Global Warming And Profitable Convenient Misdirection An Inconvenient
Global Warming And Profitable Convenient Misdirection An Inconvenient Truth………. .
Hypothesis: Human Emitted Greenhouse Gases Increased Temperature Climate Change Mass Extinction AND ……… If we control Anthropological Carbon Dioxide and Methane emissions, we can stop and even reverse the effect.
The data used in this analysis is the exact data used & published by NOAA, IPCC and the European Climate Foundation. The data is NOT consistent. But…. This analysis uses there data so there is no argument on who’s data is correct. GISS 2 Ice Cores Vostok Ice Cores Mauna Lua, Hawaii Law Dome Ice Cores Tree Ring Data
To understand climate data, it needs to be studied over long time periods…. This is a typical chart used to illustrate the relationship between CO 2 & Temperature. CO 2 is leading temperature. So does CO 2 causes global warming? Note that time period is from 1980 to present
Data can be presented in many different ways…. Time periods and scales can be manipulated to change how we view the data. Here is the same data, but temperature is now shown as leading CO 2. Adjusting the “Y” axis scale changes how the data might be interpreted……. . Correlation does not prove causation. --And-35 years is not long enough to identify interactions.
During Last 150 Years, Temperature “Appears” to Follow CO 2 …. BUT When you look at a longer time period, the data may no longer fit so conveniently!! Temperature vs CO 2 Concentration Temperature Variation CO 2 Concentration 400 1, 0 380 CO 2 Data from Ice Cores 370 360 0, 9 CO 2 Data from direct measurement (Mauna Lua, Hawaii) 0, 8 0, 7 0, 6 CO 2 Concentration (ppmv) Note that temperature is trending downward after this point (1945). 350 340 0, 5 0, 4 The CO 2 trend has not changed! It is still climbing. 330 0, 3 320 0, 2 310 0, 1 300 0, 0 1980 is used as NORMAL temperature (i. e. ” 0”) Why would you do that? ? 290 -0, 1 280 -0, 2 270 Statistically, this says there are other factors. -0, 3 260 Temperature = ʄ (x 1, x 2, x 3, x 4, x 5…. . ) -0, 4 250 Temperature Differential to Present Day (C) 390 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Years before Present 60 50 40 30 20 10 -0, 5 0
Over a 450, 000 year period, there is definitely a correlation between CO 2 & Temperature. Some might think it reasonable to conclude that CO 2 build-up causes Global Warming!!
BUT ……. . Expand the “ 150 Year” chart to cover 1000 years Now the relationship is no longer clear……Temperature does not track CO 2!! Temperature Precedes CO 2 Peak 400 years ago …. • Higher and steeper than last 150 years!! • Clearly unrelated to CO 2 levels which were constant.
Zero in the “ 450, 000 Year” chart to 150, 000 years Note that Temperature often Precedes CO 2. Unlikely that CO 2 is causing Temp Increase Temperature Precedes CO 2
Normal Temperature Variation over last 10, 000 years. Average Temperature is highly variable. Highs and Lows are normal. Present Upward Trend is NOT an Unusual nor Unexpected Event !!!
Just how much CO 2 is in the air anyway? ? Other 0. 92% CO 2 (Natural) 0. 0275% CO 2 (Human) 0. 0119% Oxygen 20. 95% Any Volume of Dry Air CO 2 Magnified 10 times for illustration purposes. CO 2 (Natural) Nitrogen 78. 09% CO 2 (Human) 0. 0119% Ø The very small red square in the upper right corner represents the increased volume of CO 2, some of which is a result of Human Activity in past 1000 yrs. Ø In normal air which contains water vapor, the proportions are even smaller.
The climate is a highly complex system with many feedback loops.
Primary driver is Water Vapor … CO 2/CH 4 are minor players. H 2 O Legend: Absorbed Sunlight CO 2 CH 4 Solar Radiation Land/Water Albedo Temperature Atmospheric Optical Properties Ice Area Outgoing Radiation Snow Area Transmissivity Reflectivity Atmospheric Composition Sub-Atomic Particles /Sun Spots Precipitable Water Vapor Cloud Cover CO 2 + CH 4 = 0. 04% H 2 O = > 2% Temperature Gradient Precipitation Surface Vapor per area Soil Moisture Relative Humidity Latent Heat Flux Evaporation Thermals Surface Roughness Pressure Gradient Sensible Heat + Potential Energy Flux Horizontal Wind Latitude Sea Currents Ocean Flux Source: Global Warming Fact or Fiction Willie Soon, astrophysicist / aerospace engineer - Solar and Stellar Physics (SSP) Division of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics Mixing Depth
Manipulating CO 2 has little impact on climate. q Man-made CO 2 + Methane is 0. 0119 % of the atmosphere. q Atmospheric composition is only a very small component in the climate model. q Is it reasonable to expect that a couple of trace gases can have any significant impact on our Climate?
CO 2 has minimal impact on “Global Warming” Effect. Water Vapor has major impact. Many other factors are in play!! • Considered by many to be a mitigator. (I. e. increase humidity increases cloud cover and reduces greenhouse effect CO 2 has relatively small impact
But Wait!! I have read that 97% of scientists say “that humans are responsible for Global Warming”. Here is the exact quote directly from NASA…. . Now, lets go back and read it again, but this time look at what it actually says. q It is not all scientists, just those that actively publish on climate change. • q How hard is it in todays environment to publish a paper opposed to the concept without being labeled a “Denier” and vilified as being in the pocket of the big carbon polluters? They don’t say it is a fact, but only “extremely likely”. • The word “likely” is subjective and based on one’s interpretation of the probability coefficient.
More Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man. Made Global Warming Claims
More Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man. Made Global Warming Claims …. Cont’d
Why the difference on the Consensus? Everyone with an agenda has been manipulating the data to fit their Bias. It is now very difficult to find the real data.
How do you account for the fact that none of your models fit the real world? ? q You change the data. q You attack anyone who questions your data. q You hide or lose your data. q You make the advancement of your grad students and non-tenured professors conditional on agreeing with your data.
Global Warming The Facts are………. . – It is likely that humans are responsible for an increase in CO 2 levels. BUT there is no clear or demonstrable (statistically significant) “cause and effect” link between CO 2 levels and global temperature. – The Climate is a complex system affected by many factors. The idea that only ONE trace gas can have a significant effect is unsupportable and ridiculous. – Global temperatures and climate will fluctuate with or without us. Always has, always will. There is no CO 2 “dial” that will control temperature. – Any “Human” effect will be additive to an already established temperature variation. There is no clear evidence as to the magnitude of that variation, but it is definitely small. – Environmental causes are big business…. . with very large profits. Nobody pays for studies or donates to organizations that report the facts without some angle that the “sky is falling”. The real truth is boring!! – There are vast fortunes to be made by moving from our current energy economy to a renewable energy economy. All paid for by you and me.
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Where will we cut 80% of Greenhouse Gas Emissions? Paris Accord: q 30% from 2005 levels (730) by 2030 q 80% by 2050. ü Who loses their jobs? ü How much will the average person be penalized to meet this? ü How much extra will food cost? ü Etc. etc.
Are there really more severe hurricanes now than previously?
Are there really more hurricanes now than previously?
Are Sea Levels rising? Is this a new thing?
Has the rate of seal level rise increased significantly since 1940?
How is your lifestyle going to change if we go to Net-Zero Emissions? Before demanding that “Someone” do something about Climate Change…… ü ü ü Stop buying produce that is shipped by truck, train, plane and/or boat. Only eat food that you or your immediate neighbors grow. Stop eating meat…. . a major greenhouse gas producer. Stop eating dairy…. also a major greenhouse gas producer. Stay home. Do not drive unless absolutely necessary. Stop buying “convenience items” from stores like Walmart. Make do with what you have. Build your own stuff. Repair anything that breaks or do without. Lower your house temperature to < 50 o. F. Heat only rooms you are using. Share tools & equipment with your neighbors. Buy only natural cotton or wool items. No synthetics/plastics of any kind. Get rid of all appliances and devices that plug in. Etc. etc. -- OR – Research and understand the real science driving our climate. Stop listening to people who want to manipulate you and take your money.
Are you prepared for the move to net-zero emissions? Here is a list of just a few things : q You will have to upgrade your home heating system to switch from natural gas to electricity. This will cost thousands of dollars because with everyone doing it, the cost will skyrocket. q Heating your home will be excessively expensive. Using an existing Canadian heating bill as an example, it will go from $1050/yr. to $14, 000/yr. That is at todays rates. Estimating the added cost from upgrading the infrastructure to handle this increased demand, I predict the bill will exceed $21, 000/yr. or $23, 400 if you include lights and appliances. What is going to happen to people on low or fixed incomes? q Think that you can always burn wood in your fireplace? So will everyone else and there will soon be laws against that or at the very least, permits, high fees and rationing. Also, it negates the effect of going to renewable energy. q q Cutting down trees reduces the absorption of CO 2. Burning wood releases CO 2 to the atmosphere. Also fly-ash which with everyone burning wood will become a major pollutant. q Forget about air conditioning. You won’t be able to afford it! q The same cost increase will apply to public buildings including schools, hospitals, etc. Who do you think will pay for that? q You will have to buy an electric vehicle which is a good thing. But your gas or diesel trade-in will have no value. You will have to pay for charging facilities in your home. And pay for the disposal of your old car. q Electric powered trucks will be expensive to buy, expensive to operate and due to the weight of batteries, will have reduced capacity. q q q Get ready for skyrocketing food prices and shortages. Get ready for shortages of goods in stores. Get ready for high shipping costs which will be passed on to you in the price of goods and services. q Many of the mitigation plans to handle the move to net-zero rely on technology that is not currently available. This will require mega $$ for research and development. What a bonus for the universities that are also responsible for promoting the climate emergency!! This could explain some things!! Conflict of Interest? ? q All this research will be paid for by the consumer in higher taxes and higher prices. q Current plans call for chemical injections or sea weed supplements (neither of which currently exist) to control methane gas from food animals. Get ready to move to a Vegan lifestyle. There will be a shortage of meat in the stores and it will be very expensive. You should also think about planting a garden. q It goes on and on, but always results in you having much less and paying much more for what you do have. Remember that and make sure you know what your are asking for when you demand action to address the “climate emergency”. → You might just get it!! And your life will never be the same again!
Warning: Mass Extinction by 2030. Really? Climate Change Zealots always show the temperature increase as an anomaly using a graph with a very narrow range. This chart shows a very small increase in temperature in Cold Lake over a 68 year period. ü Note that the range is only ~ 3. 5 o. C. ü It shows the decrease from the 40 s to late 70 s ü From 2000 onward, the net change is minimal. ß This chart shows the range of temperatures over 68 years. ß Total range is from -40 o. C to + 30 o. C. ß Only statistics can discern the 1. 1 o. C change over time. ß Animals that have evolved over 1000’s of years are not going to die off!! They won’t even notice the change.
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