Global Resources Observatory Country Resource Maps Tracey Zalk

Global Resources Observatory Country Resource Maps Tracey Zalk – Visiting Fellow Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University

Presentation • Introduction to project • Potential implications / applications • Maps • Additional Resources • References • Q&A

Introduction • 1972: Club of Rome produced a report the Limits to Growth • 2012: Institute and Faculty of Actuaries commissioned-report Implications of Limits to Growth for the Actuarial Profession • 2013: Start of Global Resources Observatory project

Potential implications / applications Implicit assumption underlying risk models ? Recent past best possible guide to the future • • Calibration Parameterisation Choice of model / technique Modellable

Introduction to maps • Reason for choice – Essential Resources: Water, Food, Energy – Future credit line: Government Debt, Private Debt – Societal cohesion: Income Inequality, Under 5 mortality • Snapshots / Time series: 2000, 2005, 2010

Water - 2010

Food - 2010

Oil - 2010

Gas - 2010

Coal - 2010

Government Debt - 2010

Private Debt - 2010

Income Inequality - 2010

Under 5 Mortality - 2010

Additional Resources • Global Resources Observatory future outputs: More to come • ISSA Document on megatrends: www. issa. int “Social security and megatrends – Climate change and natural resource scarcity” • App: – Developed independently of Global Sustainability Institute – For reference rather than endorsement

Reference Report and information about the project: www. tinyurl. com/GSI-GRO Author list: Dr Aled Jones, Dr Irene Monasterolo, Victor Anderson, Tracey Zalk, Alex Philips, Julie-Anne Hogbin, Davide Natalini, Roberto Pasqualino, Efundem Agboraw, Catherine Cameron, Nick Silver and Ella Wiles The Global Resource Observatory is grateful to the Peter Dawe Charitable Trust for the donation that has made this work possible.

Questions