Background 3 - Principles of Organic Farming include protection of habitats in the surrounding of the production system - It is generally expected that organic farming, due to its holistic ecosystem approach, benefits richness and diversity of natural and semi natural habitats - For organic farming there exist no specific rules concerning management of these habitats - Documentation of such relation is insufficient and is not able to explain underlying forces and processes

Landscape dynamics in relation to organic farming - to what extend, how and why?

Landscape dynamics in relation to organic farming - to what extend, how and why? - 3 key questions: To what extent? Quantitative analysis of spatio temporal landscape dynamics How? Quantitative analysis of relations between landscape dynamics biophysical and socio economic parameters Why? Qualitative analysis of underlying forces and processes

To what extent? - Mapping of seminatural and natural habitats based on aerial photos

To what extent? - Mapping of seminatural and natural habitats based on aerial photos from 1954 - 2002 - Whole, continuous landscapes (beyond farm level) - 4 case areas representing “typical” Danish landscapes - Each case area app. 25 square kilometres - Min. 12 organic and 12 conventional farms within each case area

Interpretation of aerial photos

Interpretation of aerial photos

How? - Registration and analysis of driving forces for spatio-temporal dynamics in natural and

How? - Registration and analysis of driving forces for spatio-temporal dynamics in natural and semi natural habitats - Both biophysical and socio-economical parameters at different spatial and temporal scales - Sources: - Questionnaires with organic and conventional farms - Agricultural statistics at farm and parish level - Spatial data sets on soil and geomorphology

Parameters influencing land use decision taking and landscape management: biophysical: socio-economic: land use strategy

Parameters influencing land use decision taking and landscape management: biophysical: socio-economic: land use strategy soil income hydrology age topography values market forces legislation, subsidies

Scale hierarchy Different driving forces can be active at different spatial and temporal scales

Scale hierarchy Different driving forces can be active at different spatial and temporal scales But: The single farmer’s decision on allocation and management of landscape elements is taken at field or sub field level. E. g. : hedges ponds ditches permanent grass fallow

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural habitats are analysed in relation to different driving forces. Parameters (E. g. : ) household or farm specific land use pattern land cover pattern soil and geomorphology

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural habitats are analysed in relation to different driving forces. Parameters (E. g. : ) household or farm specific land use pattern land cover pattern soil and geomorphology

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural habitats are analysed in relation to different driving forces. Parameters (E. g. : ) household or farm specific land use pattern land cover pattern soil and geomorphology

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural habitats are analysed in relation to different driving forces. Parameters (E. g. : ) household or farm specific land use pattern land cover pattern soil and geomorphology

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural

In a GIS with attached databases, spatio temporal dynamics of natural and semi natural habitats are analysed in relation to different driving forces. Parameters (E. g. : ) household or farm specific land use pattern land cover pattern soil and geomorphology

Possible Results: - Relationship between landscape diversity and org. farming - Relationship between landscape

Possible Results: - Relationship between landscape diversity and org. farming - Relationship between landscape diversity and farmers age - Relationship between landscape diversity and small farm sizes - Relationship between landscape diversity and small org, farms with young farmers

But: - Such (quantitative) analysis can point to significant statistical tendencies, but is not

But: - Such (quantitative) analysis can point to significant statistical tendencies, but is not able to explain underlying processes - Therefore: In order to understand how different parameters affect land use strategies and thus dynamics of natural and semi natural habitats, I need to combine quantitative measures with qualitative methods. - “. . . not every thing which can be counted, counts, but there are many things that cannot be counted, which count. ” (Naveh 2002)

Therefore: - Based on the results from the quantitative analysis, app 8 organic and

Therefore: - Based on the results from the quantitative analysis, app 8 organic and conventional farmers will be selected for in depth interviews - Through these interviews, statistical relations from the quantitative analysis are investigated and discussed - Interviews can not be representative, but together with the quantitative analysis give a better understanding and maybe clarification of statistical relationships

A methodological framework

A methodological framework

Gregor Levin, National Environmental Research Institute / Roskilde University A methodological framework for analysing:

Gregor Levin, National Environmental Research Institute / Roskilde University A methodological framework for analysing: Landscape dynamics in relation to organic farming